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Hank Chinaski

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Everything posted by Hank Chinaski

  1. Yeah, no. He’s short of 50 WAR and 2,000 hits right now. There’s no way he gets in if his current numbers are his final numbers. He needs to compile at least 12-15 more WAR and 600+ more hits for voters to support him en masse. I think he gets there, but he certainly isn’t there yet.
  2. I don’t think so; I mean, there will be some pushback, but I don’t think it’ll be overwhelming. There’s a lot of time between now and then - let’s say 5-6 more active seasons, then 5-year waiting period. By then, the electorate is probably more analytically-inclined and further removed from the sensationalism of the last few years (which bodes well for Altuve given the evidence that his performance was unaffected by sign stealing). At some point people will realize how silly all of this is, and I think that’s enough time to get there. Agree that it may not be first ballot, but I think he gets in with a few more seasons like his last couple.
  3. My dear god these guys are the best. ”can you believe they’re posting NIL stuff on social media?!?” ”Arch is overrated and horrible, so horrible that he when can’t beat out Ewers (also horrible), he’ll transfer to Georgia, and then they’ll really be screwed!” (Seriously, try unpacking the logic in that one.) ”#5 LSU” I used to assume that they don’t actually believe the things they say; I think I was wrong.
  4. I love Berkman, but this is dumb. Berkman was a better hitter than Rolen, but defense exists too, and Rolen is an all-time great at 3B. It is (imperfectly) measurable and accounted for in their WAR totals (both FG and B-R value his defense roughly the same). Lance was a better hitter than a lot of guys in the HOF, he was just about 3 healthy seasons short of making it.
  5. I think eventually Altuve will be viewed differently - possibly even somewhat sympathetically, as it will be recognized that he bore an outsized brunt of the vitriol aimed at an entire franchise (including non-players), particularly given that (1) it is well-documented that he didn’t really do anything; (2) statistically-inclined voters (who should continue to make up more and more of the electorate) will acknowledge that his actual production seems totally unaffected by any sort of sign-stealing advantage (home/road splits, before/after 2017, etc); and (3) he was a key player on a second WS title team. I’m optimistic on his Hall chances.
  6. I mean yeah, if Ausmus is named GM I’m going need y’all to organize safety checks on me around the clock for a while. I’d rather Dubon bat fucking leadoff 162 times this year than that.
  7. Goddamnit y’all, Dubon is gonna hit second one night and I’m gonna fuckin bitch about it in here, because it will be stupid no matter how many games the goddamn team wins. That said, I’m proud of myself for not yet ranting about having a vacancy at GM for an entire goddamn offseason. It seems unnecessary and counterproductive, but I’ve obviously been holding it together and haven’t overreacted. (But for fucks sake it would be nice to, you know, have a real GM. Preferably a good one.)
  8. What they also never seem to consider is…you’re in College fucking Station. That place sucks. It just does. It is a pissant town that doesn’t even feel like a college town - it feels like a suburb with no city attached. I’m not saying this is always a huge factor in athletes’ choices, but goddamnit they never even consider the possibility when they are discussing the reasons nobody wants to be there.
  9. I mean, I agree with you…but, in fairness, it appears that the girl holding the sign is around 8 years old.
  10. Agreed. 3B across MLB is historically strong right now. It is a bit of an underrepresented position in the HoF, but I see 2 (maybe 3) guys on that list who are nearing no-doubt status, and another 3 or 4 who have a shot based on their age/trajectory. I can argue, however, that Arenado should be no lower than 3rd on that list (and probably 2nd). He, Machado and Ramirez, to me, are the clear top 3 and Alex, Riley and Devers are the next tier.
  11. Well go fuck yourself, Ken.
  12. Ah, we’ve reached the stage at which they can finally start to acknowledge how good Bijan actually is, after a 3-year stretch of having to repeatedly remind each other about how overrated he was. This is an ag classic.
  13. Yup. I live in ABQ, so luckily I can watch the Astros via the MLB package. I cannot, however watch the Rockies or D-Backs. Which isn’t that big of a deal I guess, but like you say - in no way could I be considered “local” to Denver or Phoenix, and the blackout has no impact on how likely I am to drive 6 hours to Denver to attend a game. In fact, it probably makes it less likely: the AAA team in ABQ is the Rockies’ affiliate. I go to a handful of their games every year. If I could watch the Rockies on TV, I may be more likely to become more familiar with their overall system, to keep up better with their prospects coming through ABQ, and, with more general familiarity and interest, I may be more likely to get to Coors more often (we take a summer trip to Estes Park every summer, but it never occurs to me to stay in Denver for a night and take in a ballgame). Instead, I’ve been to one Rockies game in the 6 years I’ve lived here , and I kind of forget that the Rockies even exist (yes, part of that is because they’re a bizarre franchise who is almost never particularly competitive or interesting). All that is to say - there is no major professional team in NM…it isn’t practical to expect a large number of NM residents to attend Rockies games with any regularity. There is a natural local tie-in to the franchise with the AAA affiliate (which draws fans pretty well). Yet people here don’t seem particularly interested in the Rockies at all. I have to think that blacking out their games here reduces their popularity in an entire state. Anyway, I get that I could probably figure out a way to subscribe to some cable provider here and get rockies games if I really wanted to, and that these deals were signed when cord cutting was perhaps less ubiquitous, so I am just kind of yelling at clouds here…but it does seems absurd that they deliberately undercut an entire potential market’s ability to develop a relationship with a team.
  14. I feel this way and I’m not from the Bay Area. I’m from Houston and my team ceased to exist almost 30 years ago. SF has kind of been the team I pull for the last few years because (1) I like Shanahan and their style of play, and (2) I was a kid of the 80s and loved watching Jerry Rice, so there’s a little nostalgia.
  15. Yes, but you could ask: Why do the continue to _________? …and fill in the blank with any of the inane shit they continue to do, say, write, believe…and the answer from any reasonable person would be, “I have no fucking idea.”
  16. Sometimes I think about how Mack Brown (of all people) single-handedly destroyed that program and I chuckle to myself.
  17. I get your point, but I’d argue that Mack’s ability to attract, retain, and develop such a talented roster for a decade is exactly what made him a great coach. That’s part of a coach’s skill set - maybe the most important part.
  18. Fangraphs at one point created percentile outcomes on their top prospects lists, basically probability tables for performance outcomes for individual prospects. I’m sure teams have similar methods of estimating future value, and baked into that is the possibility that some guys will never produce any value. The assumption is that their predictive/odds methodologies are sound, and that such a thing can even be reasonably predicted. (I think it can.) So it’s basically an odds assessment. But yeah, deadline trades like the Bartolo Colon for Grady Sizemore, Brandon Phillips and Cliff Lee scared the piss out of a bunch of GMs for a long time. (As an aside, it’s a damn shame Sizemore couldn’t stay healthy - he was a tremendous player with HOF ability.)
  19. This is correct. The Texans began when I was 25 (and lived in Austin). I’ve never really cared about them one way or another. If everything were exactly the same except they wore Columbia blue and had oil derricks on the helmets, I’d be all the way in. It’s completely irrational, it’s literally rooting for laundry, but it is what it is.
  20. It seemed like they fired Culley because they wanted to hire Flores, and then all the lawsuit stuff flared up and that became a situation they wanted no part of. Then they just hired Smith. But I could be making that up.
  21. Look, I’m not going to pretend that I’m objective when it comes to this guy - he has pretty much every attribute I abhor in people: arrogant, zero humility, victim complex, loudmouth, attention seeking, childish, self-congratulatory, etc. We all know people like this, and they’re almost always insecure, full of shit and generally a drag to about around. But he has been accused specifically of being an abusive person, by multiple people. He has denied that he did anything that was extra-consensual in all cases. Maybe he really did nothing wrong, maybe he did - no idea. I tend to think he probably crossed some line, but maybe that’s because I think he sucks in general and it seems on brand.
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