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Hank Chinaski

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Everything posted by Hank Chinaski

  1. Yordan career wRC+: vs Righties - 165 vs Lefties - 164 Teams have to know this, yet they still go out of their way to get the L-L matchup. It’s fascinating.
  2. I’m not much of a betting man. And if I were to bet, I’d bet the probabilities, which probably would still put them a little over 90. Currently I’d take the under on 95 though (that’s their lowest total since 2017, bullshit Covid year excluded).
  3. Gonna have to ask you to show your work here…
  4. I’m really not losing my shit; just expressing frustration with the off-season negligence (though I tried to remain optimistic) that has led to a team that is probably heading for 85-90 wins. But, point taken, I’m being a bit of a beating here, I’m not here to ruin yalls good time, so I’ll shut the fuck up with the critical things.
  5. I did. And we’re essentially down an MVP-caliber player and a CY-caliber starter from that team. Yes Abreu is an upgrade over Yuli, but not nearly enough of one to overcome replacing Altuve and Brantley with Dubon and Diaz. It’s almost certainly a worse team than last year.
  6. Glad he’s pain-free while [checks notes] playing catch, but that doesn’t give me a lot of confidence in his ability to make a meaningful difference this year.
  7. LMJ has never been dependable when it comes to consistently making his starts. He’s very good when he plays, he just doesn’t play often. He’s made more than 22 starts (about 2/3 of a season) one time in 7 years. Anything he provides in 2023 will be a bonus. Urquidy is above-average? I like him, but he was as average as it gets last year (98 ERA+). Brown has started 2 MLB games. I am excited about his potential, certainly, but he’s more likely to be just-ok than to be good this year. (And that would be fine, you can’t expect rookies to light the world on fire…that’s the point.)
  8. Yes, but it didn’t even have to be those guys. I’d much rather have retained Diaz than Dubon in a utility role. Why didn’t we have interest in Profar, who could be plugged in at 2B right now with his .330-ish OBP? Most of all, if you want to punt on offense at C, you can’t also do it at DH and CF. We basically made the decision to fucking skip the off-season by not having a GM; that has consequences. Maybe I’m too gloomy; I just see an offense with one great hitter, 3 good ones, and then a bunch of hot garbage. I see a rotation with 2 really good starters, a decent one, an average one, and a totally unproven one. And bullpens are schizo. I dunno, take the names away and that sounds like a solid WC team to me.
  9. Don’t know what that is and am hesitant to google it. Probably, that sounds like me. Though I think my expectation was a couple of months (not necessarily the first couple though).
  10. Agree on Chas. Not sure about Hensley, but there are things to like with him. No idea if he’s a viable defensive option at 2B though.
  11. It sucks, but not sure there’s much Dusty can do about it. And add in that Pena is a totally average hitter until he proves he’s not (postseason small sample didn’t prove that)…and that’s 5/9 of the lineup that is average to terrible offensively. Not great, Bob. Losing Altuve for 1/3 of the season is a fucking disaster. Signing Brantley never really made sense to me, given his likely (and now realized) unavailability. Maybe actively choosing to not have a GM for most of the off-season wasn’t the best idea. I just don’t see all the “depth” this team supposedly has, at least offensively. I don’t see it in the rotation either. And bullpens vary so much from year to year, who the fuck knows.
  12. Goddamn Diaz what a fucking horrid AB
  13. Damn nice work Neris
  14. Goddamnit Pena
  15. They look like hammered dogshit
  16. Cease is obviously on his game but Astros have had some shitty ABs too.
  17. The question was “what NL team will you be watching.” That doesn’t imply that your “heart beats for” them. It implies that you have some degree of interest in watching them for some reason.
  18. I live in Albuquerque, and honestly I have no idea. I’ve purchased the mlb.tv package every year since I’ve lived here and I’ve never had traditional cable here. The D-Backs and Rockies are blacked out on mlb.tv. That hasn’t been much of a problem but AZ looks to be interesting this season. Ironically, I’d probably have legit interest in the Rockies by now because their AAA team is here and I go to a fair number of games every season, but since they’re blacked out, I’ve really never developed that interest.
  19. D-Backs should be interesting with their high-end young talent, though I can’t say I’ll be “watching” them because they’re blacked out on mlb tv where I live. Padres will be fun because of the possibility of getting the Soto/Tatis of 2019-2021, which would be incredible. Plus they have another future HOFer in his prime.
  20. He legitimately looked nothing like he did when he coached at Texas even when he was still coaching at Texas.
  21. My prediction: I’ll make some asinine post comparing this year’s team to some shitty Astros team from years past, like how I astutely compared last year’s team to the 2006 Astros. Let’s ruin everybody else’s entire goddamned summer and fall and win the whole goddamned thing again.
  22. Fangraphs has him ranked #79 overall as a 50 FV prospect - meaning an average MLB starter. Their #39-100 are all considered 50 FV prospects, so that could be considered a tier, with the difference between any of them being very minor, perhaps negligible (but rankings get clicks). I think that’s fair. He’s 25…top prospect lists are always going to be dominated at the top by the young, tooled-up guys or the highly-drafted college players who are big-league ready. Anyway, one thing I really like about the Fangraphs prospect list is that they include a “probability of outcomes” chart for each guy, which provides more context (not sure how they’re calculated, but I’d assume it’s based on age, performance in minors across key metrics like K rate, etc). For Diaz, they have him as about a 25% chance of being a 50/55, 15% chance of being a 60/65 (all-star-ish), and about a 10% chance of being a 70+ (MVP-ish). That feels about right to me, and if you told me right now he’ll be an average MLB starter, I’d take it in a heartbeat.
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