babysdaddy

very similar? or exactly similar after they stole the data?

Where ya been?

if inflation rips, then yes. But thus far we haven't seen 'inflation' in the way policy makers have it defined (although clearly asset inflation has taken place). Right now, all anyone is scared of is deflation, or dis-inflation if you're a central banker.

hahaha, holy shit

Guessing private school = urban

I think Durham is widely considered to be the straightest of straight shooters so I'm not assuming or expecting anything other than the facts.

Including your coach or nah?

I guess it depends on the assumption of what is in the report. I actually think this is the same trap Comey found himself in regarding reopening the case given Weiner's laptop. If Comey didn't announce, and Clinton had won, right wingers would've screamed bloody murder about a cover up to help Clinton. I think Comey's logic was he had to announce a reopening because he was so sure she'd win. In this case, depending on the info in the report, either side that ends up losing could scream about the act of releasing/not releasing the report which could impact the election.

Caddyshack "Looks good on you though!"

to echo the above, we are seeing case counts decline and those will continue. Unfortunately deaths are going to plateau (hopefully) or continue up for the next week to 10 days. They won't spike given advances and shared knowledge on treatment but they will continue up.

These re interesting if only because day care have 1 teacher to 4 kids on the low end (under 11 months) and 1 to 22(Holy shit!!) on the high end (5 years). Splitting the baby, so to speak, that means on average 1 teacher to 13 kids. Meaning the population of kids is 13 times higher that staff and has half the total infections. If the staff to kid numbers were equal you'd expect almost 10k cases from day cares.

By age there have been 11 deaths under the age of 1 from COVID, 9 deaths between 1-4 years old, and 16 between 5-14. So 36 deaths nationally for people under the age of 14. Total deaths this year out of that age group are 11,998. https://data.cdc.gov/widgets/9bhg-hcku But to your point on percentages, deaths over known cases by age group, I can't seem to find data by age on who catches other than through the Texas website. Extrapolating that data and applying to the 4mm number of national known cases, around 5% of cases are under 14. That ends up being a death percentage of .018%. Or 1 out of 5,555. Problem is, we know we have massively undercounted cases by 10x? 20x? so it could be 1 out of 11,000 to 1 out of 22,000. To further that point, if 100% of the population got it and those numbers above hold, you'd have anywhere between 2500 and 11000 deaths of kids under 14 from COVID given we have about 61mm people under the age of 14 in the US.

https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/no-known-case-of-teacher-catching-coronavirus-from-pupils-says-scientist-3zk5g2x6z?fbclid=IwAR2gNTTf8SA_ycKPk8m0MWR-nEr7xzbSVJ8VgE4SFs9SlVNGZ7QPt0WwWCU&modtag=djemBestOfTheWeb "There has been no recorded case of a teacher catching the coronavirus from a pupil anywhere in the world, according to one of the government’s leading scientific advisers."

Point of order, he had food poisoning because people in Utah are shit. Back to your arguing.

Negged

Dallas checking in with 413 cases today after 734 yesterday. That was after 18 straight days over 1000. Mask up!

I'm thinking the opposite. Increased social distancing/hand washing/mask wearing should reduce influenza and I think a lot of the folks that would've died from the flu this year are, sadly, passing from covid. https://www.wsj.com/articles/covid-19-measures-have-all-but-wiped-out-the-flu-in-the-southern-hemisphere-11595440682?mod=hp_lead_pos10

+rep for using PWNT. Been too long

https://www.realclearinvestigations.com/articles/2020/07/20/the_primary_subsources_guide_to_russiagate_as_told_to_the_fbi_124516.html I cannot believe how thin, and that is being as complimentary as possible, the background was for all of this horseshit.

Have siblings catch it at school, and pass it onto their infant siblings, and see a shit-ton of soccer moms completely lose their shit. https://www.kristv.com/news/coronavirus/canales-clarifies-reports-about-local-infant-covid-numbers Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

I will say I've read about Ace2 receptors being undeveloped in kids which is part of the reason for mild symptoms which leads them to less coughing/symptoms meaning less spread. But I'd defer to the docs on that

don't know on that. your first two statements only focus on US. Studies below along with commentary from NIH: https://www.nejm.org/doi/pdf/10.1056/NEJMoa2006100?articleTools=true Study published in the New England Journal of medicine showing infection rates for children 10 and under is half of what it is for people over 10 years old. This data come from Iceland’s screening of its population. Genetic sequence tracing. https://www.sciencemuseumgroup.org.uk/blog/hunting-down-covid-19/ Commentary from the above study. “Children under 10 are less likely to get infected than adults and if they get infected, they are less likely to get seriously ill. What is interesting is that even if children do get infected, they are less likely to transmit the disease to others than adults. We have not found a single instance of a child infecting parents.” https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7268273/ Here is a study from Ireland which shows no evidence of secondary transmission of covid from children attending school. They tracked child contacts of cases and there were no confirmed secondary cases. http://ncirs.org.au/sites/default/files/2020-04/NCIRS NSW Schools COVID_Summary_FINAL public_26 April 2020.pdf A report on school-related transmission in New South Wales, Australia, examining the spread of SARS-CoV-2 from 18 confirmed cases (nine students and nine staff) from 15 schools identified only two potential cases of secondary school-based transmission, despite the identification of 863 close contacts https://www.rivm.nl/en/novel-coronavirus-covid-19/children-and-covid-19 A study from the Netherlands. Essentially repeating the same. https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/32371442/ From the NIH explaining the children are not Covid spreaders. https://www.npr.org/2020/06/24/882316641/what-parents-can-learn-from-child-care-centers-that-stayed-open-during-lockdowns NPR article on tracking spread at the YMCA from children of essential workers. “The YMCA says that during the lockdowns it cared for up to 40,000 children between the ages of 1 and 14 at 1,100 separate sites, often in partnership with local and state governments. And in New York City, the pandemic's national epicenter in March and April, the city's Department of Education reports that it cared for more than 10,000 children at 170 sites. Working in early days, and on very short notice, these two organizations followed safety guidance that closely resembles what's now been officially put out by the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. The Y says a few staff members and parents at sites around the country did test positive, but there are no records of having more than one case at a site. This, among a population of essential workers.”

that's why he said it aged well. posted this on the DT thread as well but thought it was worthwhile. https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/missing-context-covid-story-matt-mcpheely/?trackingId=JPI%2FuuNaQQSU9dJqqzvu2g%3D%3D

https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/missing-context-covid-story-matt-mcpheely/?trackingId=JPI%2FuuNaQQSU9dJqqzvu2g%3D%3D I found this informative

What is most frustrating about this is that Jenkins says as soon as they figured out they could delay and not get funding cut they pulled the trigger. Why are private schools impacted then? Kids aren’t dying from this and kids don’t spread it to adults. So what the fuck is the point.