chainsaw

Pundits need to really internalize the fact that there's no such thing as a "final straw" when you're dealing with racism and people who tolerate racism. They fucking literally seceded from the union because they loved slavery that much. All through reconstruction, segregation, the civil rights movement, they have been kicking and screaming and resisting each and every effort ever made to improve the quality of life for people they perceive as non-white. Nothing else matters, as long as they have their precious White Supremacy. That's why there will never be a "final straw" for these voters.

She has surrogates and others who can cover that front. I agree that anything coming from her campaign should be about voters and not the candidates. That came through very clear in the debate.

These cross tabs are interesting. 713 Respondents: 413 Whites vs. 149 Hispanic + 114 Other (Arizona is 52% nonhispanic white, 32.5% hispanic, which would mean a representative sample should have had 357 whites and 231 hispanics, although it's probably safe to assume that hispanic residents are less likely to be registered voters than whites) 209 registered Dems vs. 249 registered GOP vs. 255 independents (AZ SOS reports 221,272 Dems and 216,913 GOP as of July 2024, with 336,343 being something else) Lake is only +2 with whites compared to +14 for Trump. These numbers basically tell me that unaffiliated voters hate Lake but like Trump. Independents were underrepresented (not 324 but 255), Republicans were overrepresented (not 192 but 249), and Democrats were slightly overrepresented (not 196 but 209). https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2024/09/23/us/elections/times-siena-arizona-crosstabs.html If I had to guess, Siena is assuming these "independents" are probably republicans in denial and built that assumption into the decision to have 57 more republicans in the sample than the latest AZ SOS breakdown would suggest there should be. The self-identified independent respondents in this poll "strongly disapprove" of Biden's job at 46% (republicans say 90%, dems say 5% with 50% strongly approving Biden, the topline for the 610 respondents was 49% strongly disapproving Biden's performance) Trump had -2 favorability among the 610 respondents, where Kamala had -7 More: 19% of the 610 respondents said Abortion should be mostly illegal, and an additional 9% said it should be always illegal. 35% of the 610 respondents said they oppose the Abortion rights referendum. A large share (23%) of the 610 respondents who identified as "Independent" had household incomes of $200k or more, which I think is still a lot of money for AZ. Another 28% of them had household incomes between $100k and $200k. So, over half of these "Independents" are well over the state's median household income of 77k. I find that anomalous.

I've seen enough. We are now able to project that Kamala Harris will win Massachusetts.

I find these photographs easy to resist.

It crazy how one bad game can completely derail a guy's confidence and fuck his career prospects.

https://www.axios.com/2024/09/21/harris-walz-campaign-conservative I don't know if I agree that this is a "culture play" but it was an interesting read nonetheless

In fairness, that's still a reason to root against the Texans.

I rate his performance a B. UTSA was an A+ performance (so was Quinn Ewers, though). What an awful problem to have. I don't understand why everyone hates us.

If he does it regularly, I got no problem with it. If he did it for the cameras, he's a fraud and deserves a Jimbo extension asap.

Tim Scott actually got more votes in 2016 than Trump did

He intends to file a lawsuit??? For what, exactly?

Dillon Gabriel ain't walkin through that tunnel

He's one of the undisputed GOATs of office politics.

Thankfully. It's still newsworthy that a major political party is totally fine with casually disenfranchising so many women if it helps them spread racial fearmongering narratives.

Related? https://www.statesman.com/story/news/crime/2024/09/22/person-of-interest-detained-in-south-austin-double-homicide/75336930007/

https://www.pbs.org/newshour/politics/congressional-leaders-announce-three-month-spending-deal-to-avert-government-shutdown

He's not a flip flopper he was just having an emotionally intense moment after losing 70-50 at home to a former FCS diety.

I'd want to know more about how the fight happened first.

The was definitely the F-list broadcast team.

Some people love me so much, they're voting only for me and skipping everything else. We're seeing it at levels never seen before. That, I can tell you.

Remember they knew all this shit back in 2018.

I'll admit that part is fun to think about. I don't think it will ever happen though.

The good news is people have largely moved on from Facebook. You're probably right that it was made in Russia or by a useful idiot being manipulated with Russian money. I hope that neighborhood page comment section is also populated with bots, but if these are people you actually know then you might just be in a neighborhood that skews heavily R.

I responded to someone else's rightful complaint about the idiotic tiebreaker system these "head and shoulders" intellectual giants created. See for yourself: Some people predictably couldn't accept the hard truth I was bringing and thought this thread was a good place to have a broader debate about the supposed intelligence of the founding fathers. It might make a fine thread, but I prefer to limit the discussion here to the idiocy of the Electoral College and the work Kamala Harris and Tim Walz have been doing in the battleground states to overcome it to save us from fascism.