Bozo_Casanova

Honestly that's irritating, but my biggest gripe as a guy who travels a lot for work is leisure travelers who can't just board the plane, locate their seat, stow their shit and sit the fuck down. I've lost more on-time departures over the years from people who don't know how to get on a plane without drama than I've blown connections from people fucking up the deplaning process.

Korman in Austin is an official service center and did a great job on my Explorer I.

The what vote? The “minority” vote? Who is “they?” Oh and while you’re at it, explain how Donald Trump basically beating the financial establishment and foreign policy factions of his party into submission dampened turnout, or any other example of intra party factional combat that hurt turnout. Even the much vilified Bernie Bros showed up and voted for Hillary in 2016. because it didnt. fewer Bernie voters flipped to Trump than Clinton voters to McCain or Kashich voters to Clinton, to wit: It’s a perennial question whether supporters of losing primary candidates will vote for their party’s nominee in the general election. So let’s compare the Democratic primary with the Republican primary. In the VOTER Survey, only 3 percent of those supporting Texas Sen. Ted Cruz reported voting for Hillary Clinton, as did 10 percent of Florida Sen. Marco Rubio’s supporters and 32 percent of Ohio Gov. John Kasich’s supporters. So Sanders supporters were about as likely to vote for Trump as Rubio’s supporters were to vote for Clinton, and far less likely than Kasich supporters were to vote for Clinton. Another useful comparison is to 2008, when the question was whether Clinton supporters would vote for Barack Obama or John McCain (R-Ariz.) Based on data from the 2008 Cooperative Campaign Analysis Project, a YouGov survey that also interviewed respondents multiple times during the campaign, 24 percent of people who supported Clinton in the primary as of March 2008 then reported voting for McCain in the general election.

Number 3 gets people to the polls and there is literally no evidence in the last 100 years that a contested convention hurt anything other than feelings. How would it hurt GOTV vs annointment? It creates factions? We already have them. Parties exist to consolidate factions. They do that through trial by combat. Welcome to a world called right now.

1) we haven’t had a real contested convention in 72 years 2) the closest we’ve come in the last 40 was 2008, when there was a credentials fight that would have led to a contested convention. That turned out fine. 3) Are you kidding? Americans are messy bitches who live for drama. A contested convention in this environment would be must-see TV and imbue the winner with momentum and an aura of victory.

Agree. She’s much stronger emerging from a contested convention, even if Kayfabe

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I realize that some US Americans don’t have maps, but you realize that the southern third of Cincinnati metro is in Kentucky, right? The Cincinnati airport is in Kentucky. A substantial portion of Bashear’s statewide margin came from people who live in the suburbs of Cincinnati.

Left the stove on.

If Ohio is in play you’re winning PA.

Except for their sitting US senator who is a 1960’s style union liberal. Tim Ryan (who I like) lost to Vance because he sprinted to the middle and tried to appeal to everyone. Brown wins because he knows who his voters are (and aren’t.) and if Texas Democrats weren’t such fucking losers they would do the same thing.

The one who gave an anti-big business speech to a room full of confused Republicans and is now dealing with massive blowback in his union? I’m not concerned about that at all. Are you saying members of the Teamsters Union won’t pull the lever for Sherrod Brown?

Because he’s popular in the Cincinnati metro area and heavily backed by unions, and Sherrod Brown is on the ballot. Brown’s coalition is AFL-CIO and Teamsters, both of whom voted for and supported Bashear. Texas and Florida aren’t terminally red, Democrats just decided to lose in those places and behaved accordingly. Ohio is reddish purple but it’s very winnable and unlike Texas they have a statewide incumbent on the ballot in this cycle with a lead (Brown). I’m not saying affirmatively that Bashear wins Ohio, but between him and Brown winning by 5-6% that would cut the margin down substantially enough to move Ohio from solid red to a soft lean.

He puts Ohio in play. My Veep power rankings 1) Whitmer (wins Michigan, but don’t think she wants it. Could win a floor vote at the convention and Will come into 2028 as the prohibitive favorite for the presidential nom if Biden/Harris loses) 2) Bashear (puts Ohio in play, raises his profile) 3) Shapiro (wins, PA but I don’t think he wants it) 4) Coop (puts NC in play) 5) Pete (best talker) 6) Kelly (too important to lose as a senator)

Employees own like 80% of the company right?

That’s crazy. That’s like 2X+ the norm

Goddamn can you imagine passing that watermelon? That woman must have had a pelvis like the Lincoln Tunnel.

2020 wasn’t her year, 2016 was. She missed her window.

I don’t disagree with this, but it’s not that things have changed, it’s that styles make fights. We don’t have the choice of depolarizing the electorate or wedging the Trump coalition. So, like @jimmyjazz said, we make the agency of women the thematic center of the campaign and polarize that. Not gender identity or squishy white feminism. Abortion. D&C. The ability to remove a miscarriage from your body before you go into sepsis. The ability to “take care of it” before your high school age daughter has to walk into Westwood County Club or show up at Highland Park High School with a baby bump. I give a Harris/Whitmer ticket a punchers chance to beat Trump. Biden has lost his hook and he ain’t no dancer.

Disagree- if there was ever an election to lean into the dignity of women as human beings with inalienable rights, this is it. We need the aunties, the tias, the meemaws, the Angela’s, the Beckies, the Karens, thots, prudes, e-girls, waifish art history majors who smoke cigarettes, instagram models, cleat chasers, mousey women who work for the state, we need all of them to vote and save America. Men are a lost cause at this point.

Inshallah!

I don’t disagree with any of that. An expansion of the money supply doesn’t necessarily precipitate inflation, but it’s observable that a steady and sustained general (ie, across the economy) rise in prices is preceded by an expansion of the money supply. In the example above, V fell, the money supply expanded, things opened back up and the supply rushed in to compete for goods and services that hadn’t caught up. Pretty straightforward. *Friedman was wrong, obviously

#metoo