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chainsaw

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Everything posted by chainsaw

  1. he has to be separated from his wife, right?
  2. I've been trying to read through Baldoni's legal complaint. It has a lot of text messages and emails, as many if not more than Lively's complaint. It's long so it will be a few days, but they are doing a good job of telling a story that makes more sense.
  3. That could be it. Then again, it was a global trend of incumbents losing ground due to inflation. In the US and Canada it was liberals, in the UK it was the Conservatives, and in India it was right wing authoritarians. Could Mexico's voters really be so different that inflation didn't matter to them? I doubt it. AMLO and his party have a rare combination of three ingredients: a bold but comprehensible vision, a track record for acting on that vision, and an active connection with the voters whose cooperation and support are essential to acting on the vision. You don't find that with incumbent parties in other countries, really. Liberals were saying "everything is fine" when it wasn't (killing credibility with non-liberals while failing to inspire liberals). Conservatives are saying "everything is a disaster" but blaming immigrants and modern culture instead of CEOs and greed. I get that this is a Biden support thread, so we should be celebrating his wins, and when he did positive things, I applauded them, but he never spoke daily with the people. In fact, he even refused to have "big boy" press briefings, and now we know why not (he was probably not physically capable of it). Meanwhile, Trudeau and his party's lack of any vision or willingness to accomplish things utterly failed to improve anyone's material conditions in Canada. That's a recipe for getting blamed for inflation. Conservatives won't make anything better, and the pendulum will swing (hard), but when liberals regain power they won't have learned any lessons from this because too many Beltway consultants making $250k per year are depending on nothing fundamentally changing.
  4. You're right that you don't know nuffin about Mexican politics, so why then are you oversimplyfing? AMLO wasn't the first politician to campaign on "giving handouts" and the political movement he was a part of was pretty explicitly about getting rid of neoliberal institutions (a "fourth transformation"). This is something AMLO was amazing at. He directly addressed the nation almost every day. I would even go so far as to say that his efforts went beyond "communication" into the realms of building trust and relationships with the people.
  5. I'm only talking about electoral failure vs. electoral success during the same timeframe. Why did one incumbent gain and another lose?
  6. How do you explain the increased electoral successes of the incumbent party in Mexico (also beleaguered by Covid and inflation) as compared to the electoral failures of Biden's and Trudeau's parties? I can explain it, but I'm more interested in hearing your perspective.
  7. The economy is not working for most people. It's working very well for a few people, and that's skewing the KPIs. In the end, you can't convince a room full of sweaty people that a broken air conditioner's fine by shoving the thermostat in a freezer. Israel's genocidal campaign matters to more people than just "Muslims" by the way.
  8. Trump got only 49% of the vote. The gap between the Biden disapproval rate and the Trump support rate is pretty wide. It's okay to acknowledge that he was a weak, doddering, and unwise choice for the party in 2024. The party's failure to avert this crisis will have devastating consequences.
  9. chainsaw

    Texas GPA

    Even if Texas matched the record for guys getting drafted, that's like 86% of the team that probably need to accept that they're gonna have to either play school or enter the workforce
  10. The company Gilead had acquired already did this R&D and FDA process. Don't confuse two different things. There's the market (estimated 40M could be more though) and there's the patients who had adopted the treatment in the short time it had been made available. The particulars are less important than the big picture here, which is that people are being extorted.
  11. In a sane world, the FAA: I'm sure Trump's lackey won't do shit though
  12. He was very enthusiastic about coming to Texas. That's hard to replace.
  13. I hope Owens gets some playing time and significant snaps.
  14. god i hate his Mrs. Claus-lookin' ass at pressers with his stat vomit
  15. Bert Auburn drinks oat milk?
  16. go fuck* yourself total snowfall *includes sleet
  17. fuck it. guess there's a little UT Boy in all of us.
  18. This was a completely avoidable genocidal campaign. I don't think they will forget their lost and maimed loved ones, nor the homes that were destroyed, any time soon. We agree that the QCP's policies are worse domestically and abroad, but remember W had a 16 point lead over Gore in 2000 among Muslims (turns out, there's a fair amount of overlap between what used to be the platform of the GOP and the values of a traditional Arab household). I'll let you figure out how much the Iraq War changed their vote. I don't think Arabs have ever been a naturally monolithic voting bloc. It was only the perception of one party as clearly better than the other on one key issue that caused Republicans to lose so much ground with Arabs in the 2000s. But now instead of seeing Democrats as a lesser evil (which they are), both parties were seen as equally evil because they presented themselves as equally supportive of Israel, which I believe established a permission structure for Arab voters to return to their pre-W inclinations. All because Joe Biden refused to actually enforce his red lines.
  19. It's like Lenin said. You look for the person that benefits
  20. I'm saying this was a total unforced error by Biden. He got played not even like a fiddle but like a child's plaything. All that matters is Biden looked weak and Trump didn't. Kamala's bullshit "working tirelessly around the clock" talking point gets blown apart.
  21. When analyzing this issue and the Elon Musk issue, keep in mind the biggest takeaway from the Blake Lively story, which is that even a relative nobody like Justin Baldoni can benefit from a PR strategy that can control the comment sections and virality of good press, bad press, and everything in between, to the point where your opinion of a public figure has been all but molded by these shadow operatives without you even realizing it. Why did we ever think Mark Zuckerberg was a liberal, or sympathetic to liberal causes? Why did we ever think Elon Musk had an above room temperature IQ? It's not our fault that we've got more important things to do than to second guess our first impressions of public figures. Sure, it seems obvious now that he's always been a sociopath who would gladly inflict psychological distress on millions of people if it meant his stock would go up one quarter of a point, but let's not blame ourselves for failing to see him for what he really is. It's by design that anything we think we know about a famous person has gone through many, many filters and focus groups.
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