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berlinerbaer

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Everything posted by berlinerbaer

  1. Jana Lynne Sanchez (the leading Dem) is currently in 3rd place, where she trails #2, Jake Ellzey, by 366 votes. Only 9% of Tarrant county precincts are left to report. Pretending these precincts are identical to the ones that already reported in Tarrant County, there are 4723 votes still left to count. She is pulling 15.7% of the vote there currently while Ellzey is getting 8.1%. Assuming the remainder break the same way, she'll net another 741 votes compared to 382 for Ellzey. This will put her behind Ellzey by 8 votes. She needs to hope those final precincts are in populous areas of Fort Worth or the Dems are going to be locked out of the runoff.
  2. Tomorrow's the last day to vote in the Texas 6th special. 24 candidates in all. Pubs are beating Dems collectively almost 2 to 1 in fundraising. On each side, the frontrunner in the polls does not lead the party in fundraising.
  3. No fences is a dead give-away for Trumpland.
  4. If anything, it's good for filibuster reform. Biden is basically buying his vote.
  5. Got stuck with the first Moderna this afternoon. My arm is sore but that's it so far. The lady that stuck me was a pro. It was the least painful shot I've ever gotten, which might just be because I was happy as shit to get it. Overall I was impressed with the city of Houston's operation.
  6. I didn't know jungle primaries were a thing in Texas. R support will likely coalesce around Ms. Wright, ensuring she moves on. There is some real risk that a D gets left out if there isn't a well-known local name.
  7. This, except one minor correction. They knew they never had the votes to repeal Obamacare. They backed themselves into a corner after their shitty tantrums the previous six years and had to pretend to their base they really wanted it. John Boener called this one back in February of 2017 almost exactly as it happened. The ONLY thing the GOP wanted to do during the Trump years was give their donors a tax cut. That, and confirm judges.
  8. Blount committed GOP seppuku by helping plan Biden's inauguration and then speaking at said inauguration.
  9. This was my thought as well. My guess is that the new bills were designed with past court rulings in mind. The justices had to state why they ruled the way they did, so the new bills could use that as a legal framework on which to build something more robust.
  10. I miss Germany. You live in a great city. As for Tanden, come on, Joe. Pull her nomination. Quit wasting time or deal with the embarrassment of a failed appointee.
  11. Lulz https://www.politico.com/news/2021/02/16/trump-attacks-mcconnell-in-fiery-statement-469150
  12. The notion that politicians and pundits on the Right are at the mercy of their base is a dangerous myth. The masses have been whipped into a frenzy by a steady stream of lies from callous depraved "leaders", like Rush and Trump. These people are treacherous manipulators and we should celebrate every time they get their microphones taken away, by whatever means.
  13. I like your spunk but three bills, the maximum amount of bills that could pass through reconciliation, is a far cry from a "whole bunch of bills". Or do you think the Dems nuke the filibuster?
  14. My point was that this vote did not have to happen if McCarthy would have dealt with MTG on his own or among leadership. Instead, he made all his caucus go on record. There are several freshmen Rs in purple districts who have had a rough first month in office, voting wise. I'm talking about the two ladies in CA, the one still undecided in NY, and the one in IA who won by like 10 votes. The whole reason Mitch built a pile of Dem House bills up on his desk was to prevent them from coming up for a vote and making his members stick their necks out. One explanation is that Trump told McCarthy to hold the vote in order to find out who the "traitors" are, after flying down to Mar a Lago and slob his knob.
  15. This must have been a brutal vote for so many Republicans, especially the ones in swingy districts. It was all avoidable if McCarthy would have just handled MTG by himself. Between this saga and the internal vote over Cheney, I can't think of a less effective leader. Mitch, or even Pelosi would have never allowed this to happen.
  16. Q-CA. Awesome. Please let this stick. I'm going to start doing it from now on.
  17. Her district isn't nearly as red as I thought. It swung 10 points blueward in the Trump years. R +6 according to Cook in 2018 after the former incumbent R won by 22 and 14 in 2014 and 2016.
  18. Y'all are sucking off the Lincoln Project when there is no real proof they made a difference last November.
  19. Ron Johnson is not popular. I have to believe he's being advised to retire rather than put that seat at risk. You'd expect dipshit senators in red states like Missouri or Texas (wince), but not in a state that reelected Tammy Baldwin by double digits. And yet there he is, for now.
  20. This thread is in the wrong forum if the intent is for conservative participation.
  21. Mike Pawlawski knows what he's talking about. PK is a great hire. His defenses at UW were among the best in the P12 even if Jimmy Lake gets some credit for that. He also doesn't seem to have head coaching aspirations so if he works out there should be little worry about him getting hired away.
  22. The Capitol insurrection was shocking, sure, but something about seeing it coming weeks in advance takes it out of the running for me. The teargas church photo-op was way more out of left field and just as sinister. TrumpCare going down in flames in the Senate. Now THAT was shocking to me. Oh, and BWAHAHAHAHAHAHA!!
  23. This has aged so well.
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