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Macanudo

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Posts posted by Macanudo

  1. Also, and this is why I am feeling very pessimistic....    If this supposed swing for Biden where he ends up with a 200-300k lead is going to happen, we should be seeing more significant swings.   Since last night, there has been a very modest 40k swing or so with only about 10k of that since around 8:00.   

    There "could" be anywhere from 400-700k votes out there but with Allegheny saying they are pretty much done (and that was only about 30-35k) how do we get to +200k for Biden.    

    The numbers need to start moving and pretty drastically or this is not going to happen.

  2. 3 minutes ago, heso said:

    There will be no more votes out today from Allegheny county today. The only remaining ballots there (35,000) need to be “examined”. A big group of of those, potentially as many as 29,000, are from voters that got the wrong ballots. The company in Ohio that printed those ballots assigned the wrong addresses. So you may have had the wrong down ballot races on your ballot. I don’t know what they plan to do with those. The rest are ballots that didn’t have the security envelope or were damaged in the mail. Those won’t be examined until tomorrow for some reason. 

    That seems like kind of a big deal.   I think the 60/40 or 70/30 split Biden needs was hoping to get 25K or so votes out of Pittsburgh today.

  3. 2 minutes ago, Dbeasy said:

    All of the posts of the last 45 minutes have made me way more nervous, not less. AZ and NV were the two critical states in my mind because I still don’t believe the PA calcs.

    Yeah, I'm feeling that way too.     And I am more and more worried about NV.   I think AZ holds.    I don't have any confidence in GA and I think the PA votes aren't going to be there.

     

    If I'm wrong, I'll be thrilled.

  4. 4 minutes ago, mdmost said:

    Nevada is frustrating because I get it, they don't want to have another lockdown and shut down Vegas and Reno so you maybe vote for Trump since you know he won't lock it down. But here's the deal, unless there's a coherent policy, you're not getting people going back to Vegas any time soon. Look at Disneyworld. They are laying off employees in the 10,000s each month. People are not going back there yet. 

    It's not like we don't have a long history of people voting against their own self-interest, right?

  5. 31 minutes ago, Coyote said:

    You think of distance like my wife. 

    Childress to Amarillo is about a 2 hour drive.

    It's about 70 miles.  Sure, there a few stop lights and speed zones but if it takes you 2 hours to drive 70 miles then you drive like your grandma.

  6. Thanks Wash.   That's the first that I had seen that about NC.   Also, the 117K number is interesting as well.   So far, there have been about 5.4 mm votes counted.   With 95% counted, according to various news sites (see, Wax, I do use news sources), there should still be about 287k outstanding.  Biden trails by  76k.  So he either way he needs to over perform between 64-66%. 

  7. 3 minutes ago, Wax Beer Cup said:

    Not trying to be an ass, but do you watch any news source or are you relying on surly for all your updates?  All your questions are easily answered.  Just curious. 

    Have had CNN/MSNBC on pretty much all day in the background with the exception of about 2 hours this evening when I stepped away.   None of them have mentioned anything about NC that I have heard.   

    For example, I just heard an interview of a Maricopa County election worker (on Fox because their chryon said it was going on.)

    She advised that a data dump out of AZ is coming at 1:00 eastern.  Also said there were Biden supporters outside the building as they were leaving but the video clearly showed MAGAts and lots of Trump signs. 

     

  8. On 10/30/2020 at 9:02 AM, slorch said:

    PD is like 20 miles from Amarillo. 
     

    Caprock Canyons State Park?  Yeah, that’s remote. 
     

    maybe Childress for overnight, then Amarillo next evening?

    Childress isn't that far from AMA.  Maybe 75 miles.

    This summer, I took Highway 6 south from Quanah and just enjoyed a different drive home instead of 287 to FW and then on to I-45.    It took a little longer but was something other than the normal.   

  9. 3 minutes ago, longhornmatt said:

    It’s like a VY to Garrett Gilbert drop off when they do.

    King: Five minutes straight of rapid fire analysis and video board wizardry, all while fending off Wolf Blitzer trying to shout about the latest squirrel he saw.

    Jonah Hill guy:  “Oh, I’m on?  Ok.  Ok.  So ... Joe Biden likes to drink soda.  Ms. Lippy drives a green car.  Back to you, John.”

    Gilbert might get the start for Dallas this weekend...

  10. PA:  Biden's down about 246K with about 1mm left to count

    GA:  Biden's down about 57K with about 308k left to count

    NC:  Biden's down about 77K with about 287k left to count

    NV:  Trump's down about 8k with about 194k left to count

    AZ:  Trump's down about 93k with about 450k left to count

     

    This assumes none of those outstanding voted in person rather than in by absentee.

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