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berlinerbaer

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Everything posted by berlinerbaer

  1. Maybe one of you can stop hyperventilating and explain why this thread blew up like 7 hours ago. Some of us have day jobs away from our desk.
  2. "I'm afraid Trump won't leave office if he wins again, but I'm still undecided."
  3. The 18 point delta between Gallego and Biden is ridiculous but possible due to Kari Lake's abysmal popularity (won't be shocked if she loses the primary). That said, I think more than half of those ticket spillers are reachable for Biden. On the flipside, I think Trump is close to the height of his popularity right now and has little to no room for further growth. The Biden campaign IMO correctly believes that running an actual campaign will help close the gap in AZ and other states over the next 5 months.
  4. I just threw Allred $50 but yeah, you're right. A cheat sheet on who/where to donate in Texas would be helpful. For example, last cycle I remember all the swingy TX state house districts were bundled together into one account on act blue IIRC.
  5. Y'all need to relax. Very few college students today were eligible to vote in the last presidential election. 95% of them could stay home in November while Biden squeezes out only the flimsiest of margins with the rest and that would still translate into net new votes in his column. Meanwhile, 4 more years worth of olds are no longer voting eligible. We are a bunch of privileged white males fretting about the voting behavior of some younger versions of ourselves who have the luxury of being one-issue Gaza voters. Meanwhile, Gen Z women who are under attack are going to turn the fuck out.
  6. My second stint at UC Berkeley was as a postdoc where, like all other postdocs and many other staff positions, I was actually represented by the UAW. This was in the physical sciences, so not the kind of crowd that would join the picket line alongside Humanities. The UAW was entitled to a small fraction of my salary, even if I wasn't a member, but my health insurance was badass. "Hi, I'm Todd. Your UAW representative. Are you interested in becoming a member of the union? We have monthly meetings and your monthly membership dues would be XX." "No. I'm too busy." "I understand. Are you aware that xx of your monthly pay goes to supporting us regardless of your membership?" "Yeah. I'm cool with that. Keep up the good work. But really, I'm too busy." My experience may be unique, having worked in Libtown, USA. Now, as a researcher in Corporate America with a family who thinks my healthcare premiums and deductibles are too damn high, I'd be down with union membership. Still, I think the incubator of the concept is earlier in the professional career, i.e. in academic environments, and those folks are too overworked to care, and too beholden to unsympathetic faculty. /csb
  7. If you must know, I saw a comment on Youtube that she apologized to Putin on Twitter and went to go find it. No such luck but she certainly is having a moment.
  8. She is melting down on Twitter. I checked and refuse to repost, and now I need a shower.
  9. Victoria Sparz
  10. How about the one who was actually born in Ukraine?
  11. What are y'all's thoughts on Larry Hogan running for the MD senate seat? Some polls have him ahead of his hypothetical Dem opponents.
  12. Joe told Bibi he'll be on his own in any counterattack. https://www.axios.com/2024/04/14/biden-netanyahu-iran-israel-us-wont-support
  13. Yes. The ball was in Iran's court.
  14. We caught the show in Llano and the clouds did the whole disappearance thing about 30 minutes before the show and stayed mostly away until the finish. Just badass. I'm thankful my family let me drag them a lot farther away that originally planned in order to find someplace clearer. Game balls go to the DFW NWS page and their cloud cover predictor app, and the restaurants, coffee shops, and taprooms of Llano that seemed well prepared for the influx of people. The red color comes from a single wavelength of light from the emission of hydrogen atoms, called H-alpha, at 656 nanometers. The sun's outer atmosphere shows this luminescent light emission due to the input of magnetic energy, rather than the incandescent light emission seen on the much denser surface.
  15. Ahh, whoops. I blame the cocktail I'm taking fighting the flu.
  16. If that's a real screen grab above, then it seems like you have experience in freely posting your number onto the WWW.
  17. A new meme is needed. It's too bad Corvettes are only two-seaters.
  18. Most of them would vote for it under normal circumstances. It's on-brand and understandable that House progressives don't want to ram a bill through in this manner that gives funding to Israel. (Mea culpa if the discharge petition isn't the Ukraine/Israel/Palestine/Taiwan conglomerate foreign aid package that was part of the dead border bill.)
  19. The comment upthread regarding the Uyghurs is pertinent. Is TikTok filtering searches and restricting content covering issues sensitive to the Chinese? History suggests that it probably is, which is admittedly problematic. Is there any evidence TikTok has been slanting content toward one political party or promoting content about election fraud or otherwise attempting to disenfranchise voters? That's an immensely bigger problem but also much more of a stretch. China has largely been agnostic towards US partisanship. If this becomes law, it will be really unpopular among young people, a key Democratic coalition. No wonder the Republican-led House passed it so easily. I think the Senate needs to think long and hard about this bill, as they should, and Biden needs to come to his senses. He needs to hear from Dems at the state and local level who use it effectively to reach younger voters. And if the other option is letting Musk or Mnuchin get their hands on it, hell-to-the fuckin' no! Given the choice between TikTok being ran by the Chinese or by MAGA, I'll take the Chinese anytime every time.
  20. The hearing was a dud, apparently, just like they all have been. I say let Trump-world get involved as often as they wish. Stakes are scary high, but these dipshits can't get out of their own way.
  21. There is no universe where Garvey would have placed any worse than second.
  22. My restaurant eavesdropping just a few days ago revealed a man who thought it would be great for Trump to pick Tim Scott as his VP in order to lock up the black vote. Because it's that easy.
  23. Bolded is absolutely true. There are Republican reps that need to be shown the door and a D sweep on the Senate ticket in November would have made that easier. But the idea of outside influence propping up Garvey at the expense of Porter is some next level Leftist dooming bullshit. Let's not pretend there aren't actually Republican voters in California. I think there are more who live there than in Texas. In any case, Schiff and Garvey both doubled up Porter's margin. There's no way she could have closed that gap, dark money or not. The real problem was Lee running and crowding the progressive lane. She probably would have gotten my vote if I still lived in CA. East Bay represent!
  24. Democrats in coherence: why that's bad for Biden. - NYT, probably
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