So I asked Chat GPT to calculate the odds — this is 1 in a million weird. To calculate the odds of making back-to-back eagles on two par fours, we need to consider the probability of making an eagle on a single par four and then use this probability to find the odds of achieving this twice in a row. ### Probability of an Eagle on a Par Four 1. **Average Golfer**: The probability of making an eagle on a par four is extremely low for the average golfer. Eagles are rare events, typically more likely for professional golfers. 2. **Professional Golfer**: Even for professional golfers, the probability of making an eagle on a par four is quite low, possibly around 1% (or 0.01) or less, depending on the golfer and the specific hole conditions. ### Calculating Back-to-Back Eagles Assuming a probability \( p \) of making an eagle on a single par four, the probability of making back-to-back eagles on two par fours is: \[ p^2 \] ### Example Calculations - **Average Golfer (0.001 probability per hole)**: \[ p = 0.001 \implies p^2 = (0.001)^2 = 0.000001 \] Thus, the odds are 1 in 1,000,000. - **Professional Golfer (0.01 probability per hole)**: \[ p = 0.01 \implies p^2 = (0.01)^2 = 0.0001 \] Thus, the odds are 1 in 10,000. These calculations highlight how rare back-to-back eagles are, even for professional golfers, due to the low probability of achieving an eagle on any given par four.