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berlinerbaer

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Everything posted by berlinerbaer

  1. I'm considering voting in an R primary for the first time ever, just to stick it to Cheeto, Rafael, etc, but I'm not willing to go down that path if I'll get my mailbox filled with batshit GOP flyer trash. What has been peoples' experience?
  2. The father of a special needs child showing up at a Nazi rally, AND bringing the kid? That can't be real.
  3. We can debate the accuracy of the D-R head-to-heads, like Trump +7 over Biden. That result is obviously subject to the perceived partisan lean of the sample set versus the actual partisan lean, which is of course unknown. The comparisons within party, OTOH, such as between Biden and Allred, are likely to be more accurate because the partisan lean of the sample set doesn't really matter as much. IIRC, the last poll had Allred running ahead of Biden by a similar margin. A national environment like that in 2020, when Trump beat Biden by 5.5 in Texas, could see Allred beat Cruz.
  4. I read lots of screaming on here about the Left, and I get it. The Left is VERY online and punches way way above its weight in communication capability. You'd think they would be the bloc to make or break the Democrats. Here's the thing: politically they are irrelevant, as the following evidence will support. Certainly not enough to warrant the hand wringing on this board. There just aren't that many of them, at least those who vote. Biden has been crushing the primaries up until now. If the Left was such a large presence, surely they could drag themselves to the polls and vote for Marianne Williamson at a greater clip than the 2% she has been getting? Nicely matches the 2% Tulsi Gabbard was drawing back in 2020. Now, Bernie had a good showing in the primaries in 2020 as a Leftist, but he at least has some responsibility and mainstream cred after being in the Senate like 20 years. He heads the Senate Finance Committee, FFS. That takes the edge off. Next comes the Border Bill, which - let's be honest - was a fucking awful conservative's wet dream of a bill. It had the potential to be a total wedge issue for the entire left-of-center crowd. But most Democrats would have happily voted for it and Biden was going to sign it. Why? Because they know damn well that the number of independents/moderates they could have courted vastly outnumbered the amount of Leftists they would have pissed off. It was a total poison pill but worth it electorally, because the Left is loud but otherwise inconsequential. Now it's the Republicans, in their extreme idiocy, who decided to not only torpedo their own Democrat subversion efforts, but to OWN it. Fucking clowns. There are Republican strategists tearing their hair out right now. AOC is basically a team player at this point. Ditto Bernie and Warren. Sadly, they have both stopped talking about single payer healthcare, but there is a simple explanation.
  5. Lol Biden has had a reputation of making gaffes for decades. From 2008:
  6. I'm shocked it made it to the floor. All of Republican leadership is functionally retarded. So with Scalise back it goes to 215-216. Still a loss. Maybe it'll take another 14 tries.
  7. We shouldn't be turning away anyone from the middle class, regardless of their country of origin. They are educated and have the skills we need. Most Chinese and Venezuelans are in this boat (sorry...)
  8. She's dead too
  9. They will return fire. Are you comfortable with American casualties?
  10. Fuck Tucker, but he's right in that we don't want a war with Iran. I have no qualms about him calling out known warmongers. The proxies are fair game, if likely a futile exercise of whack-a-mole.
  11. "They" are a minority and still only get one vote, no matter how much they love him.
  12. All of you centrists and former Republicans seem to forget that turning out the base is priority #1 for any winning campaign. For environmentalism causes, this is up there with canning the Keystone XL. This matters even more to the millions of young people that have aged into voting since 2016 and 2020. Many of them are terrified of climate change and inaction from elected officials, real or perceived. At minimum, this will help Biden score some much needed points with this group after his approval of the oil expansion up in Alaska and the Gaza war. Getting voters from this cohort will outweigh any losses from other demographics.
  13. Raising revenue is a great idea.
  14. Maybe he's worse everywhere else than at Cal, a historical first.
  15. Aranda saw how a good offense turned down the temperature of Wilcox's seat and is looking for the same. Spav turned Cal's offense around this season once he settled on a QB.
  16. Minor point, but getting an IV drip is the norm for most hospital visits over there. It's like something patients expect and not a sign of anything out of the ordinary.
  17. Nice. Cal has scoreboard over Lil' Bro for the rest of eternity!
  18. When a battery is charged or discharged, ions such as Li+ need to flow through the battery from one electrode to the other to counterbalance each electron that flows through the circuit. This is a significant amount of mass transfer that needs to be fully reversible, which is a huge ask. Basically during use, one electrode is corroding away and new material is depositing at the other end. In order for this to be reversible, the ions have to be dislodged from their new location and find their way back to where they were before. Each atom takes up space, and the materials need to accommodate atoms moving in and out repeatedly. An ideal electrode works like a sponge soaking up ions during one direction of operation and releasing them in the other. That is a huge ask. Each electrode has a preferred state, either with or w/o ions, and will be less stable in the other state. During the less stable phase, the material will be prone to irreversible changes that reduce the overall capacity to accept ions. Maybe the material will change its bonding and lose its flexibility to accommodate the volume changes of ions moving in and out. Other times, it will find something else to react with. Most often, the metal oxide cathode is the weak point and responsible for the lifetime of most rechargeable batteries.
  19. Whatever. When presented the opportunity to enshrine a piece of progressive legislation into the fucking constitution, you take advantage without hesitation. Well done, Ohio.
  20. The Republican strategy for abortion is that they still have no strategy. There were talks from the VA state party about uniting behind a 16 week ban as a compromise, but there were some R pols in competitive races who were ducking the issue entirely. And then there's this dipshit. If the Rs have a good night, it's not because they have suddenly become coherent.
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