Bozo_Casanova

#startthesteal is trending

Incredibly unlikely, but that's a topic for another thread.

A very interesting anecdote from Isaac Saul (who I like a lot and subscribe to his newsletter). c/p for the non twitter users: Isaac Saul @Ike_Saul Yesterday I interviewed Ken Block, a data guy who the Trump camp hired to investigate voter fraud in 2020 (he couldn't prove any of their claims, and wrote a whole book about the experience called "Disproven") Anyway, Ken stopped me before we ended the podcast and said, "don't you want to hear my prediction?" I was like, oh, yeah, I actually do. He said the following: From 2016 to 2020, Trump lost ground among Republican voters in most of the biggest counties in the battlegrounds. He directed me to pages in his book (which I had at my desk) to look at the charts from places like Georgia. He said: In the last 4 years, he's done nothing to win them back. In fact, he's probably lost *more* of them, as evidenced by the strength Haley had even after she dropped out of the primary. His take was that Trump was going to lose because of these voters and that it might not be close - and any marginal gains with black/hispanic voters wouldn't be enough to offset it. Ken's a pretty level-headed guy, and great with the data, and has been involved in various ways in a lot of political campaigns. I'm not sure what to make of it. But I do think it is an analysis that has been largely absent the last few months, and could prove prescient in the next 24 hours.

Jokes aside, I'm legit worried for that guy's safety should Trump lose.

Not worried, just looking for context, thanks

Americans "do their own research," Election 2024 Edition

His summary of what data nerds were saying about numbers and ground reports is good in WI, MI, and PA, but not good in NC and "bad for her in GA"

Signature validation is so stupid. I'm 51 years old and I don't have a consistent signature anymore because it's 2024

@BamaATL What could Isaac Saul be talking about here with GA?

Inshallah! Impossible:

I've got the Sharanga tattooed on my arm - Jai Ram!

It feels strange to say this, but good post @Helobious I normally feel that way, but I had internalized Trump winning so completely by late June that I've been playing with house money since August. Besides it's THEY LIVE. It's election day and we are here to kick ass and chew bubblegum. Wait until his surrogates start talking about a "blue mirage." He'll declare tonight by 10pm C regardless, I think. honestly this is a great tweet.

We're going to see THEY LIVE at Alamo at 6pm, then taking the dogs for a long walk, then we'll decide whether or not to turn on the TV.

Comic sans? Really?

The old releases were delicious, come on. I refuse to pay more than MSRP for any whiskey, and there's almost no reason to pay more than $50 for anything.

Hit it

This single thing is the entire subtext of this election, in my opinion.

For a second I thought this was a text from Colin Allred. GOOD MORNING MOTHERFUCKERS! IT'S ELECTION DAY!

He has to win AZ, Wis, Mich, and NC

Already did a bunch. She should have done it.

Big time. Had the Selzer poll had Trump+ 6% I would have been pretty happy about it.

November 6th, 2024 There was a riot on the streets tell me what they were for. You were sittin' home watchin' your TV While I was beathing heavy with COPD [I kid I kid]