Jump to content

berlinerbaer

Legacy Members
  • Posts

    806
  • Joined

  • Last visited

Everything posted by berlinerbaer

  1. Adhere strictly to cotton bedding. It wicks away moisture. Avoid polyester, both comforters and sheets but especially sheets. That's like sleeping wrapped up in Saran wrap.
  2. Full disclosure: this race is in my district... but it's a great target for the Surly PAC. Not only is Sri a strong candidate, but he'll be going up against either Troy Nehls or Kathaleen Wall.
  3. About half are closed where we are (local district is closed) but ours is still open. As for an opinion, I completely understand both sides. Not fully knowing your friends' situation, if mom has a 7 week-old then she probably has no time to take care of the older one unless dad is there to do it. I feel bad for parents who have no choice but to work and send their kids somewhere. We pulled both of our kids out this week once I learned I'd be mostly working from home. Otherwise I would have wanted to keep them in a week longer, despite my wife's wishes, because I know she'd get run into the ground. Having me around makes the decision easy because we are both sick of coming down with whatever the kids bring home. Foot-and-mouth and that flu that turned into pneumonia sucked. They sure as shit won't be bringing us Covid-19.
  4. Yes, you'll be fine. The virus is not truly airborne. As long as you stay 6 feet away from an infected person, your risk of contracting Covid is minimal. Even day trips to places that don't involve being confined with other people are okay.
  5. We found the neighborhood parks to be almost deserted last Saturday. Based on the number of people I saw walking their dogs with masks on, my guess is that everyone thinks Covid-19 is airborne (it isn't), or it's the oak pollen. Time to take advantage. More like 2-3 hours for us. I told my wife before I left for a couple hours of work in the morning that we should give in and let our 4 year-old watch some tube. These are unprecedented times. I'd be tempted to let our one year-old watch it too except she doesn't have the attention span, thankfully.
  6. There is evidence of non-seasonality. Singapore was really hard hit at first and only a sustained control effort from the authorities and the population put a lid on it.
  7. NSIAP. This is a great site for keeping track of Covid-19 in the States. Everything is well-sourced. https://coronavirus.1point3acres.com/en
  8. Where did you see a modest slowdown? Link? Here is one of the best sites I've come across for monitoring Covid-19 cases in the US. There is a graph of cumulative cases that shows no slowdown to date. In fact, you can plot it logarithmically and the result has been linear for almost 2 weeks now, meaning we are still in the exponential growth phase.
  9. A PCR kit contains two necessary reagents: primers and polymerase. In the case of CoV-2, a reverse transcriptase is also needed to first convert the viral RNA to DNA. Polymerase should be standardized for the PCR method regardless of the application and widely available, reverse transcriptase less so as it would be more application limited. My educated guess is that the primer is the scarce resource since it must be custom manufactured for CoV-2 genes. Oligonucleotide synthesis, for making primers, probably can't be done on a large scale everywhere but it isn't rocket science. I'm still surprised at how slow things are going and have no good explanation why there should be a physical limitation to their manufacture. Therefore, I chalk it up to poor planning and decision making. I'll now head over to the Cloak Room.
  10. PCR is a widely available analytical tool that many hospitals and forensic labs are capable of running. The key seems to be in the choice of which viral genes are targeted and the availability of those needed reagents. PCR uses a small amount of synthetic DNA, called primer, that's about 10 base pairs long. The primer is designed to only bind to a segment of viral complimentary DNA, usually at the start of the strand for one particular gene. The polymerase enzyme finds this primer-bound segment and begins replication. In this manner, only the DNA you want is amplified, and the much greater amounts of other DNA, such as from the patient, is ignored and eventually drowned out by the replicated viral DNA. My guess is that the primer is the reagent in short supply that we keep hearing about. Not only that, but in an early CDC test a primer was chosen that targeted a gene non-specific to CoV-2, leading to ambiguous results or even false positives. The South Koreans and others appear to have chosen the correct gene to target. The South Koreans also have an antibody test that works in minutes, much faster than PCR. These are much like the standard flu test.
  11. The suburbs are getting bluer. That fact was demonstrated most clearly in 2018 when Trump wasn't on the ticket.
  12. This. That 2017-2018 flu season was a real bitch. I caught pneumonia from it too. My wife is Chinese, so I've been hearing about this since New Years. The nice thing is that she stocked us up with food, hand sanitizer, and masks before it was trendy. I'm most concerned because of our kids who have been robbing us of sleep and knocking my ass out with who knows what ailment the past few years. And, yes, more lower respiratory issues than I'm comfortable with. I envy you all who don't have small children in daycare. Put me down as moderately concerned.
  13. How valid is a poll conducted 6 weeks ago?
  14. I assume you are talking mostly about the Vegas debate (because the SC debate was an unmitigated shitshow). You forget Warren's brand of progressivism: financial justice and anti-corruption. You'd have to be ignorant of her to think that she would pass up the opportunity to lay into a billionaire trying to buy his way to the nomination just to try to dunk on Joe Biden. You also forget the state of the race before Nevada. Biden was reeling and Bloomberg was this great intangible Nothing spreading over the land. We should be grateful she took him down.
  15. Liz waited until June to endorse Hillary, after it was clear she had enough pledged delegates to secure the nomination. What happened in 2016 can't be used to predict her endorsement this time.
  16. Don't forget TX-22. Sri Kulkarni has a great shot against either Troy Nehls or Kathaleen Wall.
  17. I agree, although I voted for a few people only because I got a letter or a flyer in the mail. Without knowing anything else, the fact that I got a mailer indicated to me that the candidate is more likely to run a serious campaign. With that said, the state house candidate to which I applied the above tactic finished 3rd in his race. The possible explanation was that he was spamming my electronic inbox, which doesn't necessarily indicate deep pockets.
  18. Although I voted for her, I don't think Warren would make a good VP pick for either candidate. I don't think her vision is really compatible with Biden's and being on the ticket with Bernie would be progressive overload without enlarging Bernie's coalition. Kamala is the best choice for both.
  19. When I voted for Liz this past Thursday I was seriously considering switching to Bernie, who has been my #2 for awhile now. If I had waited until after the SC results, odds are I would have done so to help Bernie win Texas. In the end I didn't want to deal with the election day hassles and wanted to vote my conscience, so I voted early for Liz.
  20. Wat At least half of the Super Tuesday vote has already been cast. Only Bama and Samoa don't have early voting. A 5% swing is the best Biden can hope for.
  21. She'll mop up the latino vote. Sema Hernandez beat Beto in the RGV and other southern counties in 2018. Was that because she was hispanic, or a progressive? Either way, it helps Cristina this go-around in a runoff and in the general.
  22. Nothing you ever post is
  23. She should have taken a similar path as Yang and Inslee and run as a single-issue candidate. But unlike those two, she is so good at that one issue, anti-corruption in her case, that she would have gone far into the primary just hammering on that. Instead, she felt the need to have a plan for everything and become a "total" candidate. I agree that getting caught up in Bernie's wheelhouse, M4A, really cost her. She was my choice, then I started to waver 50/50 with Bernie. Wednesday night's debate put me back on her side (she is soooo good speaking truth to power) but Bernie's cleanup in Nevada makes me think I should go full bro. I'm not sure what I'm going to do.
  24. Dude. Get off of Surly, take a bathroom break, grab a beer, and watch that motherfucker. You give the Bernie Bros way too much credit. Sanders strikes me as someone with integrity who won't attempt to appease the worst of his supporters, unlike the current stain on the White House. I'm not sure he should choose any of the young progressives as a running mate. It won't be a moderate, but he should pick someone to help build out the coalition. I like the idea of a woman of color sitting in the ideological middle of the party. Like Kamala or Stacey Abrams.
×
×
  • Create New...