Jump to content

Hank Chinaski

Legacy Members
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    3,435

  • Joined

  • Last visited

 Content Type 

Everything posted by Hank Chinaski

  1. Hank Chinaski
    Would be a lot cooler if it were…
  2. Hank Chinaski
    Ok…I guess my expectations were around 95-98 before the Altuve injury, and have now been reduced by 3 or so (92-95). Perhaps I’m expecting more regression from the starting pitching than you are. Incremental wins over 90 tend to matter a lot.
  3. Hank Chinaski
    You can, but the longer you tread, the less likely it becomes.
  4. Hank Chinaski
    Pena can’t be expected to be better just because he’s not a rookie anymore; I need to see a big jump in plate discipline numbers to expect anything more than average production out of him. I’m not saying this is no longer a playoff team; just that your expectations for the 2023 season should be significantly reduced with Altuve out for 1/2 the season (hopefully less, but I’d be surprised to see him before the AS break). I think your 97.5 W number was about right before yesterday; I think it’s more like 94.5 now - still good, but significantly less good, and reasonably likely the difference between playing an extra playoff round or not. (Not to mention that we are deprived the joy of watching Jose Altuve play baseball for 3 months.)
  5. Hank Chinaski
    I mean, if you want to intentionally reduce the odds of scoring runs, sure, they’re great leadoff options. It is completely irrational to give these guys the most ABs on the team. If you want to increase the odds of scoring runs, which I’d assume would be the goal in every single game, go with someone more likely to reach base.
  6. Hank Chinaski
    115? That would be like a 99.9th percentile outcome with everyone healthy all year, which already wasn’t happening (McCullers, Brantley, Yordan) even before Altuve’s thumb. A 50th percentile outcome - with everyone healthy - is probably about 95. The o/u on Altuve’s games played is what - 80? That’s 2.5 fewer wins. How about Yordan? 100? Another 2 or so. We’re going to assume the 5 starters aren’t going to miss a start, aren’t going to regress at all? o/u on McCullers IP - 50? So now we’re looking at more like 90 provable wins. (Yes I’m making these numbers up on the spot, but they seem like fair estimates, no?) Each of these injuries decreases the odds and brings the probable W total down. The season outlook is much worse than it was 24 hours ago - I think that’s unarguable. Can they still win the West? Sure. Is it significantly less likely? Absolutely.
  7. Hank Chinaski
    My man…that just became significantly less likely.
  8. Hank Chinaski
    People are drawn to belief in conspiracies because it makes them feel better. It explains away something that they don’t like, it excuses them from any sort of responsibility. Conspiracy theories create “bad guys,” characterized as puppet masters, at whom theorists can direct their anger. And because conspiracies carry no burden of proof, they are malleable and can fit any narrative one might make up. They’re for hyperemotional, discontented, irrational dipshits. When you keep this in mind, the prevalent sentiment on texags makes a lot more sense.
  9. Hank Chinaski
    Yeah that’s probably about 50 fewer hits for 2023.
  10. Hank Chinaski
    Disagree. Assuming he’s out until around Memorial Day, Altuve is probably about 2 wins better than his replacement in April-May. 2 wins matter when a division winner has to play in the wild card round. You can’t just replace a top-10 offensive player in the game with hot garbage and expect it to not matter. Throw in Yordan’s fucked-up hand, McCullers’s unreliability, Brantley’s shoulder/age…plus, Seattle figures to be better, the Angels still have the 2 best players in the sport (and have some upside in their rotation), etc…feels like we’re using up our margin for error right off the bat. talk me off this ledge, @Wulaw Horn.
  11. Hank Chinaski
    Also, can Profar still play 2B? I know he didn’t at all last year but SD didn’t need him there either. I’ve kinda wanted him since Diaz left. I’d definitely prefer him to Dubon but, yeah, I know.
  12. Hank Chinaski
    8-10 weeks…of the regular season? Or starting now? I assume the next 8-10 weeks.
  13. Hank Chinaski
    If anyone other than Tucker, Bregman or Yordan is hitting leadoff every day I swear to fucking god I’m gonna stroke out before April is over (in the event Altuve misses the first 2 months).
  14. Hank Chinaski
  15. Hank Chinaski
  16. Hank Chinaski
  17. Hank Chinaski
  18. Hank Chinaski
    That’s a thing? I wish that that imbecile Jeff Fisher had the common sense to install something resembling the current Ravens’ system when he had VY. Imagine watching VY’s college tape and deciding to spend a top-5 pick on him and then throw him into a system that limits exactly what made him lethal in college. Baltimore devised an offense that enabled Jackson to win a goddamn MVP award. (Nobody will ever convince me that VY couldn’t have been at least as good as Lamar in the nfl in a similar system.)
  19. Hank Chinaski
    1. Nolan (by a lot) 2. Alou 3. Yuli 4. Brantley
  20. Hank Chinaski
    Just because it doesn’t make any goddamned sense whatsoever to make both of these claims doesn’t mean that it will stop them from doing so…
  21. Hank Chinaski
    I mean, Brantley at 2 is fine (if less than ideal) but basing the decision on one guy having been good for longer than another guy is…well y’all know what it is.
  22. Hank Chinaski
    Sorry for partying.
  23. Hank Chinaski
    I like the pitch clock. Watching guys go through their elaborate series of nervous ticks before every goddamn pitch gets old. They’ll adjust during the season. Maybe MLB will tweak the duration of the clock after the season, but I’d bet it’s popular and here to stay.
  24. Hank Chinaski
    Good lord, their extreme victim complex is astounding and embarrassing (“nobody likes us, we’re always the target, it’s all a big conspiracy against us, blah blah blah”). For a bunch that prides itself on being salt-of-the-earth tough guys, they sure do feel very sorry for themselves and go to asinine, delusional extremes to blame everyone else for their shortcomings. What a bunch of goddamned weenies.
  25. Hank Chinaski

Football ... Basketball ... Baseball ... Other Sports ... Futbol ... 🤫995🤫 ... Gambling ... Movies & TV ... Music ... Hobbies ... Lulz ... Food & Travel ... Daily Texan ... Business and Markets ... Cloak Room ... Help ... For Sale ... Board Discussion ... Subscribe!... Donate!... Advertise... COOKIE MONSTER!

×
×
  • Create New...