Jump to content

babysdaddy

Legacy Members
  • Posts

    2389
  • Joined

  • Last visited

Everything posted by babysdaddy

  1. You're a gentleman and a scholar. As long as I'm in town I'm in. Got a lot of travel between now and Christmas.
  2. wager a nice bottle or a round of golf?
  3. 0% chance Gaetz is confirmed. Zero.
  4. white belt, would not bang jk, congrats!
  5. Great job @sushihorn Only poster here that was dealing in reality.
  6. What happens if Trump wins by a huge margin? Would that make you rethink your information diet?
  7. It's either that or you're getting a new username.
  8. I would turn Js1 into my personal dave wasserman
  9. https://www.wsj.com/economy/the-next-president-inherits-a-remarkable-economy-7be2d059?mod=hp_lead_pos6
  10. Do you have a prediction based on your modeling?
  11. I'm expecting a 2020 map except Trump flips Georgia, Pennsylvania, and Arizona. 281 to 257. I looked at 538 averages by those 3 states and where they ended up in 2020 and then looked where the sit today. Wildcard will be Dobbs driver. Women/men turnout split has been 53/47 +/- historically and that needs to be 55/45 for Harris to win imo.
  12. He said no EC impact so clearly for Trump.
  13. I listened to Paul Tudor Jones this morning on CNBC and he said he expects deficits to increase $500B under Trump and another $600B on top of that if Harris wins. So, at least according to him, we are pretty fucked either way. Minsky moment potential on mid/long dated treasuries.
  14. Look, I saw the initial clip and was not very impressed with her answer. Bill followed up with another question and she gave, in my opinion, better answer. 60 minutes edited out the first answer for a reason. Here is the edit in written form from a politico reporter
  15. I believe this qualifies as bias if 60 minutes actually did this.
  16. Agreed. My opinion is they do better than anyone else covering politics to remove their bias in their analysis.
  17. Respectfully, they just moved multiple in direction of D
  18. That's analysis, not bias. Amy and Kathryn own and run the website and they are both decidedly not conservative.
  19. I can assure you this is not even in the realm of being remotely true.
  20. For someone like me that wants to compare to previous elections to draw inference about what is going to happen this year, this is a good reminder that the electorate is shifting.
  21. I thought this was an interesting question so looked up fiscal response by Germany and the UK. Guessing numbers will be similar to France, Lithuania, Spain, etc. Germany 156 billion (4.7% of gpd) 3/20 130 billion (3.9% of gdp) 6/20 60 billion (1.7% of gdp) 3/21 UK Spent 310-410 billion pounds. (15% ish of gdp) US 5.1Trillion (3.3 in 2020 and 1.8 in 2021) 13% and 7%, respectively in those 2 years. It was a combination of factors and believe that supply chain issues started the inflation issue and over stimulus by lots of governments exacerbated the problem.
×
×
  • Create New...