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Goredho

Certifiably Surly
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Everything posted by Goredho

  1. Yep, I very well could be naive that this will change anything within our company or outside of it. But I hope something does, or the "broken eggs" will be worse than a few hundred billion market cap across a handful of companies. Whether or not that could be correctly characterized as broken eggs or catastrophic failures will largely depend on where one sits on a spectrum of sociopathy.
  2. Listen to @Captainant, @raw dog. He does this for a living, every day. We're in the peer review stage. If this is just Chinese propaganda, it will be a blip after being exposed as such in short order. If its not, its going to upend the game table for AI as alluded to in that post and as seen in the market yesterday. I don't think the Chinese would release DeepSeek as (sorta) open source if it would not pass scrutiny, but we will see. The problem is not looking at how to make differentiating products and intellectual property with AI. Its being pressured to provide "AI YESTERDAY" so that everyone is doing piss-poor work and slapping an "AI" sticker on it to check the AI box as quickly as possible to placate people who have no idea what they are pushing for or the risks being taken. We are one three mile island event at the hands of an AI managed system from "AI" becoming a dirty word. We're creating a context where that is more likely to happen, though this event will just cost hundreds of billions vs any human lives. I am hoping this event instills some sobriety in AI-drunk executives/directors/investors.
  3. Yep, every BOD meeting I am in for our company, the first question is, "What are you doing to bring AI to bear for our business?" No consideration for how AI might be applicable, just "We need AI, we need it yesterday." In the long run this will all be good for the industry, and some of that good would be dampen the pressure to wantonly adopt AI, any AI.
  4. Well, it seems like the Chinese went into the problem from a different perspective and found an elegant, simplified solution to the compute gluttony associated with training models. This happens a lot, but not at this scale of investment and publicity. Something foundational was missed by all the engineers for all the big AI players in the US who are used to operating with unlimited compute and capital. It really calls into question their leadership in the space. Its an oversimplified exaggeration, but billions of investment dollars have been sunk into what may wind up being a dead branch of the evolutionary tree of AI and at the urging of American technologists. How are investors going to react to that? There are going to be some tense board of director meetings coming up. Good article about the market implications. https://daringfireball.net/linked/2025/01/27/nvidia-deepseek-haircut To make a long story short, it’s been broadly assumed that leading-edge model training and inference requires the highest of high-end hardware — which hardware, especially for training, pretty much exclusively comes from Nvidia. The assumption was that any company trying to compete in this fiercely competitive field — a field with massive implications for industry, culture, and national security — must get in line to buy (or rent) enormous amounts of computational power exclusively available on the very best systems from Nvidia. That hardware isn’t available (at least legally) to Chinese companies, because of the Biden administration’s export bans. DeepSeek engineers found and implemented multiple massive efficiency improvements that allowed the company to train its latest models at far lower prices using far-less-capable hardware, and perform inference under heretofore unprecedented memory constraints. DeepSeek’s achievements render obsolete several prior planks of conventional wisdom regarding the state of AI. My link a few sentences prior in this paragraph is to a WSJ report from 14 days ago that now feels like it dates from at least 14 months ago.
  5. Those states should deport him back to Texas. LA MIGRA! VAMANOS!
  6. I mean, DDOSing government services with bullshit was a valid tactic before the election. Why stop now?
  7. Seen posted in a FB neighborhood page. ICEing will be the new SWATing. Hey Leopards! Look over there!!
  8. I read that in Al Swearengen‘s voice.
  9. Do it, Kylo Ren.
  10. Dude, have you seen my gear buying habits? I’m as patient as a teenagers first orgasm. Looking forward to playing it in 2 weeks!
  11. Cool. I would look at the Positive Grid Spark, too. It’s a pretty great product, but is pretty strictly in the “practice amp” space. I couldn’t imagine using it at a gig, but it’s primarily controlled via phone app and they’ve done a good job with app interface, etc… if you could have something that combined the small gig versatility of the Laney I linked with the modeling/control/app of the Spark that had a docking station for your phone, I’d be very interested in the product. PS I expect a prototype to beta test 😜
  12. Gotcha. So that Laney amp would be a direct market competitor for what you are investigating. I would say it works great, but for guitars, you need that other thing that will emulate the guitar amp and cab, then the Laney or any such product just amplifies that with little to no colour. A lot of people just use a PA. I would look at the new Fender FR-10 as a competitor, but it’s just kind of marketing itself as FRFR for guitar amp modeling. I use modelers live all the time. I don’t use via laptop, phone or tablet. I go for UAFX pedals and the Tonex One pedal. I go for pedal-based hardware for a couple reasons. First, a tablet feels fragile. Knock it off a stand, there goes your gig. Second is more logistic and how it incorporates it into a signal chain with pedals and all that. I don’t want to connect tablet to interface, have stuff running from my feet to the interface on a stand, back down to crap at my feet, etc…. With it all being pedalboard based, it can all stay wired up. I pull out the pedalboard, plug guitar into the first pedal in the chain, plug the last pedal into an FRFR speaker like the Laney and then go. I’m lazy like that. A new product that could mitigate those issues would be interesting. I would look into the speaker cabinet providing a docking station for your phone so the phone physically becomes one with the speaker/cabinet, then have a traditional amp fx loop in the back so you can connect it with a pedalboard like you would a normal tube amp. The phone would provide the DSP brain with whatever software you provide. You also might want to provide an impulse response loader in the speaker cabinet to provide speaker sounds so that doesn’t need to draw from the phone.
  13. Traveling today, but would look at Laney amps for role number one. I have this one, and it’s great. 12” plus horn, 5 channels, fx loop, built in EQ and delay, line out to go to a PA if you need more reinforcement. I’ve run guitars through it (acoustic w/preamp and electric w/modeler), bass (w/modeler/preamp), keyboard (straight), mics (XLR) and even iPhone for backing tracks with RCA inputs. I’ve had a trio use this as the only amplification in a small bar/coffee shop setting. It’s a great Swiss Army knife that’s basically a 5 channel PA, amp and full range speaker built into a 1x12 combo enclosure and is designed exactly for what you are describing. Will see about answering B in a few. https://www.sweetwater.com/store/detail/AH150--laney-ah150-150w-12-inch-multi-input-combo-amp?mrkgadid=1000000&mrkgcl=28&mrkgen=gdsa&mrkgbflag=0&mrkgcat=studio&recording&acctid=21700000001645388&dskeywordid=39700065017603469&lid=39700065017603469&ds_s_kwgid=58700007231540659&device=m&network=g&matchtype=&adpos=largenumber&locationid=9029128&creative=706902477314&targetid=aud-439454427786:dsa-1385849839650&campaignid=13710079600&awsearchcpc=1&gad_source=1&gclid=Cj0KCQiA4rK8BhD7ARIsAFe5LXJzyJO4stbVUOj_PMKGtIQpbxLH60dGjPDGxcg-l892ASy68exL2F0aAjHZEALw_wcB&gclsrc=aw.ds
  14. This is true. Our local high school's music teacher is a very nice lady well versed in theory and playing the piano. But I've been volunteering to help her because more than half the people she has in music class wants to play guitar. So her and I collaborate on how to translate what she has to teach to the guitar for the students that are focusing on it. Was pretty cool last year, they did a really nice concert culminating with a pretty damn good rendition of Journey's "Seperate Ways" as if performed by Lynyrd Skynyrd and 2134091234 guitarists. I have no idea how they settled on that song or the rest of their setlist. Its a small town that time forgot, apparently.
  15. This is great advice. I had a piano in the house from infancy, and at one time I was a pretty decent piano player. My older brother got a guitar in high school, he had a friend who was a drummer. They needed a bassist, so I got drafted. Anyway, through middle school on high school, I had a piano, gutiar and bass in the house, and that as much as anything has been a foundation of a lifelong love affair with music (though I had about a 10 year hiatus while kids were young).
  16. Nobody gives a shit, but after some time for thought, here is where I am at with the past season. Our OL was pretty good, but struggled against elite defensive lines. Our QB was pretty good, but was never very mobile, had to play hurt much of the time and became very jittery in the pocket as the year went on. Quinn being the statue he is was a less than ideal QB for our line given their limitations, and our line was less than ideal for Quinn given his limitations. A mobile QB would have had a better chance of success behind that line. This really only mattered when we played our two toughest opponents -- Georgia and Ohio State -- though it did help make some other wins unnecessarily close. Well we played those two opponents three times and lost all three, two of those losses costing us championships. In all 3 of those losses, an ineffectual offense was the primary factor. The damming thing about that to me, and its all on Sark, is that we had a mobile QB on the sideline that we could have meaningfully tried at any point during those 3 losses to see if their mobility made the difference. We never meaningfully tried. I say meaningfully because a couple series in the first half in the first GA game is not a meaningful attempt to see if an Arch offense could be more successful. I love Sark. He's our guy for the foreseeable future (if he wants to be) and rightfully so. But he needs to fucking reflect on that.
  17. Just name it “Johntay Cooked”
  18. #3 or #4 seems to be right in line with the ceiling of teams he leads. Very good. Just shy of greatness. I’ll be interested to see how he does in the pro game. If he can stay healthy, have less amplitude in the sine wave of his intensity and wants to eat, drink, shit and piss football he can have a career with a team. I hope he does it.
  19. One other thing I'll say about theory. As an intermediate student of it, I actually get a whole lot from ChatGPT conversations about music theory. I sit there at the piano or with a guitar, have a conversation and validate its responses with the instrument, and it's honestly really, really good. I don't think its better than having a knowledgeable teacher that I could ask questions of, but its better than static resources like books or videos that may mention theory phrases in passing like "secondary dominant chord" assuming the consumer knows what these mean. With AI, you can be like, "Hold up, what's a secondary dominant chord?" It's the best standalone resource outside of a skilled teacher that I know of right now.
  20. Music theory can be very dry and abstract. I would not push towards theory until her own personal development as a musician/composer leads her to music theory. Jimmy's advice is probably going to wind up being the best. I would look for a teacher that can help foster her skill with the piano and whatever instrument she will play in band. Piano is the best tool for understanding music, imo. Scales, chords, melody, harmony, etc... There are reasons most symphonic composers write and arrange on a piano and its not because it sounds more beautiful than a violin.
  21. Dude is the embodiment of "life is what you make of it."
  22. No one. Everything is speculative at this point, and I am sure Quinn's not saying anything yet is to see what colleges offer him in the time he has before he must declare one way or the other. He'll see what he can make in college for a year vs where he's likely to get drafted and make a decision.
  23. Best I have seen for Ewers after our playoff exit is a 3rd round pick. Assuming that's true and where he would be drafted, and assuming someone is offering him $3-$6 million NIL to transfer and play another year of college ball, he should transfer and take that money. More than half the players drafted in round 3 or lower will get their rookie contract and thats it. The average 3rd round QB rookie contract is worth 5.5 to 6 million over 4 years, or 1.375 to 1.5 million a year. Only the signing bonus of $800,000 to $1.2 million is guaranteed. He could get hurt, damaged beyond repair, and that's it. If he goes pro this year, odds are he makes $5.5 to $6 million more on his football career and that's it. Maybe less if he gets injured and can't complete his rookie contract. If he transfers for $4 million, plays a season and gets drafted in the same spot for a single rookie contract, odds are he makes $9.5 to $10 million more on his football career and that's it. Maybe less if he gets injured and can't complete his rookie contract, but he'd have the $4 million in the bank regardless of what happens to him as a pro. The calculus for "getting paid" for your football skills is changing radically and rapidly.
  24. Why the fuck would I open one of those at night? They are fucking empty.
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