chainsaw

https://www.mirror.co.uk/tv/tv-news/sacha-baron-cohen-fled-for-his-life-837963 It's a very modern and tolerant country

I also need to know how the fuck Jaime Harrison got this job. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Jaime_Harrison#Career So he worked for Jim Clyburn (a fossil) and lobbyists. Despite breaking fundraising records, he lost by ten points to Linsdey Graham in 2020. That's it. Those were his qualifications. He had literally won NOTHING IN HIS ENTIRE GOTTDAMN LIFE and the party trusted him to lead it in 2021. I guess he deserves some credit for preventing a "red wave" in 2022, but he was still completely outmatched and outmaneuvered. The party cannot have Podesta-adjacent people in leadership anymore. They are completely incapable of winning back working class voters from all ethnic backgrounds.

We're in Idiocracy. If the message has too many moving parts, isn't a catchy slogan, or uses words a second grader might not know, it's a losing message.

I don't think it's common but it's not unheard of

sorry i can't take anyone who looks like him seriously

no

Conservatives are less likely to admit they need treatment.

You are right on both counts. 1) Mexicans are not predisposed to misogyny. American men (including Mexican-American men but not just them) have been sold on this idea that they're being deprived of something and the culprit is liberals. From there they get radicalized into blaming society and feminism and everything the minister of culture tells them not to like. THAT is the only "big tent" in modern American politics. The DNC and Texas Dems are perpetually stuck in 2004, which could be why they thought it was so cool to have Dick Cheney's endorsement. Can they be won back? I don't know, at this point it doesn't feel like it but I feel like two years of incompetency may be enough to peel a few people off. It depends what happens with the economy. 2) Kamala was wishy-washy on policies and came off as inauthentic. I think sexism was an obstacle for her, but you're right that it wasn't why she lost. Unlike Hillary's coronation in 2016, the Dems had no option but Harris when the Biden disaster hit them in June. I put that failure to plan squarely at the feet of the DNC, which is why Jaime Harrison, his entire coaching staff, the coaching tree from which he came, and all coaching trees tainted by its influence, need to be fired. They should have known in 2022 that Biden was unfit to run again, but their arrogance not only allowed it to happen but even more damningly allowed it to happen without a viable backup strategy. Instead, they had to scramble, and they realized there was no way it could be anyone but Kamala Harris. That's what VPs are for, after all. Kamala tried to play it extraordinarily safe on policies. Tried to please everyone at the same time, and it seems nobody found it credible. On the campaign trail, her overdependence on canned responses eroded all of the enthusiasm she had built up from the debate, which in retrospect was probably where her campaign peaked. Unless people's lives are being directly impacted on a daily basis in the form of lockdowns and deaths, making "Trump Bad" the foundational message of your campaign is just not going to work. First, people either disagree (Trumpers) or don't care (Idiots) or don't care enough (Selfish Assholes) for it to change their votes. No Selfish Asshole in 2020 was going to vote for the anti-science, no-end-to-COVID-in-sight candidate, but without that to worry about in 2024, why would any Selfish Asshole pick Kamala? Second, by going all-in on "Trump Bad," you've just handed him the steering wheel of both campaigns. Everything you're doing is a reaction to what he's doing. Just a recipe for failure. I really wanted to be wrong. I bought into the polls and the other indicators. Maybe he was just that bad of a candidate that the polls and conventional wisdom would be right. That people were sick of his shit, and so sick of it that not even the DNC could fuck this up. But what I wanted isn't true, and what's true isn't what I wanted. The DNC fucked it up.

That is a basically non-existent demographic. Yes, they exist but they didn't need to be courted because they were already vocal about their support for Harris. I have a strong feeling that these types of high-effort, low-results appeals to the right wing also played a role in depressing turnout for Dems from Biden's 81M to Kamala's probably sub-70M turnout. Results like these are Not Our Standard.

But how could that be? I was told all these Liz Cheney events were a great idea

Let's unpack that a bit, shall we? https://www.texastribune.org/2021/03/02/greg-abbott-texas-announcement/

They watch the same social media This is a bit, right?

I agree on that, but in theory that's what GOTV is intended to counteract. Unfortunately, I think a lot of Kamala's lists of likely D voters probably made unwise assumptions based on demographics that were supposed to be +70 for Ds but ended up being +15 at best.

You think pollsters are siloing? People who make a living by getting these things right, are doing their jobs poorly on purpose?

The Gen Z who voted in previous elections used to be reliably Democratic. They are no longer reliably Democratic. This is true in the low-turnout counties of South Texas, and it's becoming true of Gen Z. You can no longer see a long line of voters on a college campus and assume that's a good thing for the Dems. Because they're less reliably Democratic.

reading comprehension wasn't your strong suit, was it?

This is the part I still am not seeing a coherent explanation for. There is just no way an outcome like this is possible without a bunch of dead canaries in coalmines. They could not have been as confident as they were ("blindsided") unless they were ignoring obvious signs. But, what would those obvious signs have been? A bunch of flags and yard signs? Nope. Yuge crowds? None. What about enthusiasm and approval ratings? Not there, either. It hasn't been adding up for me.

Dems (the party leaders) once again took a previously-reliable voting bloc for granted.

She's serious?

LOL at the idiots disappointed that Stein "only" got .5% get fucked

how else can they get probable cause on black drivers

Without career servants, they won't know how to govern. Imagine what Elon did to twitter, happening to all branches of the federal government.

Don't forget Cuellar (TX-28) will be gone in a few months.