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LurkingHorn

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  1. LurkingHorn
    Powerful. Thanks for sharing.
  2. LurkingHorn
    This is going to be interesting to see. I also think trump is going to have the stain of being a one-term president. Not a lot of people are going to be passionate for a loser.
  3. LurkingHorn
    This gives me hope that even if America is in decline, we at least have a chance to plateau or ever reverse the trend. It makes me so elated because democracy works even when it’s under extreme attack by someone who thinks the democracy is there to serve himself. It makes me sad that it took a president like Trump to make me realize how fragile our democracy really is. It makes me elated to see this fucktard whine like a bitch and confirm he is the loser we all know he is.
  4. LurkingHorn
    I think this is over. The map is not going for Biden in any way right now. He's going to lose Ohio and lose NC. He is going to have to sweep PA, WI, and MI. I don't see that happening based on how things are going.
  5. LurkingHorn
    This is not trending well for Biden. I think Trump has won this. Can't believe I'm typing this.
  6. LurkingHorn
    NY Times has this forecasted as 88% chance to Trump at this point. It's probably gone.
  7. LurkingHorn
    For all the kudos we gave Harris County, their margin is very pedestrian. The rural wave is about to come in and we're all about to be pissed.
  8. LurkingHorn
    Florida is gone. What the hell happened in Miami-Dade?
  9. LurkingHorn
    Fine. Give FL to Trump and NV to Biden and Biden is still at 278
  10. LurkingHorn
    This would be a great result even if you give AZ, GA, and NC to Trump. People are getting way too caught up in the noise. If Biden gets WI, PA, MI, and FL then this thing isn't going to be particularly close. I think many of us want to just spike the ball, but this scenario would still result in 301 electoral votes for Biden and I didn't even give him NV.
  11. LurkingHorn
    He seemed to be well-liked and well-respected in the organization. Carlisle’s previous two assistants who went on to be head coaches have been fairly successful but I don’t have much more than that.
  12. LurkingHorn
    After a lull on Saturday, tarrant starts off this week with its second highest day, another 45k. Will be interesting to see how consistent that stays this week.
  13. LurkingHorn
    Was just coming to post this. Harris is going to get all the headlines, as it should, but tarrant county is still on an upward trajectory which is incredible. They have set a new high every day. This is a sexy looking graph.
  14. LurkingHorn
    Remember when I was slightly underwhelmed with the first day turnout? Tarrant has now topped the first day total twice. 132k votes already which is about 20% of the total votes cast in 2016. I’m a backup poll worker and got called to work next week because of how busy voting locations are. We’ll be casting two more votes tomorrow. Can’t wait.
  15. LurkingHorn
    Don’t have much to add to this story other than I got to hear Stan speak about 6-8 years ago at an awards deal I was at for my wife. Not sure why he was asked to be a speaker and he basically said as such, then proceeded to say he was just going to give his normal marketing pitch. Most of it was about Home Depot and Motel 6, but the whole thing was super awkward. I know. CSB.
  16. LurkingHorn
    Tarrant County has a live tracker if you want to keep up with it: http://www.tarrantcounty.com/en/elections/Upcoming-Election-Information/Live_Turn_Out_Widget.html
  17. LurkingHorn
    The Trump base is about to start dying off at a very rapid rate. This is their last hurrah. They will be around but not nearly in these numbers.
  18. LurkingHorn
    For what it’s worth, Tarrant County had about 42,000 votes today which is roughly 9% of the total early votes from 2016. It’s also about 6% of the total vote from 2016. I honestly was hoping for a little higher turnout than that.
  19. LurkingHorn
    Early voting site by my house in Tarrant County was closed this morning because one of the workers tested positive for COVID and was in training on 10/8 with other workers. Basically none of the workers showed up to work this morning and they had to scramble to get a team together. I'm going to drive by after work to see how long that line is, but I imagine it's a cluster. Also, Tarrant County also has a live voter turnout tracker if anyone is interested: http://www.tarrantcounty.com/en/elections/Upcoming-Election-Information/Live_Turn_Out_Widget.html 21,000+ as of 1 p.m.
  20. LurkingHorn
    I listened to this as well and had a similar, emotional response.
  21. LurkingHorn
    Agreed with those above. If there is video of this somewhere, it's going to be really awful.
  22. LurkingHorn
    Just from my own experience re: catching COVID from voting in person, I worked a poll in July and was around hundreds of people throughout the day while wearing a mask and staying as socially distanced as possible. None of the workers got it and most of the people who voted were in and out in less than 10 minutes. Go vote early and everything is going to be fine.
  23. LurkingHorn
    Thanks for the context. Didn't realize they changed the districts.
  24. LurkingHorn
    Just to tack on to this, I decided to look up previous PA Senate races for context of the 2018 results. 2016: Incumbent R - Toomey wins by 1.5 point or 86k votes. In 2010 victory, these margins are pretty much the same. 2018: Incumbent D - Bob Casey won by 13 points or 650k votes. In 2012 victory Casey won by 9 points or roughly 490k votes. In 2018 the Dems also flipped 3 House seats and none of those races were even close. That's trending in a poor directions for the GOP. I'm not sure what has changed between 2018 and now that makes people believe the gap has narrowed any.
  25. LurkingHorn
    Didn't LeBron's group, More Than A Vote, also do this? I'd be curious to know how many people they helped by doing this as well.

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