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berlinerbaer

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Everything posted by berlinerbaer

  1. berlinerbaer
    I agree with you completely since I am a nervous Democratic voter who still sweats over polls showing Biden ahead of Trump by 10 points in Arizona. OTOH My brain sees your numbers and thinks if Amash only takes 6 away from Biden in Michigan, his strongest state, then it's much ado about nothing. My brain also tells me that third parties are overrated and have been since Perot, and that third parties have only ever negatively impacted incumbent parties. I expect nearly all Dem voters and indies who hate Trump will take an Amash run seriously and not be swayed. All it will take is a couple of polls in MI and PA to keep eyes on the ball. I do worry about the right-leaners who don't give a shit but don't want the shame in voting for him. I worry because a Biden squeaker sends the country a much different message than a Biden landslide and that message isn't a good one. No, I wouldn't mind if he went away quietly.
  2. berlinerbaer
  3. berlinerbaer
  4. berlinerbaer
    1) and 1) of course... But the only number that matters is Hillary -> Biden. Everyone who voted for Hillary needs to (be able to) vote for Biden. Voter suppression efforts need to at least be held at bay. Dems will turn out IF they are allowed.
  5. berlinerbaer
    When I worry that these protests may gain steam and be perceived as legitimate political movements by significant numbers of the American public, I just look at what these idiots look like. When you look like you followed up a trip to the MAGA rally with a round of target practice with Cliven Bundy, I don't think your protests are going to hurt Whitmer's approval rating let alone be taken seriously by the majority of Americans. At least the Tea Party dressed to impress a bit more back in 2009.
  6. berlinerbaer
    nm
  7. berlinerbaer
    It's all going to Joni Ernst.
  8. berlinerbaer
    Arizona Republicans are having a hard time recruiting candidates for statewide office. McSally is still better than any alternatives, even with the L against Sinema. I'd keep an eye on the governor, Ducey. He's by far the most viable R candidate for a future senate bid. Unfortunately for him, he will likely have to run against a Dem incumbent.
  9. berlinerbaer
    This.
  10. berlinerbaer
    A fourth? Jesus... and we're only in like the 4th inning.
  11. berlinerbaer
    People will walk over fucking broken glass to vote against the GOP. I mean, holy shit! This fills me with so much hope.
  12. berlinerbaer
    His incompetence is killing his friends, too.
  13. berlinerbaer
    For all the talk of things starting to level off, we just finished our worst day ever. 35977 new cases and 2102 dead, according to 1point3acres.
  14. berlinerbaer
    Let's all remember that the GOP thinks this guy is a rising star because he narrowly won a district that looks like this.
  15. berlinerbaer
    Yep. The 1 year-old has us going out to buy milk every three or four days, 2 gallons at a time. I might as well grab some cereal, fresh fruit and veggies, ice cream, and a six pack while I'm at it. Maybe all you aristocrats lucky enough to trap themselves in at home for 3 weeks straight eating canned kidney beans will think of those of us less fortunate.
  16. berlinerbaer
    He should run for president. He should throw his hat back into the ring.
  17. berlinerbaer
  18. berlinerbaer
    Our 4 year old has been on the downward spiral since we pulled him out of daycare two weeks ago. After asking to go back (or go to the museum) for days, it's beginning to sink in that he's stuck with us for a while. I hope parks and the backyard can entertain him, since there's only so much TV to watch and he's already started fighting with his 1 year-old sister over toys. Had a meltdown right before bed tonight. It doesn't help that his sister is finally moving into her "cute" phase. If we thought he was jealous before, I worry he's about to show us how bad it can get. Wife and I are both mid-late 30s, but if either one of us ended up in the hospital with Covid, I don't think the other could go it alone. We don't have any family nearby.
  19. berlinerbaer
    One way or another, the team was never going to make it to summer 2020 before being disbanded, unless every member were to slob Trump's orange knob 24/7. Do you really think Trump would let a bunch of "experts" look smart around him? Dr. Fauci already is on thin ice.
  20. berlinerbaer
    The in-laws report that after a month or so of state sponsored propaganda, it's widespread for Chinese to think that the virus originated in the US. The differences are whether or not one believes it was a US military job or not.
  21. berlinerbaer
    I"m going to get pedantic here, but there are too many poll choices. Furthermore, they assume a linear increase in positive cases, when cases are currently exponentially increasing, as they will for the foreseeable future. The options should be organized in a logarithmic manner, like < 100k (log < 5) 100k - 300k (log = 5 - 5.5) 300k - 1M (log = 5.5 - 6) etc I guessed 500-600k, only because we will be test-limited.
  22. berlinerbaer
    This better mean that the stimulus money is a loan and not a handout, but we all know better...
  23. berlinerbaer
    In the age of Trump, EVERYTHING is political. Back when the virus was only in China, the DT thread was a source of news and discussion, including a fair amount of speculation. All the problems began when things started going to shit here in the US. Municipal leaders are handling this well. Governors on both sides are doing what they need to do, for the most part. Hell, even Congress is quickly passing bipartisan legislation freeing up money to battle the pandemic and shore up the economy. The wild card in everything is Trump. He makes everything political and forces us all into pissing contests. it doesn't help that he has made a cult of personality out of a plurality in this country in a way no politician before him has done.
  24. berlinerbaer
    Texas just had its 1000th positive case. Almost a fifth of those, 192 as of last refresh, were diagnosed today.
  25. berlinerbaer
    The local school PTA or whatever decided to liven things up in the neighborhood by piling their kids and family into their cars, at least 30 of them all decorated with signs and confetti, and drive through the streets honking and waving at the majority of us who went outside to look at the commotion. That at least was fun.

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