softlynow

The political moment we'll be in come January will weigh heavily in favor of, at the very least, some targeted loan forgiveness. The Republican controlled Senate will be in full obstruction mode again/still, and no doubt McConnell will either say it aloud, like he did at the beginning of Obama's first term, or he'll operate that way quietly. Their goal will be a one-term Biden. Combine that with an economy in need of economic stimulus, and tools entirely under executive control will be vital. This is one, and he simply must use it. Do it right, and money the fisc would be gobbling up gets redirected to economic channels that should help our recovery. Pubs can whinge and whimper about moral hazard all they want. Besides the fact that they've lost the standing to complain about all forms of morality, the game the next few years will be about actually helping people, not corporations, economically. Do that, and Biden will have sturdy coattails in the midterms and a strong case for a second term. Fail to do it, and be prepared for Dem carnage.

Do the same for the Senate. Other than #1 in the OP, the same reasoning applies. To come up with a population parallel, let's say 2 senators per state is good for every 50 million in total population. Each state should get 12 senators going forward. When we pass 350 mil. in a few years, every state gets 2 more.

I doubt they'll feel any pain. This is how I imagine his family as his end nears:

I've seen enough w/r/t B&P and orangecat92 and the 57 States! FCHorn Memorial Idiot List. Production of more evidence would just be needlessly cumulative and a waste of time.

Addiction, usually, between those two. Top reasons for revocation, IME, are 1. new offense while on prob, 2. Drug testing failure/fails to submit (usually get a rehab option the first time they’re brought back to court) 3. not reporting to prob offices. A lot present with a combo of those three. Financial problems/failure to pay fees, fines, etc. by itself isn’t really a permissible reason to revoke, but obviously show up in the other areas (new theft charges, failing to drug test for lack of phone/transportation, failing to report.

Make it the last one, ftw.

Lawsuits mean nothing to him. Gonna need a seal team to get shit back.

I’m not sure we will learn that much and may have to wait 4 more years to really know what ‘16 and ‘20 were about. Trump may be a truly unique candidate. If Ted Cruz in ‘24* more or less holds onto the Trump coalition, then I think you can discern something about the electorate independent from Dotard. If not, though, then maybe the celebrity grifter, reality tv star and rapist trifecta is the lottery ticket Pubs need to keep buying. *Check the history of Pub nomination runner-ups succeeding to the nom the next time. Reagan in ‘76, H.W. in ‘80, Dole in ‘88, McCain in ‘00, and Romney in ‘08 before you dismiss this. It’s their tradition.

So dumb even Monty Python couldn’t get away with this sketch.

Why? Those tears are delicious.

Are you talking about federal prison / detention? If not, you’re way off. Of my cases in the last year about 35-45% are for drugs and most of those simple possession. A good portion of those folks received jail/prison only offers, and several could not post tiny bail amounts and waited for plea/dismissal in our jail. COVID brought plea offers down considerably, yet I still have guys/gals pleading to jail time if they don’t want to wait for trial, of which there have been zero since March. Plenty of folks do 15-45 days for a dime. A shitload do 30-90 days for trace amounts of meth. They come hard for THC wax/oil/edibles (COVID really helped here), and the state often wantS state jail prison time. Because a lot of my clients are dirt ass poor, not pleading means waiting 7+ months for trial. Some of them stupidly take probation without a shot in hell of completing it and end up doing double the jail time and revocation. Prisons and jails aren’t bursting at the seams with accused persons stuck with simple possession convictions, but there are still plenty on those rosters.

Get a youngish black guy to do it next time. Or Gavin Newsome.

Every time I think I'm about to leave this thread and do some work . . .

Considering this thing might not be final (pre-recount and lawsuits) until Friday, I like it.

This attitude is silly. You can pout in the corner, and mumble "elections are hard," or you can work the problem. Considering social justice paired with a tepid pocketbook platform has gotten Dems where we are, it's time for a rework. You have to at least re-package an re-brand your economic relief. Lot's of the folks you write off don't prioritize health care, maybe because they're relatively healthy. Plenty don't care that you want a more robust safety net, may because they're prideful about assistance, they simply want to work good jobs. Sure some are unreachable because of god and gays. But the folks written off as simply racist, may just look at the party that goes out of it's way on black issues, and says, "great, but I'm in poverty and the other guys says the plant is coming back." The "Dems are stupid" reaction is partly correct. They have compromised who they are too much. The need for Third Way Dems has passed. It's time for progressive economic ideas to come to the fore, and pair that with a muted messaging on social issues. Support the latter, but emphasize raising up ALL of the lower and middle class over issues that, in reality, the march of time will take care of.

Because they don't know what to fear. They think socialism means less stuff for them I think Florida gave Dems the path to future victory: buy people's votes the way Trump did. Put pocketbook issues front and center. Not "health care," not "job training," not "social safety net." Whether it's direct payments Yang-style, or making Amazon have a processing center in every county or incorporated city, or promising contract military jobs to EVERYONE.oldman.gif, promise the economic moon. If Pubs are going all in on racism from here, go overboard on what you should be good at. If they're calling you socialist, and the rurals see you promising them economic relief/benefit, maybe that word won't be so scary after a while.

And John Cazale's last movie, ending a too short and very spectacular run of roles in great movies - 5 nominated for best picture Oscars, with 3 winning.

Incorrect. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pennsyltucky. That link has the actual quote. I'm using the common paraphrase.

Pittsburg on one end, Philadelphia on the other, and Alabama in between (Credit to James Carville). If the cities aren't motivated, they can get beat by the rurals.

Specifically, Tulsa 1921.

This is the correct answer.

I wish I could rep this 20x. Apathy is the exact problem we need to head off. Yesterday’s win was/should be a big deal. My reaction was to wonder whether we’re just going to toss out another winning lottery ticket this year only to buy an unscratched one after next season. I’m usually on the optimistic side of the fan base. I have no optimism left to give. If I’m that way, imagine the droves of glass-half-empty types. COVID deficits stopping necessary change is the epitome of penny wise, pound foolishness.

That’s great that you would support it. You should. He’s going nowhere. He’s about to be the new GOP hero, because he absolutely will toss those votes. If this episode has a happy ending it’ll only be because Dems not only expand SCOTUS when it rubber stamps this un-American activity, but also the 5th Circuit which holds our region under their un-American thumb. Traitors should be hanged, but this is the only practical course while one party remains actively pro-treason.

Florida gonna Florida. I think Texas will be within a point, but still hold for team grifter. Georgia, though, follows the coastal South path that Virginia blazed and NC has followed.

Im going to attach large Biden/Harris and American flags to my car and drive up and down 1488 between The Woodlands and Magnolia looking for Magats to piss off.