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KYHorn

Certifiably Surly
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Everything posted by KYHorn

  1. A reporter from the British Telegraph had just left minutes earlier (and unexpectedly due to a last minute interview opportunity). He said the restaurant is frequented by military, but just like any restaurant would be in an area that has an ongoing war. The Ukrainians arrested a guy they said was taking pictures of the location and sending it to the Russians.
  2. Despite the encouraging statements by Russian officials, the Antonovsky Bridge foothold is causing a very palpable concern among the Russians. All day yesterday they discussed the footage of Russian soldiers ending up under a heavy barrage while attempting to moor on the Dnieper in a small boat. This was followed by mass calls to find boats all across Russia and bring them in. Today, even Girkin who previously dismissed the perspectives of such a foothold, came out with a very long post saying Russians are unable to "dislodge" the Ukrainian defence forces (full post here t.me/strelkovii/5847, here t.me/strelkovii/5848 and here t.me/strelkovii/5849).
  3. Thanks for the detailed explanation, Wulaw. Only thing I'd add from my experience is that slightly above median might help cut out the lower quality renters and give you more responsible tenants. This could lower maintenance costs and hassle, even if it's not truly the best bang for your buck like the heralded duplex model. We just got some renters locked in to a 2 year lease who might have higher incomes then us. They're moving from Boston and settling into a bit of a slower-paced lifestyle and were impressed with how far their rent dollars could go in Lexington, KY. Leverage it through the income stream? I wonder how long you have to demonstrate income from renting the property to do this.
  4. An incredible number. This war won't leave the Ukrainian conscience for centuries. I read a report last week about a British nonprofit that is arranging telehealth and virtual therapy to help give Ukrainians access to the care they need. This shows how important that work is to rebuilding Ukraine. I also wonder what the corresponding figure in Russia is.
  5. Surovikin just left for "a quick errand"
  6. Ukrainian drone hits Russian trenches, Russians catch on fire, hilarity ensues. https://twitter.com/front_ukrainian/status/1674383627633803270?t=dI9GCSl8OmIc-YCHvaBWIQ&s=19
  7. Could be some of the motivation behind the pause in the offensive, which seems to have resumed a bit
  8. Probably have some good TikTok content tho
  9. Conclusions 1. Most of Prigozhin's connections in the elites are non-public, but even from open sources of information it is clear that they are branched and multi-level. 2. The most "hidden" is the information about possible "sympathizers" of Prigozhin among army generals and representatives of other security agencies. 3. It's not the generals who are the most promising, but middle-ranking officers, who see prospects for career growth in case of implementation of Wagner's demands to oust Shoigu and Gerasimov 4. Prigozhin "probed the ground" in the regions, not all the governors who came into contact with him "lit up" the way the governor of Kursk Region did. 5. Prigozhin's position among creative elites is probably the least strong. However, at this stage, this is compensated for by the presence of "anonymous co-creators" who hone his public image and prepare appropriate narratives for the "masses at large". What could be the agreements and the possible development of the situation: 1.The transfer of "control" over a region far outside the North Caucasus fits into the logic of "expanding opportunities" for Chechen leadership and "growing fees for loyalty". 2. Chechen formations are more like policemen than army storm troopers. Their effectiveness on the "Ukrainian" front is questionable and not objectively confirmed. From this point of view, using them to strengthen control in the border region is a quite rational step (if only because it does not weaken the grouping directly on the frontline). 3. Unlike Putin and Prigozhin, Kadyrov has certain "constraints" in terms of the level of acceptable losses among ethnic Chechens. They will definitely be less in Belgorod region than they were somewhere near Bakhmut. 4.Despite public bravado, the Kremlin is not completely sure that the Russian Volunteer Corps and Freedom for Russia Legion units cannot receive support from local (Russian) population in the border area. Therefore, it "insures" itself by introducing a Chechen formation at the border, which cannot be "swayed" by the ideas of "free Russia". 5. The potential for conflicts (on national and religious grounds) between the "Ahmatovites" and the local population in the Belgorod region is quite high. However, it is impossible to predict how serious and resonant they will be.
  10. Prigozhin audio message 10:19AM BST - "no one will surrender to the demands of the President": "Regarding the betrayal of the Motherland, the President is deeply mistaken. We’re patriots of our Motherland. We fought and we are fighting, all fighters of PMC Wagner. And no one is going to surrender to the demands of the President, FSB, or anyone else. Because we don’t want the country to live further in corruption lies, and bureaucracy. When we fought in Africa, we were told that we needed Africa, and then they dumped it, because they stole all the money that was meant to come for help. When we were told we are fighting with Ukraine, we went and fought. But it turned out that the ammo, weapons, all money put towards this were also being stolen, while officials are sitting and saving them for themselves for an incident that happened today, when someone is going towards Moscow." Now they are not saving anything, they are striking us with planes and helicopters at the columns with civilians. And they hit civilians because they’re missing. And they hit anywhere they can. Thus, we are the patriots, but those resisting us today are those who gathered around scumbags.
  11. https://twitter.com/albafella1/status/1672443116744310785?t=NPTKdiLJRkQf-JZ2MBSlDA&s=19 Unidentified people in camouflage cordoned off not only the headquarters of the Southern Military District in Rostov, but also the buildings of the head office of the Ministry of Internal Affairs, the FSB department, the administration of Rostov and one of the police departments, reports the local publication 161ru The sources write that at present the building of the headquarters of the Southern Military District has been captured by the "Wagners"
  12. The Russian Ministry of Defense has announced that Elements of the 35th and 36th Marine Brigades of the Ukrainian Naval Infantry are taking advantage of the “Disorganization caused by Prigozhin” and are currently attempting to Breakthrough the Frontline near Bakhmut; Ukrainian Sources are claiming that multiple Streets in the Western District of the City have been Captured so far.
  13. I was wondering if the Chechens might get invited
  14. These are a lot of official sources, so either it's a complete smokescreen of some kind with all actors in on it or there's actually fire under all the smoke
  15. Hopefully Ukraine can milk this for all it's worth The Rubicon has been crossed. According Russian regime media “RIA” the FSB has opened a “criminal case against Prigozhin for calling an armed rebellion”. Peskov also announces that Putin “has been informed”. There is no coming back from this. Somebody is going to lose his head. Ukrainian "Bakhmut Demon" 😳: "The leftovers of Wagners on the outskirts of Bakhmut opened fire on the regular roads of the Russian Federation. Our assault brigades see everything, systematic strikes are now being carried out on the positions of the Russians. You would hear the radio broadcast of these *** now. The impression is that part of the Russian regular troops are killing their own, and it seems that part of the military is supporting Prigozhin. While it is not clear what is finally happening, it is a bloodbath"
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