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Posts posted by Macanudo
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3 minutes ago, SizzleChest said:
If the current margins are accounted for here (which is highly unlikely because the VBMs skew D at a higher rate), then Biden nets +6145. Gonna be really fucking close.
If you're talking about GA, then a net of 6,145 isn't going to cut it. He's trailing by 18,500+ right now.
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It sure would have been nice to have siphoned off a few of those Jorgensen votes in PA and GA but those Libertarian idiots are probably more likely to have voted for Trump or sat this one out if it was only a 2 horse race.
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3 minutes ago, heso said:
There will be no more votes out today from Allegheny county today. The only remaining ballots there (35,000) need to be “examined”. A big group of of those, potentially as many as 29,000, are from voters that got the wrong ballots. The company in Ohio that printed those ballots assigned the wrong addresses. So you may have had the wrong down ballot races on your ballot. I don’t know what they plan to do with those. The rest are ballots that didn’t have the security envelope or were damaged in the mail. Those won’t be examined until tomorrow for some reason.
That seems like kind of a big deal. I think the 60/40 or 70/30 split Biden needs was hoping to get 25K or so votes out of Pittsburgh today.
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3 minutes ago, Planet Houston said:
CNN just reported that if Biden gets 70% of the remaining 50,000 votes left to count in GA, he would win by 20,000.
It would be closer to about 17.5k But take the money and run.
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2 minutes ago, Dbeasy said:
All of the posts of the last 45 minutes have made me way more nervous, not less. AZ and NV were the two critical states in my mind because I still don’t believe the PA calcs.
Yeah, I'm feeling that way too. And I am more and more worried about NV. I think AZ holds. I don't have any confidence in GA and I think the PA votes aren't going to be there.
If I'm wrong, I'll be thrilled.
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1 minute ago, DigglerontheHoof said:
I bet she fucks like a champ.
Nah, only missionary.
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I'd really like to get a better handle on what is left in PA. Earlier, on CNN someone threw out 400k as a number. But based on expected votes on-line, it's closer to 784k.
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Looks to me like Biden is within 18,588 in GA right now. If there are 50k outstanding well.....
Hope is a dangerous thing.
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4 minutes ago, mdmost said:
Nevada is frustrating because I get it, they don't want to have another lockdown and shut down Vegas and Reno so you maybe vote for Trump since you know he won't lock it down. But here's the deal, unless there's a coherent policy, you're not getting people going back to Vegas any time soon. Look at Disneyworld. They are laying off employees in the 10,000s each month. People are not going back there yet.
It's not like we don't have a long history of people voting against their own self-interest, right?
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Yeah, MI is over. There are only about 55k left to vote allegedly. With a 149k lead, Biden should be safe. Until the repeated lawsuits.
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31 minutes ago, Coyote said:
You think of distance like my wife.
Childress to Amarillo is about a 2 hour drive.
It's about 70 miles. Sure, there a few stop lights and speed zones but if it takes you 2 hours to drive 70 miles then you drive like your grandma.
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Thanks Wash. That's the first that I had seen that about NC. Also, the 117K number is interesting as well. So far, there have been about 5.4 mm votes counted. With 95% counted, according to various news sites (see, Wax, I do use news sources), there should still be about 287k outstanding. Biden trails by 76k. So he either way he needs to over perform between 64-66%.
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3 minutes ago, Wax Beer Cup said:
Not trying to be an ass, but do you watch any news source or are you relying on surly for all your updates? All your questions are easily answered. Just curious.
Have had CNN/MSNBC on pretty much all day in the background with the exception of about 2 hours this evening when I stepped away. None of them have mentioned anything about NC that I have heard.
For example, I just heard an interview of a Maricopa County election worker (on Fox because their chryon said it was going on.)
She advised that a data dump out of AZ is coming at 1:00 eastern. Also said there were Biden supporters outside the building as they were leaving but the video clearly showed MAGAts and lots of Trump signs.
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Did NC just give up on any updates? They've been sitting on the same numbers since around lunch time but still show 5% of the vote outstanding. And no one has called it so something is up.
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On 10/30/2020 at 9:02 AM, slorch said:
PD is like 20 miles from Amarillo.
Caprock Canyons State Park? Yeah, that’s remote.
maybe Childress for overnight, then Amarillo next evening?
Childress isn't that far from AMA. Maybe 75 miles.
This summer, I took Highway 6 south from Quanah and just enjoyed a different drive home instead of 287 to FW and then on to I-45. It took a little longer but was something other than the normal.
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3 minutes ago, Macanudo said:
If 17k from Fulton is all that is left, how does Biden take GA? He's down 31K
It's moved to 28.8K and apparently there's some left over in Dekalb.
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3 minutes ago, troph said:
CNN: Fulton county 17k ballots left and will go all night.
If 17k from Fulton is all that is left, how does Biden take GA? He's down 31K
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1 minute ago, Bama Chick said:
Pennsylvania rumors -
I don't get this. There look to be about 750k votes still to be counted in PA. Biden is behind by 164k. That means he has to run at something like 78/22 to get that kind of margin.
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So where is everyone getting their data? ABC still shows GA +36k for Trump but about 250k to count. But the tweet above says Biden cut that 36k in half. Where's the data?
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3 minutes ago, longhornmatt said:
It’s like a VY to Garrett Gilbert drop off when they do.
King: Five minutes straight of rapid fire analysis and video board wizardry, all while fending off Wolf Blitzer trying to shout about the latest squirrel he saw.
Jonah Hill guy: “Oh, I’m on? Ok. Ok. So ... Joe Biden likes to drink soda. Ms. Lippy drives a green car. Back to you, John.”
Gilbert might get the start for Dallas this weekend...
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PA: Biden's down about 246K with about 1mm left to count
GA: Biden's down about 57K with about 308k left to count
NC: Biden's down about 77K with about 287k left to count
NV: Trump's down about 8k with about 194k left to count
AZ: Trump's down about 93k with about 450k left to count
This assumes none of those outstanding voted in person rather than in by absentee.
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PA is 265K now with about 1.07 mm to be counted.
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1 minute ago, Michael Knight said:
GA within 69k votes
That's what she said.
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1 minute ago, Blotto said:
Her doing some lesbo porn with Stormy Daniels would be a fitting end for her time in the spotlight. Im sure Stormy could find all sorts of things to fit in her end.
Sharpies?
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2020 Presidential Election -- Biden v Trump: Sleepy Joe vs Dopey Don [Results begin on page 409]
in Cloak Room
Posted
Also, and this is why I am feeling very pessimistic.... If this supposed swing for Biden where he ends up with a 200-300k lead is going to happen, we should be seeing more significant swings. Since last night, there has been a very modest 40k swing or so with only about 10k of that since around 8:00.
There "could" be anywhere from 400-700k votes out there but with Allegheny saying they are pretty much done (and that was only about 30-35k) how do we get to +200k for Biden.
The numbers need to start moving and pretty drastically or this is not going to happen.