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Everything posted by Bobby_Batronic
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Donât really care who ran on what. I donât need someone to politic for exposing child predators to want child predators exposed.
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Which brings us right back to the supposition that Epstein was the only person abusing underage girls at his party place. I donât think thatâs likely. I mentioned there being no reason to withhold information unless thereâs an ongoing investigation, and find is hard to believe that theyâre still looking into it. And I agree that you donât name names unless theyâre being charged. I just donât think that itâs anywhere near as clean as Epstein acting alone.
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Epstein killed himself in 2019. By your ânormsâ standard the only person involved was dead for 4 years when the current administration took over. Thats if we believe that there was a secret party island for the elites covered in cameras where minors were being sex trafficked for just Epstein himself. That seems unlikely to me, but I donât think weâll ever know
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If there were files regarding Trump in the Epstein case, and he can burn in hell with anyone else if they were involved in trafficking and sexually abusing underage children, then the only thing preventing the Dems from producing them would be mutually assured destruction. That or they had nothing. Thereâs no reason to not release the information involved, supposing itâs not being used for active investigation for some reason, if it was just Epstein abusing the children. I suspect thereâs a lot of powerful people involved, and no one wants to open Pandoraâs box.
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Meh, the Dems had the chance to release this information quite recently and declined. Either tons of pols, celebs and other powerbrokers came to party at his island and only Epstein diddled the minors, or theyâre all involved and no one wants to open Pandoraâs box. Probably the latter which is why itâs unlikely weâll never know what happened.
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Iâve jumpseated on 787âs. Thereâs no reason to have a hand anywhere near those things, and the basic design is the same as those used on numerous airframes Boeing and Airbus. The switch has to physically be pulled up and then over a detent before being retracted with a spring like mechanism into its new position. Itâs pretty fool proof, and would be interesting for this to suddenly raise its head after the airframe has been flying countless hours over 14 years. Also, two defective switches going into the same plane and failing at the same time is kinda stretching things possibility wise.
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The motors will relight pretty quickly if theyâre already spinning and fuel is added. It takes a while for the APU on most planes to get up to speed. 60 seconds on an Airbus for example.
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There was no asymmetric thrust situation. You can watch the video and see the thing never yaws hard to one direction or has the rudder deflect hard to compensate for one engine at takeoff power. The plane will fly and climb just fine on one motor, and will have special procedures in place in the cases where the climb rate is insufficient to clear terrain. Literally no one trains to do anything procedurally related to a simple engine failure below the acceleration altitude in aviation,. A simple engine failure is a very deliberate and considered exercise and there is no rush to get the thing back on the ground. Itâs usually overweight for landing anyway. A situation with something like an engine fire is different, but that didnât happen here. Add to that the fact that the RAT was out and spinning early on suggests that both engines âfailedâ simultaneously. Those things take a while to deploy and spin up.
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I mean, compared to the newsâŠ.
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I knew it wasnât raining during the crash but thought perhaps beforehand. Checking the weather on that day reveals 0 precip. Damn. Spoofed on a pilot website.
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AAIB Preliminary Report Highlights 1. Primary Cause â Electrical Power Transfer Interruption (PTI) During Rotation âą During transition from ground to airborne electrical configuration, the aircraft experienced a cascading dual-engine FADEC (Full Authority Digital Engine Control) failure. âą Root cause: Uncommanded bus transfer failure due to arcing in the main power relay box (PRB-A), traced to water ingress during pre-flight GPU disconnection in heavy rain. âą This led to loss of electronic engine control at rotation, resulting in both GEnx engines rolling back to ground idle within 4â5 seconds. 2. Flight Data Record Timeline âą +0:11 sec: Nose gear lifts off. âą +0:13 sec: Sudden engine rollback begins. Thrust reduces from 92% N1 to <27% within 3 seconds. âą +0:16 sec: Master caution + ENG FAIL L/R warnings. FO calls, âBoth engines dropping!â âą +0:20 sec: Autopilot and flight control reverts to Direct Mode. Pitch up attitude peaks at 18°. âą +0:25 sec: Aircraft stalls at 186 ft AGL. âą +0:30 sec: Full aerodynamic stall; nose drops rapidly. âą +0:38 sec: Ground impact at 54° nose-down attitude, 174 knots.
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I think thatâs wish casting. Especially if itâs Israel firing up the Bomb Iran playlist. This is and was being spun as the strike ending this particular flare up. Itâs not entirely untrue given Iranâs token response, and possible signaling of where that response would strike so as not to actually hit anything. An adult decision on their end imoho. Weâll see what comes of the new round of negotiations, but the mulligan will end up being limited strikes on whatever remains of the Iranian nuclear program. Boots on the ground or a year long bombing campaign wouldnât be tolerated. Another hit? Probably so with those objectives, and I wouldnât be shocked if a link to an assassination attempt was played up for the base. Always better to have them responding to you than the other way around. I donât think anyone was surprised that B-2âs could make global strikes with large, precision bomb loads. Especially in non contested air space. Theyâve been doing that for years.
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It sounds like Iran will be asked to give up all nuclear weapons aspirations and material or the bombing may resume sooner than that. And I donât think the Mossad putting out that they wanted to eliminate the Ayatollah was coincidence. Negotiations will probably be held with a big bag of âOr elseâ sitting in plain sight.
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Well, once you get past the rage bait and actually watch the briefing by the general you learn some interesting facts. It was 6 MOPs down two ventilation shafts at Fordow. Each weapon was fused specifically for its sequence in the drop, and had a warhead specialized for that sequence. The Iranians had attempted to put concrete lids on both shafts that were removed by the first weapon in each case. The final MOP dropped was an all purpose bomb carried in case of one of the bombers failing to drop for whatever reason, one of the bombs failing to hit the target or failing to detonate. Primary destruction was accomplished by blast and pressure wave effects, and the follow on B2 crews reported that the site was lit up like daylight possibly indicating that something inside the facility was burning beyond the explosive effects of a bunker buster.
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No, no. There might be something to this Ty Webb assessment strategy.
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My only caveat being that I think the golden age has been going on longer than any of us would like to to think.
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I would suggest that governments have been brazenly misleading their populaces since time immemorial. Thatâs this administration, and the one before it and so on and so forth. It would behoove all of us to entertain the idea that we are being lied to even when the lies agree with our viewpoints.
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Thatâs not necessarily how mountains and caves work. They may have collapsed the facilities inside without the rock above losing an inch. Or they may have damaged the building inside with pressure and blast eaves without collapsing the excavated spaces. Or they may have just created a big pile of slag on the outside.
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Iâm not sure compliance of the âIma hang onto this weapons grade fuel (or precursor to) just in caseâ nature is comforting in their hands. Again, I donât know how close or not they were. None of us, as has been pointed out in this thread, were up all night worrying about Iranian nukes for years on end. OTOH, I canât think of a time when I or most of the world wouldnât have been overjoyed to find out that they Iranians have given up their nuclear ambitions for good. They may well be more determined than ever. If so their facilities are at the very least buried and likely damaged to some extent, and much of their military and nuclear program leadership has graduated to fully dead. Weâll see how it plays out until the next thing for everyone to get hysterical about is served up this week.
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Having any material at all produced at a facility whoâs sole purpose was the manufacture of fuel for nuclear bombs be snuck out is kinda damning on its own.
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It would be impressive if we have the ability to see through severaL hundred feet of rock and bunker concrete from space and make that assessment. The current cease fire an anything that comes from it with regard to Irans nuclear program will make it clear if the attack was just an expense firework show. The fact that Iran has produced some fissile material at the very least and possibly smuggled it out of Fordow ahead of any attack suggests that they werenât deterred from the goal of a nuclear weapon before Israel started bombing them.
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Signals intelligence means people talk, and we capture the conversations. Theyâre most certainly talking about the damage to those facilities. The only question is whether theyâre being caught out or if theyâre making deceptive communications. Add that to other observable means.
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Thatâs a lot of assuming, and the Israelis have shown both the willingness and ability to hack their systems, track their personnel and lure their leadership into target sites. All that to say that such absolutism is dangerous.
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Thatâs fair. Now take the other view and suggest that SigInt probably picked up someone saying everything is fine, someone who knew they were being monitored, and that someone at DIA decided to leak that in a report because they donât like the POTUs. Thatâs why I said the truth is that the program probably wasnât destroyed, but was knocked on it ass for a while.
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I get it. You hate all things associated with the current administration. I made no assessment of our own organizational discipline. You can point out the gaffes with Signal, and I would point out that no one saw the B2 raid coming when it did. Iran moving what material it had produced isnât some 4D chess move. It was the obvious thing to do once they realized that their air defenses were useless and that their nuclear sites were targeted. The very fact that they were moved at all suggests the Iranians werenât as confident in the bomb proof nature of their facilities as many on this board or knew at the very least that theyâd have to dig it out. Supposing that that material did in fact make its way out of Fordow then there is still value in destroying or at least significantly delaying the use of those and other facilities for the foreseeable future. You donât just throw you hands up and say âFuck itâ if one cow makes it out of the barn. Lastly, it doesnât take a lot of creative signals intelligence or satellite imagery to determine if a lot of concrete rebar etc is being ordered, sent to and delivered to places like Fordow or Natanz.
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