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Bozo_Casanova

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Everything posted by Bozo_Casanova

  1. I think there's going to be both, esp in Nevada. Probably in Ohio as well. The Trump/Sherrod Brown voter is absolutely a real thing.
  2. One afternoon when I was a kid we were parked on Seawall, me and my Dad, sitting on the hood of his Plymouth. He opened a can of beer, handed it to me so I could take a sip, and inhaled that Galveston-only mix of salt and kerosene and seaweed and cheap perfume and cigarette smoke said "this is it, son." And it was. Galveston was and still isTexas profonde in a way that very few places are anymore. Inshallah!
  3. Agreed. San Juan is on a whole other level. One of my favorite things in San Juan is locals you have known for all of 15 minutes apologizing for how bad the beaches are* and then inviting you on a chinchorreo with 3 generations of extended family. *they honestly believe the beaches are not great, despite the fact that they have among the best urban beaches in the world.
  4. I love PR. San Juan in particular combines all the things I love about Galveston and Miami in one place. Maybe one of these days he can really hit the big time and fail to even field a slate of county office candidates like Matt Mackowiak.
  5. For the record, I don't think the joke will have a meaningful impact. But if Trump loses that guy is going to have to keep a low profile for a while because some very emotional people who don't think things through are going to be coming for his head.
  6. Nobody likes Ted Cruz, but especially since Greg Abbot’s presidential aspirations still live there are no depths to which he will not sink. Understand this- he 100% would have run this year had Trump not cleared the field and if Harris wins he seems himself as a potential front runner for the GOP nod in 2028.
  7. That’s a wild place to go in this thread, however. I wonder if Udo Kier ever met Donald Trump. Probably, right?
  8. Totally but Portland's got plenty as well. It's similar to Seattle/Tacoma except the Oregon ones are crazier.
  9. For those of you who aren't aware of this, it's not a joke, and it's not some fringe thing - 17 of the the 36 counties in Oregon, representing the eastern half of state have put secession measures on the ballot and 13 have approved them.
  10. The server appears to have crashed, but the crosstabs are below. Actually worth digging into with a sample this big: Dig in, nerds! IIRC this survey was pretty good in both 2016 and 2020
  11. tell me you've never spent any time in Oregon without telling me you've never spent any time in Oregon. I used to be a partner in a company In Portland. They don't just have conservatives in Portland, they have full on training with Militias on the weekends types up there. They happen to be a minority in Portland, but get really common outside the urban growth bnoundary.
  12. I'm not unskewing anything. I'm just looking at the data and applying what we know on top of it. 1) It's a dead heat in the 7 battlegrounds 3) She has more paths to win 4) She has better GOTV 5) She probably has higher enthusiasm. That doesn't mean she wins, but the confidence right now on the Republican side is totally unjustified and could wind up being costly.
  13. Let's imagine your team has a one point lead and it's jump ball with 5 seconds on the clock. What about that signals the other team winning?
  14. The end of a twitter thread, because you’ll get the gist of it
  15. Yes I think so, and that’s good, but I am not a fan of low propensity voters over 35. That screams Danica Patrick to me.
  16. Good post and I agree on all BUT I really don’t like all the older new voters.
  17. You will address me as "Your Lairdship" or not at all.
  18. Hello sir’s I am Joe from America and I am watch our local football team at local hamburger hot dog’s stand. Here video of Kamala Harris was at Diddy’s party
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