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chainsaw

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Everything posted by chainsaw

  1. are the brackets set or is there more regular season
  2. At a certain point we have to accept that it's not "messaging" it's the product. I have my healthy disagreements with the product, especially on Gaza and immigration, but it's obvious which product is better between what Kamala offered and what Trump offered. I don't think there's any "messaging" that can sell decency to bad people. No, this one's on the voters. My working theory on radicalization is that the Dems' party leadership completely ceded all these spaces (podcasts, video games, streamers, low brow events like MMA) and assumed nothing would change from 2022. As usual, the Dems' party leadership grossly miscalculated the consequences. Gen Z (males mostly) underwent a change in their values at a time when they had developed zero party loyalty. The good news is that there are voices from the left and from the center who are already in these spaces. The infrastructure is there. The hard pill for the party leadership to swallow is that the voices in these spaces with the greatest ability to win back Gen Z are not people with whom the party elites have ever shown a willingness to work. They would much rather trot out Oprah, Beyoncé, and Jimmy Kimmel. If I'm being honest, the GOP has done a far better job of actually responding to what young people in their movement have been asking for. Their outreach has adapted to how young people in the 2020s think, as well as how they consume media. The Dems? Well, they had some cringeworthy "Creators for Kamala" initiative, exhibiting the same inauthenticity that plagued the candidate herself as people grew accustomed, then tired, of her stump speech. There are 74M bad people, and as long as Dems continue to allow it to happen by ignoring how Gen Z thinks and consumes media, that number will grow even as older Republicans die out.
  3. As far as Texas goes, I hope they stay far away from the lazy, bland, out-of-touch fuckwits who only know how to throw $2,000-a-plate fundraisers and sniff their own farts.
  4. Joe Biden, Nancy Pelosi, Chuck Schumer, and Jaime Harrison have left the party without a leader. That throne is up for grabs.
  5. https://www.texastribune.org/2024/11/08/texas-democrat-party-resigns-gilberto-hinojosa/
  6. Half of Surly: Woof! Half of Surly: Would!
  7. sounds like they got the brother to sing
  8. In a bunch of cases the victim is presumed dead. Like imagine two people go into the woods or out to sea, but only one returns. I don't know the number off the top of my head but after a certain number of days, you can know with mathematical certainty that they are no longer alive. I'm guessing the judge would basically force the jury to assume the victim is dead. Still hard, I guess, to say that the defendant was the cause of death and did it on purpose, but it gets easier when there's all this other stuff about how he was fighting with her and previously abusive. I don't think they would have brought murder charges unless they had some Kaitlin Armstrong-like evidence showing where he was at all times on the evening in question. Tracking his cars, trucks, phones, accounts, and reviewing surveillance from everywhere they know he had been on that evening and the other days before and after. By the time they charged Armstrong they'd gotten audio of the gunshots from a neighbor's Ring camera, video of the Jeep she was using, and the Jeep had some kind of GPS on it she forgot to disable. Of course, the ballistics matched up with her gun too and she had a track record of being controlling, envious, and specifically envious of the victim. I hope the detectives have similar evidence on Brad. If they've got all that, I'm not that worried about a lack of a body.
  9. Don't say unhinged shit and expect not to get your ass beat. Yeah, arrest and prosecute anyone who committed a crime, but don't expect sympathy from me for people who FAFO'd.
  10. https://www.mirror.co.uk/tv/tv-news/sacha-baron-cohen-fled-for-his-life-837963 It's a very modern and tolerant country
  11. I also need to know how the fuck Jaime Harrison got this job. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Jaime_Harrison#Career So he worked for Jim Clyburn (a fossil) and lobbyists. Despite breaking fundraising records, he lost by ten points to Linsdey Graham in 2020. That's it. Those were his qualifications. He had literally won NOTHING IN HIS ENTIRE GOTTDAMN LIFE and the party trusted him to lead it in 2021. I guess he deserves some credit for preventing a "red wave" in 2022, but he was still completely outmatched and outmaneuvered. The party cannot have Podesta-adjacent people in leadership anymore. They are completely incapable of winning back working class voters from all ethnic backgrounds.
  12. We're in Idiocracy. If the message has too many moving parts, isn't a catchy slogan, or uses words a second grader might not know, it's a losing message.
  13. I don't think it's common but it's not unheard of
  14. sorry i can't take anyone who looks like him seriously
  15. Conservatives are less likely to admit they need treatment.
  16. You are right on both counts. 1) Mexicans are not predisposed to misogyny. American men (including Mexican-American men but not just them) have been sold on this idea that they're being deprived of something and the culprit is liberals. From there they get radicalized into blaming society and feminism and everything the minister of culture tells them not to like. THAT is the only "big tent" in modern American politics. The DNC and Texas Dems are perpetually stuck in 2004, which could be why they thought it was so cool to have Dick Cheney's endorsement. Can they be won back? I don't know, at this point it doesn't feel like it but I feel like two years of incompetency may be enough to peel a few people off. It depends what happens with the economy. 2) Kamala was wishy-washy on policies and came off as inauthentic. I think sexism was an obstacle for her, but you're right that it wasn't why she lost. Unlike Hillary's coronation in 2016, the Dems had no option but Harris when the Biden disaster hit them in June. I put that failure to plan squarely at the feet of the DNC, which is why Jaime Harrison, his entire coaching staff, the coaching tree from which he came, and all coaching trees tainted by its influence, need to be fired. They should have known in 2022 that Biden was unfit to run again, but their arrogance not only allowed it to happen but even more damningly allowed it to happen without a viable backup strategy. Instead, they had to scramble, and they realized there was no way it could be anyone but Kamala Harris. That's what VPs are for, after all. Kamala tried to play it extraordinarily safe on policies. Tried to please everyone at the same time, and it seems nobody found it credible. On the campaign trail, her overdependence on canned responses eroded all of the enthusiasm she had built up from the debate, which in retrospect was probably where her campaign peaked. Unless people's lives are being directly impacted on a daily basis in the form of lockdowns and deaths, making "Trump Bad" the foundational message of your campaign is just not going to work. First, people either disagree (Trumpers) or don't care (Idiots) or don't care enough (Selfish Assholes) for it to change their votes. No Selfish Asshole in 2020 was going to vote for the anti-science, no-end-to-COVID-in-sight candidate, but without that to worry about in 2024, why would any Selfish Asshole pick Kamala? Second, by going all-in on "Trump Bad," you've just handed him the steering wheel of both campaigns. Everything you're doing is a reaction to what he's doing. Just a recipe for failure. I really wanted to be wrong. I bought into the polls and the other indicators. Maybe he was just that bad of a candidate that the polls and conventional wisdom would be right. That people were sick of his shit, and so sick of it that not even the DNC could fuck this up. But what I wanted isn't true, and what's true isn't what I wanted. The DNC fucked it up.
  17. That is a basically non-existent demographic. Yes, they exist but they didn't need to be courted because they were already vocal about their support for Harris. I have a strong feeling that these types of high-effort, low-results appeals to the right wing also played a role in depressing turnout for Dems from Biden's 81M to Kamala's probably sub-70M turnout. Results like these are Not Our Standard.
  18. But how could that be? I was told all these Liz Cheney events were a great idea
  19. Let's unpack that a bit, shall we? https://www.texastribune.org/2021/03/02/greg-abbott-texas-announcement/
  20. They watch the same social media This is a bit, right?
  21. I agree on that, but in theory that's what GOTV is intended to counteract. Unfortunately, I think a lot of Kamala's lists of likely D voters probably made unwise assumptions based on demographics that were supposed to be +70 for Ds but ended up being +15 at best.
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