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Hank Chinaski

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Everything posted by Hank Chinaski

  1. Hank Chinaski
    Obligatory
  2. Hank Chinaski
  3. Hank Chinaski
    Yes. Thus, if I were a manager, I’d play the players more likely to perform so that I’d look smart more frequently.
  4. Hank Chinaski
  5. Hank Chinaski
    Arbitrary time frame and short sample that means absolutely nothing.
  6. Hank Chinaski
    It is real, but the effect size described in the article was like 14 points of OPS. Which is something, but not an enormous difference over an entire season, much less a few games. There’s no reason to think Diaz is a great hitter when he catches and a terrible hitter when he DHs is there? Note: I agree, of course, that he should be catching; not arguing that. Just saying that I think it is almost entirely small sample noise that makes him appear hapless as a DH.
  7. Hank Chinaski
    Who among us couldn’t, am I right?
  8. Hank Chinaski
  9. Hank Chinaski
    We’ve given total control of the organization to Dusty fucking Baker. We are the bizarro Astros - from Lunhow to Dusty. Jim Crane experienced unprecedented success…and decided to do the exact opposite of what got him there. Fuck it, I fully, 100% hope the Astros lose tonight, because stupid fucking actions should be met with consequences. Dusty has put his feeling over the team’s success all year long. Crane has endorsed it. I have no idea what Brown does. This really is the perfect end. To the season and to the org’s run of success.
  10. Hank Chinaski
    HAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHA Seriously, fuck this team. Perfect fucking lineup for a must-win game. Cherry on top of this clown show of a season. The Astros are a dumb, dumb organization.
  11. Hank Chinaski
    We’ve been operating as a dumb organization, top to bottom, since the ‘22 WS ended.
  12. Hank Chinaski
    Deal.
  13. Hank Chinaski
    This seems early.
  14. Hank Chinaski
    Yes! A tradition nearly as good as the “first time Kyle Field visitor” stories…. Derek Farmer > Cedric Benson Reggie McNeal > VY Lets see how this one works out.
  15. Hank Chinaski
    I’m going with laughing. It’s tragic comedy. Matter of fact, I had this exchange with @Wulaw Horn about a week ago: Me: I’m embracing the comedic element of all this. Like, Shakespearean comedy, not real comedy. Wulaw: Shakespeare sucks.
  16. Hank Chinaski
    Still not trying to win. Awesome.
  17. Hank Chinaski
    Seems unlikely.
  18. Hank Chinaski
  19. Hank Chinaski
  20. Hank Chinaski
    The owner shouldn’t tell the manager who to play. The owner should create an org structure such that that the front office/GM/analytics staff and the manager are on the same page. What’s insane is allowing the manager to play the wrong players.
  21. Hank Chinaski
    It’s a sample size thing. You maximize your team’s odds of winning any given game by starting your best players. Over a big enough sample - like 162 games - it does matter who you play at catcher. If we flipped totals of MM and YD starts at catcher, this team probably has about 4 more wins than it currently does. Those wins are pretty important. Again, it’s what people have been screaming all season, and right now is exactly why. this team never had the luxury of fucking around with subpar lineups as frequently as it did. (And I’m not talking about the injuries - I’m talking about catcher, Chas sitting 25% of the time, the stupid batting orders, etc.)
  22. Hank Chinaski
  23. Hank Chinaski
    Regression in that several starters - Javier, France, Bielak - had results that were significantly better than the underlying data suggested they should be for a first couple months of the season. Regression in that Brown was a rookie who had never thrown a lot of innings and was unlikely to sustain his fast start. Regression from the bullpen compared to 2022, when almost to a man they were outstanding (bullpens are notoriously variable from year to year).
  24. Hank Chinaski
    That’s the whole point. They haven’t been good enough for an extended period at any point all season. It has been evident since April that we won’t even play our best players consistently and that the pitching regression was coming hard. (Though the pitching actually kept us afloat for a while and the regression didn’t really hit until the second half.)
  25. Hank Chinaski

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