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chainsaw

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Everything posted by chainsaw

  1. Surveillance footage of him at the adult video stores? Honestly I thought it was pretty cool of him to bring pizza to the employees.
  2. The trend has been great. I hope she sustains this momentum and I think she's got the right team to do it. The variations are probably due to how the different pollsters apply handicaps to the data. I looked at the methodology for Marist, though, and while I expected it to be in the neighborhood of +2 to +3 Republican respondents it was actually +3 Dems (Poll of 1,754 Pennsylvania Adults, among them 1663 registered voters and among them 1476 likely voters). Of the Trump voters, 90% strongly support him and 1% might vote differently, while for Harris voters 91% strongly support her and 0% might vote differently. Of the self-identified Democrats, 4% are voting Trump; of the self-identified Republicans, 3% are voting Harris. Of the self-identified Independents, Trump leads 49-45 (in a 2020 PA exit poll, Biden won independents 52-44) https://www.cnn.com/election/2020/exit-polls/president/pennsylvania Of the respondents who believe the most important quality is change, Trump leads 60-38. Harris leads in Philadelphia 83-15, +68 Harris leads in Philadelphia suburbs 59-40, +19 (that's a touch less than what Biden did in 2020) Trump leads NEPA 51-47, +4 (Trump's margins there were much higher in 2020, although it's hard to know how Marist was defining NEPA) Trump leads Central PA 62-35, +27 (Trump's Central PA margins in 2020 were generally +30) Trump leads West PA 56-43, +13 (Hard to know how Marist is defining this, but his margins in rural West PA counties ranged from +18 to +52 and he lost Erie and Allegheny coutnies) Trump leads with whites +3 (in 2020 he won whites +15) Trump leads with men +10 (it was +11 in 2020) Harris leads with women +12 (Biden had them +11 in 2020) 4% of Biden 2020 voters are supporting Trump 2024, while 3% of Trump 2020 voters are supporting Harris 2024.
  3. That's a beauty contest Jefferson wins every time
  4. He made the r--- threat while on drugs, or is he threatening to take drugs and then r--- them?
  5. I have no doubt that many, if not a majority, are reactionary. But I don't think the margin is as large as O'Brien suggests.
  6. The rumors are out there. This plus having to offer horses to flight attendants paints a picture of a guy with more than a few skeletons
  7. That knowing smile at the end of his performance, like he just got away with robbing whoever paid for that
  8. 10 years ago I would have been involuntarily committed for saying UTSA could end up in the PAC.
  9. Wait a second. Didn't he have a desk job as a "correspondent"?
  10. Love that they're calling it "Trump's Project 2025" keep it up
  11. https://teamster.org/2024/09/teamsters-release-presidential-endorsement-polling-data/ Hmm I wonder if Sean O'Brean did something between July 3 and July 24 that could have been consequential among Teamsters.... The world may never know
  12. Imagine pitching this show. Think Ted Lasso, but much, much worse.
  13. Yeah, I thought that was unlikely but I do think the original intention behind boosting the hoax, before the Trump campaign had picked up on and run with it, was related to distracting from the Moreno revelation.
  14. This plus Trump himself seems to be phoning it in. He either knows he will lose and is acting like it, or he has lost interest in campaigning.
  15. https://www.thedailybeast.com/jd-vance-wrote-scathing-article-against-gopthen-had-his-ohio-state-professor-delete-it
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