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Bozo_Casanova

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Everything posted by Bozo_Casanova

  1. Bozo_Casanova
    Hear that everybody? In 2024 Colin Allred would like you to know that he is not a fighter, credits Repubicans for lower drug costs and border solutions, and also puts creamy HEB house brand peanut butter on white bread.
  2. Bozo_Casanova
    You got it motherfucker
  3. Bozo_Casanova
    Is he doing that? I don't see evidence that he's doing anything at all. Truly I have no idea what he's spending money on because I see no evidence of a campaign other than 3-5 text messages and emails per day begging for money. I do know that a major donor felt slighted by his office, though.
  4. Bozo_Casanova
    Would win in a landslide
  5. Bozo_Casanova
    As long as we talk about what's winnable and since it seems like Optimism Sunday on the thread today, here's another thing. Obama won Florida in 2008 and 2012, and Gillum came within .4% (33k votes out of >9m cast) in 2018, on the strength of black voter turnout, and the difference for Hillary Clinton in 2016, was that white turnout increased from 2012, and black turnout dropped. in 2020 there was a huge surge in turnout across the board, but the smallest surge was among black voters, which was above 2016 and 2018, but above 2012 levels. Now loow at the difference between black turnout in 2018 vs 2014 and 2022. The point is that it's reasonable to infer that having a black woman on the ballot matters, and that in a presidential year it matters a lot. Florida could be in play.
  6. Bozo_Casanova
    It's the first time a lot of people have heard it, and it's the third time I've heard it today, which tells me somebody is pushing it. PA is so important I still like Shapiro more than a Kelly nod, but Shapiro has downsides I wouldn't want unless there was upside to Shapiro that they couldn't get elsewhere. I do think Harris can win PA on her own with Casey on the ballot if she has momentum going into October and a good running mate who can do well in either Wisconsin and Michigan (Walz) or North Carolina and Georgia (Bashear and Cooper).
  7. Bozo_Casanova
    This is like Kwame Brown joining the Washington Generals
  8. Bozo_Casanova
    It will matter a lot in the event that the election is particularly close in particularly important places (i.e. Wisconsin), but As it happens: That said, I think this election is not going to be especially close, except in Wisconsin. I'm not saying Harris will win, BTW. I'm saying that in most of the seven states that are strategic to their respective campaigns, one candidate will have pulled away by election day at a level below the margin of error in the polls but sufficient to call the election by midnight on the east coast.
  9. Bozo_Casanova
    R vs D in Texas with turnout Since 2012: 2012 (58%): 57-41 (16) 2016 (59%): 52-43 (9) 2020 (67%): 52-46.5 (5.5) Does he margin get bigger or smaller this year? Two takeaways here: 1) Despite the influx of assholes, the diversity of the cities provides the margin difference between presidential years and gubernatorial races 2) Higher turnout in cities would be more than enough to elect a governor
  10. Bozo_Casanova
    THIS IS IT. You are 100% correct and the only thing standing in the way of that is the institutionalized, multi-decade loserism of the Texas Democratic Party. Can you imagine if the Beto campaign from 2018 was running at this moment instead of Colin Allred's text-messaging campaign for bipartisan whatever and money please? Texas can absolutely vote blue at a statewide level. All it takes is better organization in mid-size counties, which ... isn't available unless the candidate supplies it.
  11. Bozo_Casanova
    I continue to think that Ant is very talented, but selfish and plays kind of dumb.
  12. Bozo_Casanova
    I like Kelly and I like his resume, and he would be an ideal Presidential candidate to match up against a normie Republican like Nikki Haley, but I'd feel safer in this particular election with a VP Nominee who enjoys drawing blood with an audience the way an FFA sponsor enjoys castrating pigs in front of high school kids. great post
  13. Bozo_Casanova
    To be fair, for around 90% of the American voting public, cost of living IS the economy and Democrats have to do a better job of connecting to that for middle class people and not treating it as a poverty problem. Speaking of connecting: I don't know if this guy will be the pick or not, but this dude is demonstrating connection like Richard Schenck
  14. Bozo_Casanova
    pretty sure felons can't vote in Florida
  15. Bozo_Casanova
  16. Bozo_Casanova
    It’s not going to the fucking house. We’re ending this with 300+EVS called before 11pm. 8 years of this bullshit is more than enough.
  17. Bozo_Casanova
    We’ve gone from Hillary Clinton and “hot sauce in my bag” to this:
  18. Bozo_Casanova
    lol holy shit
  19. Bozo_Casanova
    The guys at the off-airport parking shuttle have Walz, Shapiro, and Kelly.
  20. Bozo_Casanova
    Hates police, loves couches
  21. Bozo_Casanova
    “I hate the police” - JD Vance
  22. Bozo_Casanova
    They appear to be recreating the Battle of Windy Point on that lake today. Let’s hope it goes well for them.
  23. Bozo_Casanova
  24. Bozo_Casanova
    It’s the damndest thing. I just drove across rural SW Colorado twice and I’m in Montrose county right now, which is solid 65-70% Republican. In 3 hours of driving, 100 days out, I saw ZERO evidence of MAGA. No flags, no signs, no hats, no stickers. Nothing. I even drove around the parking lot of gun depot. NADA. They will vote for him, but the enthusiasm just isn’t on that side. For the first time since 2008, the enthusiasm is here.
  25. Bozo_Casanova
    He’s an interesting set of contradictory impulses, as are we all. Especially as we age.

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