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Chopper

Certifiably Surly
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Everything posted by Chopper

  1. lol the portion of the right wing media that tries to present a veneer of credibility has been kicked out of trump's event tonight - axios, puck, politico
  2. haha I thought you typed media...probably fake, eh? This exit poll is troubling!
  3. xitter is a swamp of mis- and disinformation
  4. where to bet with full confidence in getting paid and ability to take money out? I'd drop 10k in a heartbeat. Maybe by 11 central, some results in some counties will be known earlier 2024 Iowa General Election: Live Results and Maps
  5. if you're on twitter here's a 20 tweet thread to read after which you should have your pistol ready and your mouth open
  6. That wouldn't be considered electioneering. His post was more of a "tough shit for her" vibe.
  7. no scatter plots... so no Chilis?
  8. You can argue abortion is on the ballot in Iowa so it's special. But it's also on the ballot in Florida. And women in other states where it's not visibly on the ballot know what's up.
  9. State voting patterns have really been very stable relative to each other. The correlation between the 2016 and 2020 elections by state was 0.97. If Kamala does particularly well in Iowa, or in any other state, she's doing well everywhere.
  10. If you had a prop bet on Jane Goodall pusblishing an anti-Trump op-ed today without once ever mentioning his name, congrats you're now likely a trillionaire! Jane Goodall has spent nearly 65 years studying the social and family interactions of wild chimpanzees. She is the founder of the Jane Goodall Institute and a United Nations messenger of peace. Washington Post https://archive.ph/xmXuD conclusion
  11. hopium from a poll (not pole) worker
  12. Found this article just in time for election day
  13. Google trends - people doing last minute homework https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/world/russia-suspected-of-plotting-to-send-incendiary-devices-on-us-bound-planes/ar-AA1tucFR
  14. Yes she only polls in Iowa so it seems she's built up quite a great data set to draw from. She apparently doesn't even hire out for polls in other states. Just sticks to Iowa.
  15. Only because I want it to be, my opinion is that the person rented it and had fun for a day. Gonna be a long day. siap - thought I'd deleted this but it popped back in my post.
  16. Report from a H/W canvasser in PA who says he's knocked on more than 300 doors over the past few weeks:
  17. Yeah pretty much. I wish I knew if there's going to be a ton of exit pollsters in GA and PA though. With voting by mail, exit polls don't mean as much as they used to for sure. But tomorrow in those two states there could be a ton of worthwhile info.
  18. A threat text from the IN governor. Nothing vague about it.
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