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Horndog

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Everything posted by Horndog

  1. Trump won Texas 52% to 43%. About 4.5% voted third party or write-in. Lost in the wash from 2016 is this: "Texas was one of the eleven states where Hillary Clinton improved on Barack Obama's performance in 2012.[2]" https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2016_United_States_presidential_election_in_Texas Assuming the "I hate Hillary" phenomenon was just as prevalent in Texas as the rest of the country, that suggests a possible shift of a point or two in Biden's direction with everything else being the same. Now, if you add in the projection that the 1.5 million new voters (the half that vote) break 2-1 for Biden, you get to about a 3 - 4 point differential. A big unknown is how the smaller third party presence will impact the vote. Significant factors for 2020: 1. The "Hillary factor" is gone 2. Likely drift away from Trump by suburban women 3. Large number of new voters 4. Lesser third-party presence 5. Motivation
  2. https://www.google.com/url?sa=t&source=web&rct=j&url=https://www.houstonchronicle.com/politics/texas/amp/Texas-voter-registration-surges-trump-biden-record-15586286.php&ved=2ahUKEwjOktOkwqbsAhWIB80KHWQTBfQQFjAGegQIBBAB&usg=AOvVaw10W6DkFQdJ-3cpmA0qeJIa&ampcf=1 Texas has once again shattered vote registration records, adding more than 1.5 million voters since the last presidential election. In the four previous presidential election cycles, Texas added about 700,000 new voters on average — less than half as many as have been added this cycle.
  3. Posted this on another thread. There are 1.5 million voters registered in Texas who were not registered in 2016. That's close to 10% of the total.
  4. How about - The idea of adding justices is a hypothetical that has not been seriously discussed. It would require action by the duly elected representatives of both houses of congress. The only reason it is even a topic of speculation is because of the epic duplicity and hypocrisy of Mitch McConnel and his band of Trump enablers, who egregiously failed in their constitutional duty to advise and consent on the nomination of Merrick Garland yet now feel compelled to push forward with the approval of a new Justice in record time, literally in the middle of an election and while several members of the Senate are contagious with a deadly virus that this administration treated as an inconvenient hoax.
  5. Might be a good time for a one-on-one sit down with Putin.
  6. "... And I dreamed I was flying..."
  7. But it's all right, it's all rightWe've lived so well so longStill, when I think of the roadwe're traveling onI wonder what went wrongI can't help it, I wonder what went wrong
  8. Don't know where else to put this. Per the Secretary of State, there are about 16 million registered voters in Texas. I heard today that there are 1.5 million voters registered since 2016. That means that this is the first election for almost 10 per cent of registered voters in Texas.
  9. Might that explain his debate performance?
  10. But Biden will ruin the Suburbans.
  11. Pennsylvania. It's the single biggest reason why Biden is the Dem with the best chance to beat Trump.
  12. Maybe holding a few things back to drop right after Trump/Barr's upcoming October surprise. You know, like the Wikileaks dump happened an hour or so after the Access Hollywood tape.
  13. What Trump heard:"Boat him out."
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