Everything posted by APMP
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2020 Presidential Election -- Biden v Trump: Sleepy Joe vs Dopey Don [Results begin on page 409]
Maine and Nebraska breakdowns look off. But yes, if Biden pulls it off the black vote in Milwaukee, Detroit, maybe Atlanta, maybe Philly will be a huge reason why.
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2020 Presidential Election -- Biden v Trump: Sleepy Joe vs Dopey Don [Results begin on page 409]
So I assume the odds/betting markets have seen blue shifts as well?
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2020 Presidential Election -- Biden v Trump: Sleepy Joe vs Dopey Don [Results begin on page 409]
Ralston says Nevada will count as long as needed on Wednesday but not report until Thursday morning.
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2020 Presidential Election -- Biden v Trump: Sleepy Joe vs Dopey Don [Results begin on page 409]
Where are the Twitter pundits using their models to forecast the remaining outstanding votes to tell me whether there is enough outstanding vote for Biden in PA, WI, and MI? (I realize the NYT needle is basically doing this for GA, and I have pretty much written off NC)
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2020 Presidential Election -- Biden v Trump: Sleepy Joe vs Dopey Don [Results begin on page 409]
Are there enough votes left in PA for Biden? Down 700k, means he needs to go 75% ish or more on the ballots remaining (including the 2m mentioned upthread), right?
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2020 Presidential Election -- Biden v Trump: Sleepy Joe vs Dopey Don [Results begin on page 409]
Biden up 14k in Washoe. Ralston calls that big for Biden. Hillary won Washoe by just 2700.
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2020 Presidential Election -- Biden v Trump: Sleepy Joe vs Dopey Don [Results begin on page 409]
Ralston live stream says Clark county numbers about to post.
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2020 Presidential Election -- Biden v Trump: Sleepy Joe vs Dopey Don [Results begin on page 409]
Biden seems to be really underperforming in Detroit SO FAR. Has me wondering...
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2020 Presidential Election -- Biden v Trump: Sleepy Joe vs Dopey Don [Results begin on page 409]
Biden winning GA would be a huge dent in Trump's chances, but they won't be done counting for a few days if so those earlier tweets are correct.
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2020 Presidential Election -- Biden v Trump: Sleepy Joe vs Dopey Don [Results begin on page 409]
With 2 million mail votes left to count, that feels like way too premature.
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2020 Presidential Election -- Biden v Trump: Sleepy Joe vs Dopey Don [Results begin on page 409]
Early voting language is "structure." https://statutes.capitol.texas.gov/Docs/EL/htm/EL.85.htm "Building" is in the election day language, different statute.
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2020 Presidential Election -- Biden v Trump: Sleepy Joe vs Dopey Don [Results begin on page 409]
Wonder if Harris County can put up some garages overnight around tomorrow's drivethrough voting spots. Garage gotta be a building right?
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2020 Presidential Election -- Biden v Trump: Sleepy Joe vs Dopey Don [Results begin on page 409]
Agree with all of this. However, I think he left the door open for a challenge on election day drivethrough votes by the correct plaintiff. Wonder how Harris County responds, i.e., whether they will have drivethrough voting tomorrow.
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2020 Presidential Election -- Biden v Trump: Sleepy Joe vs Dopey Don [Results begin on page 409]
Hanen dismissed for lack of standing. Said if 5C overturned, he would not toss cast ballots but would enjoin tomorrow's drivethrough voting. Intervention granted for people who already voted (just in case).
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2020 Presidential Election -- Biden v Trump: Sleepy Joe vs Dopey Don [Results begin on page 409]
Over/under on Surly peeps on the Hanen Zoom call is 5. I take the over, I am one of them.
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2020 Presidential Election -- Biden v Trump: Sleepy Joe vs Dopey Don [Results begin on page 409]
Hanen might allow the 127k ballots but try and turn off drivethrough voting for tomorrow.
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Voter Suppression
That is the state court case but the federal one remains pending right?
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2020 Texas Early Voting Numbers
I believe that they are either segregated or are marked in a way that enables separation. Otherwise maybe some forgetful or clumsy employee will accidentally knock over a couple of baskets onto the floor...wouldn't that be a tragedy?
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2020 Texas Early Voting Numbers
Someone like this needs to be a countersuit plaintiff. Immediately. Add in people who may be going through chemo, etc. and would have been a lot more as risk voting in person after Abbott refused to mandate masks at the polls.
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2020 Presidential Election -- Biden v Trump: Sleepy Joe vs Dopey Don [Results begin on page 409]
All Immigrant-commited Murders Matter. How could they forget all the lives taken by legal immigrants?!
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2020 Presidential Election -- Biden v Trump: Sleepy Joe vs Dopey Don [Results begin on page 409]
I'm not reading too much into it. Their lawyers have still donated more to Biden.
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Ted Lasso (Apple+)
My wife loved this show so much that she wanted to immediately rewatch the new episode every week. There are so many jokes that landed better the second time around.
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Chelsea 2020-2021: Campeones de Europa
Pulisic and Werner is going to be an exceptional combination. But they are gonna keep dropping points until the defense is fixed in January.
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2020 Astros Season Thread
Brent Strom should be a first ballot Hall of Famer
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Texas 2020 general election
Ok well played.