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softlynow

Certifiably Surly
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Everything posted by softlynow

  1. He would win his 5th term this year with 300+ EV if not for the pesky 22nd.
  2. All of this. If you actually get a moment to maybe influence a low information swing voter, do it quickly, do it simply, and don't do it in a way that you could be dismissed as Chicken Little. Anyone who doesn't already know what P25 is doesn't have the capacity and/or the willingness to listen to anything that sounds partisan or wonkish. Walz gave the the template. Something something, weird something. Use it, and drop the subject. That's how you get the uninformed on board.
  3. At what? Waking 70 million marks out of the Black Sleep of Kali Ma? Think again. Those people are gone in a way that only a personally damaging experience and years of intense therapy could fix. The game here is keeping independents weirded out and hoping the far left doesn't get distracted by another Stein or stay home because another Bernie loses a nomination.
  4. Big if true. That means KH not picking Shapiro was real bonehead move, considering he secures 100% of the EVs in this election.
  5. Nope it’s never. Ask the Heaven’s Gate folks when they realized Marshall Applewhite was full of shit.
  6. I assume Jordan Peterson and other middling intellects who style themselves as great thinkers. It also seems like the kind of verbiage and syntax that impresses Rogan devotees. Also getting LonghornLaw/Laphroig/other names vibes from Vance's speaking style and thoughts on family shit in general.
  7. Yeah, their title defense has been pretty weak.
  8. I saw this addressed somewhere 2 weeks ago. I assume it'll get dredged up periodically by different outlets like breitbart until Walz is out of office.
  9. They posted a list of their racial code words on twitter in 2021, but it was deleted quickly: Anytime you hear these phrases from our Confederate flag waving neighbors, and their fellow-travellers, they're saying the hard-r in their head and to their comrades. Notice that DEI is there in #2 but not yet in the order we know. In 2021 the n-word was still primarily spelled C-R-T. Not on the list is the one CRT had just replaced as the dog whistle du jour, "All Lives Matter."
  10. I thought I had sidestepped this problem with a fire cube and a very simple voice activation phrase. Sadly, no.
  11. You cannot give them the sound bite, nor the incivility directed at the journo. Otherwise, yes, that should be the answer. Then pivot to policy. If you say the words "i misspoke" or "corrected myself" that's your headline, the negative spin is the lede ("VP candidate struggles to define himself to electorate" or "VP candidate befuddled by campaign rigors"), and, except maybe in a Reuters/AP offering, the rest of it doesn't get printed/aired.
  12. I'm not interested in joining one, but watching y'all form a polycule is a bit entertaining.
  13. After Snyder v. U.S. it's quite clear that one party sees government service as little more than a way to a comfortable life. We need a constitutional amendment that declares money to not be speech, campaign finance structure that favors candidates that bank many small donations rather than a few large ones, and a robust anti-corruption program including an independent, non-partisan anti-corruption prosecutor and strict laws on elected officials receiving any kind of quid pro quo other than for services rendered outside of their public service (they can still write books, lecture, etc.).
  14. I love slap fights about how to label a guy we all like because he has taken positions we also favor and signed into law things we all agree with. We need several more pages of nothing but that.
  15. Trib . . . fest you say? Jasmine and Jen? Oh, Tribune fest. Still cool.
  16. Threads is terrible about breaking news of any sort. So much vagueposting about things that are of no interest to me.
  17. And right there in your link text is the opening for Dems to remind people that it was liberal policies that built an economy that actually grew for the middle class and not just the elites. If economy is truly the #1 thing on the persuadable folks minds, you have to lean in, you have to make your case. Then, if you want another term, you have do deliver. The Right has had yet another shot at showing us that laissez-faire tendencies are the rising tide that lifts all boats, and have, once again proven their thesis WRONG. I think the persuadables are correct. The economy isn't working for the bottom 4 quartiles. We are badly in need of a course correction. I doubt you can sell social democracy in 90 days, but you can sell individual policies to strengthen worker protections and benefits. Elections are about giving things to people. Trump is giving his wealthy donors lower taxes and less regulation, and to his poorer cult followers, he's giving them increased self-worth by elevating them above brown people. Make this election about shifting subsidies away from the top 1% and towards the other 99%, and fulfilling the promise that we consider all people equal. Own the economy as an issue. But understand that the reason it is an issue is it is very much not growing for most people.
  18. Ohio's is August 7th. https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2024-election/democrats-plans-formally-nominate-biden-early-august-ahead-convention-rcna162320
  19. The [Dem candidate's name here] campaign should buy whole ad blocks and simply run 2-3 minutes of Trump's greatest rambling hits. That, plus ads highlighting 5-7 of Project 2025's most unpopular planks will give [Dem candidate's name here] a several point boost. And don't be afraid to just say what P2025 is really getting at: ending Social Security, ending Medicare, ENDING public education, criminalizing birth control and IVF, state overlordship of every womb, and ethnic cleansing. Take the fucking gloves off. I've become disinterested in the Biden will he/won't he melodrama. This election has to be a referrendum on Trump and quelling fascism. Make it about that, and we could put South Austin's mom in the WH. Tie every downballot Pub to Trump in the process, and maybe the Dems with stones can fix the damn system.
  20. Yes, or they could use the spending clause to coerce state compliance, like when Louisiana had highway money withheld until the increased the drinking age to 21. And no, the conservatives on the Court will not find ANY level of withheld spending to be unconstitutionally coercive in this instance. I'm sure we'd get a very pointed and well-written dissent, so we've got that going for us.
  21. You don't need to use the Force to have a strong influence on the weak-minded.
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