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Hank Chinaski

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Everything posted by Hank Chinaski

  1. Hank Chinaski
    Me, every time I’m reminded of that goddamned ‘92 trade:
  2. Hank Chinaski
    Meh. It’s June and the Astros have a 9.5 game lead in their division. Bregman’s starting to hit. Alvarez is dominant. They had a bad inning in the middle of the season.
  3. Hank Chinaski
    Yeah it’s based on probabilities, and the probabilities of scoring are reduced tremendously when you add outs (even when advancing runners). Doesn’t mean it is never the right call, but there’s a reason it is almost never done in MLB anymore.
  4. Hank Chinaski
    Oh yeah, agreed…it is unlikely. The 2001 Mariners team that won 116 games sort of had a similar run that lasted the whole season.
  5. Hank Chinaski
    They’re also 16-6 in 1-run games. Those tend to even out (though not always; seems like the Rangers had an extraordinarily good record in 1-run games one year…maybe 2015 or 2016?). Then again, their Pythagorean expected win total is just about where they actually are, so it’s not like you can attribute their performance to date to luck.
  6. Hank Chinaski
    .438/.571/.813, 2 HR in last 5 games (before tonight). Season OPS has gone from .694 to .743 in a week.
  7. Hank Chinaski
    Haha 2-time Heisman finalist and 1st team all American QB who went 25-2 in 08-09 in games he started (25-1 in games he actually participated in for more than a quarter goddamnit). What a shame that would be.
  8. Hank Chinaski
    I mean, they probably were.
  9. Hank Chinaski
    As long as the top 5 includes Altuve, Brantley, Bregman, Alvarez and Tucker, I don’t actually care that much about the order. But I also think that Bregman will come out of his funk any time now.
  10. Hank Chinaski
    Why did they ever move them to where they didn’t belong in the first place?
  11. Hank Chinaski
  12. Hank Chinaski
    Same. I was 9. ‘86 was such a great season and that was such a fun Astros team. I hated the Mets too. But I actually liked Strawberry - he was just awesome to watch and holy shit did he have HOF talent (he was on a clear HOF track before the years of addiction caught up to him). And I hated Gary Carter, but then he got cancer and died pretty young, and turns out he wasn’t a bad guy. And I hated Keith Hernandez, but then a few years later he was on some damn good Seinfeld episodes, so I kinda started liking him. So my hatred for the Mets took a big hit. But Lenny Dykstra - fuck that guy now and forever.
  13. Hank Chinaski
  14. Hank Chinaski
  15. Hank Chinaski
    3/20 on balls in play. As you said, it happens.
  16. Hank Chinaski
    WSJ?
  17. Hank Chinaski
    Oof. So the Angels paid $70 million for him to play in 103 games and produce 1.2 fWAR over the 2021 and 2022 seasons. They’ll be paying him $35mm annually for the next 4 years. He’ll be 33 next season. I think I know why the Angels can’t ever get over the hump…
  18. Hank Chinaski
    He does spend, but he’s spent it foolishly. Maybe that’s on his GMs, not sure how those decisions were made. But that Pujols contract always looked absurd, as he was clearly paying a guy in his 30s (and into his 40s) for production from his 20s.
  19. Hank Chinaski
    They’ve paid a lot of money to Albert Pujols, Josh Hamilton, CJ Wilson and Justin Upton over the last decade. They have not gotten a lot of value out of those investments. Rendon could still turn it around, but so far that signing hasn’t paid off either.
  20. Hank Chinaski
    Nice seats.
  21. Hank Chinaski
    Altuve has 1829 hits, meaning that he’s 1231 hits away from Biggio. Throwing out the Covid season, he’s averaged about 162 hits/year over the last 3 (‘18, ‘19, ‘21). So, he’d need to keep up that pace for another 7.5 years to get there. That takes him to age 39, and that’s assuming he doesn’t slow down. I hope he gets there, but I’d bet the under. Yordan has 78 HR, so 371 behind Bagwell. If he averages 35 HR/year for the next 11 years he’d pass Bagwell. That takes him to age 36. He’s never actually hit 35 HR in a year though, so let’s give him 30/year. Then it takes him a little over 12 years, meaning he’d have to average 30 through age 37. If I had to bet on one or the other, I’d probably bet on Yordan. But the odds are against either of them.
  22. Hank Chinaski
    He is referring to what Goldy did not Betts right, Beau Vine and SB Bruin were arguing over who was hotter (in terms of recent hitting performance, I think) between Goldy and Betts a few weeks back. BV’s post was meant to highlight the fact that Betts has cooled off and Goldschmidt has remained locked in. That’s why I commented on Goldschmidt’s day.
  23. Hank Chinaski
    6/8 with 3 HR, 1 BB and 8 RBI is a solid day at the office.
  24. Hank Chinaski
    Astros entered the game with a .607 win%. That’s a 98-win pace. This is not a 98-win team. We are in the midst of a record correction. I think this is an 85-90 win team (.525-.555). So I’d expect the curve to continue to inch downward a little and then stabilize over time (winning % by game, 2022):
  25. Hank Chinaski
    False. But you’re close.

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