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Hank Chinaski

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Everything posted by Hank Chinaski

  1. That’s super cool. I studied exercise physiology in grad school and thought about going to biomechanics (another discipline in our dept) but never did. Wish I had and I do think biomechanical analysis the next big thing in sports analytics.
  2. I think so. A Brantley/Tucker/Conforto OF would be pretty bad defensively. But maybe not disastrous. And I imagine he could be had for a 1 or 2 year deal, which the Astros like.
  3. I like Conforto as a hitter but not sure he fits with this roster.
  4. You forgot the part about drafting Appel instead of Bryant and trading Hader at al for Gomez. Im just kidding, I know Lunhow was great, not arguing that. My point is that their circumstances couldn’t be more different. And I’m not saying Click is going well, more that I don’t know how to fairly evaluate him at this point.
  5. I mean, yeah, instead of being in a position to draft in the top 5 each year and then have those players become all-stars on rookie contracts (and inheriting Altuve and Springer), he took over with no first or second round picks and all the best players reaching free agency. It’s impossible to compare Click and Lunhow.
  6. He’s gone and we couldn’t do nothing about it.
  7. What this post presupposes is…they have a plan?
  8. holy shit, he’s already been in Tampa for 23 years?!?
  9. I think what we’ll see is top-tier teams taking a wait-and-see approach entering the season, with intentions of acquiring players to bolster the roster at midseason. Basically the approach the Astros have taken for a few years now. So, off-seasons characterized by short-term deals and trying to extend your key players before they reach free agency. Then looking to address specific needs at the deadline. But yeah, you’ll always have teams trying to do what the Mets are doing right now…but these will likely be the exception (and it’s not like it always works out). Good point about the byes - but remember that the owners wanted 14 teams in the playoffs.
  10. Yup. And this is a big reason why owners want expanded playoffs - because the more teams that get in, the less you have to spend, the less that true greatness is incentivized. Even seven-game series in baseball can be fluky and are often not won by the team with the best roster or that proved to be the best over a large 162-game sample. Goodrum is fine; $2mm for a veteran with positional flexibility is more or less “the scrap heap.” If they need a roster spot his salary won’t stop them from placing him back on the scrap heap. I hear you about getting another bat, and yeah there is current financial flexibility (relative to where the payroll has been). I’d be happy with a guy like Conforto or something like that (I’d rather have him than Soler)…he could probably be had for a short deal (a prove-it contract) and, if he is back to normal, isn’t much different than Bryant.
  11. Exactly. They are the coulda/woulda/shoulda heavyweight champions of the world.
  12. Fangraphs top-100 prospect list is out. They have Pena at #30 overall. That’s encouraging. https://blogs.fangraphs.com/2022-top-100-prospects/
  13. Also, I know the thread title reads “non-aggy,” but the 2020 A&M team epitomizes “overrated” more than any others in recent memory. Covid-shortened year meant that they played 10 games. They went 9-1 and finished the season ranked #4. Their loss was by 4 TDs. The combined record of the 9 opponents they defeated was 39-56. The best team they beat was Florida (8-4) at home. The only other decent team they beat was Mack’s UNC team in the Orange Bowl, and pretty much all of their best players sat out of the bowl game. That is the definition of an overrated team.
  14. I guess you’d have to consider 2007 LSU, as they won a “national title” with 2 losses (both to teams that finished the season unranked). There were 6 other teams from BCS conferences that finished that season with 2 or fewer losses, including a B12 team that went 12-1 and won the Orange Bowl, whose only loss was to the team that finished that year #4 in the polls.
  15. I said nothing about “big pharma” or “trust.” I said the science is explained in these papers. Identifying specific shortcomings within these studies and how they relate to one’s stance on the efficacy of vaccines is worthwhile conversation. Infographics loaded with straw men isn’t.
  16. This isn’t science either, this is propaganda. If you want to criticize the science, point out the flaws in these papers: https://scholar.google.com/scholar?hl=en&as_sdt=0%2C32&q=covid+19+vaccine+efficacy&btnG= This is the actual science. Not news stories, not memes, not propaganda, not op-eds, not bumper sticker tag lines. The actual science. Which means every conclusion that’s drawn is explained, the steps they used to draw these conclusions are described in excruciating detail, and anyone is welcome to review and identify specifically where the authors may have overlooked methodological flaws.
  17. Kiley McDaniel (ESPN prospect guy, formerly at Fangraphs) released his top 100 today. Has Pena ranked #48 and Hunter Brown at #88.
  18. Thanks for posting. I’m pretty encouraged by his thoughts on Pena, Lee and some others. Also I didn’t realize Perez hit that well last season…given all his injuries, that is exciting. Its not a flashy system right now, but the draft pick penalties are done now, so that figures to get better. If Pena and Lee can become average regulars in the next year or so, that would go a long way in keeping the lineup strong (Tucker and Alvarez should be elite offensively, Bregman could be also, Altuve should remain above average for a few more years, etc.). If a guy like Leon refines his game, he could be a star.
  19. I think a good outcome today would be “progress;” Manfred claims the revised offer is “good.” The players will disagree, it’s just a matter of how much they disagree, how much whatever the new proposal is can move things forward. If I had to guess, I’d guess it’ll be similar to ‘95, with a regular season shortened by a week or two. Spring training is almost certainly going to be delayed and the clock is ticking. With the WS already stretching into November, playing 162 games seems unlikely if you have to push opening day back much. I suppose there is hope for a relatively quick resolution and an abbreviated spring training. If no progress is made today, it’s not looking good.
  20. I mean, he said steroid use could have been a “factor.” That’s not really a crazy thought, given the links between anabolic steroid abuse and adverse effects on the liver, cardiovascular system, etc. Sure, it’s unlikely that what killed him was entirely and directly linked to steroid use, but suggesting that a behavior known to increase the risk of certain health issues could have been a factor in a (relatively) young man’s death isn’t “stupid.”
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