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atomheartbevo

Certifiably Surly
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Everything posted by atomheartbevo

  1. Kemp and Hailey are going to be heavily attacked by Trump in the coming days, and they are both going to be in the best position coming out of this. This is who Mitch is going to want the GOP to coalesce around in the coming months.
  2. I wasn’t going to write pages of posts about three white people in New Hampshire.
  3. So what’s Night Crew doing? If you need some suggestions, here’s a few Watching Parks and Rec (or Agatha Harkness) Enjoying the rain if you are lucky Plotting where to dump the next body near or in Town Lake Masturbatin’ to Louise Perry videos where she talks about declining birthrates Checking on their Canadian duel-citizenship application Trolling relatives on Facebook with videos of Trump going down on a microphone Watching videos of 20-somethings working on cruise ships and realizing you should have done that 25 years ago, Watching Stacey Millner-Collins yoga videos Watching Amtrak videos on YouTube and planning trips you’ll never take Watching Usagi Electric videos on YouTube and plotting how to fully restore a TI-99/4A Analyzing the votes of 6 people in a New Hampshire village Watching real estate videos from New England for houses twice as big and a third the cost of Austin houses Playing Ticket to Ride online Loading up a few dozen tabs on your phone for tracking various state elections Planning what GIFs to post on relatives’ Facebook pages when states start being called
  4. Yeah, and I wouldn’t be surprised if a lot of Rogan fanbois are not registered to vote.
  5. You’re of a certain age - do you recall a shitload of JFK/LBJ or Carter administration officials coming out publicly trashing their former bosses and endorsing Reagan or the older Bush, let alone campaigning for them? These are former officials who are publicly putting themselves in the proverbial crosshairs, potentially cutting off future revenue streams and future careers. If they are willing to do this, risking potentially hundreds of thousands, even millions of dollars over the years, maybe even risking their personal safety, I think plenty of rank-and-file Republican will, in the privacy of the voting booth, either not vote, or vote Harris or Oliver. I think the end result will be closer to my prediction of 355 than 270.
  6. And Trump has done nothing to help himself with Georgians. I think it easily goes for Harris.
  7. Oklahoma’s Secretary of Education was fucking with the rural districts hard, and then the OK City mayor endorses Kamala. It may not be in play, but it was pretty blue not too long ago.
  8. I think the porn workers in Nevada come through against Project 2025. I don’t see AZ going for Trump. I think Georgia has momentum, and I think NC lacks enthusiasm for Trump after the past two months. I trust Seltzer on Iowa. I think abortion and Puerto Ricans push Florida over the edge. I think Texas scares the shit out of the Rs, and if I had to pick a wildcard it would be Texas, but I’m leaving it red.
  9. I think plenty of the low-energy crowd will just pass tomorrow. They will tell themselves their vote doesn’t matter and why waste time standing in line?
  10. Or it’s their internal polling showing Texas flipping or coming close to it, so they are spreading this stuff to cast doubt. It’s what I would do in their place .
  11. Did you even realize back then that they weren’t made out of babies?
  12. No thanks, I have no desire to have my ass kicked.
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