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ShaggyBevo RIP

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Everything posted by ShaggyBevo RIP

  1. Another story that didn’t make it on here is the Estonian source “Karl” said 41K RU KIA number is floating around in RU military circles.
  2. Starting to look like RU got suckered into Azov Steel 2.0, in Severodonetsk, to run clock until UKR can go on the offensive.
  3. They call them them technicals.
  4. Read the Russians being moved in are the soldiers families. It’s a force you to fight to your death for your family’s protection move.
  5. I used to live in 2303 Rio Grande. Hits close to a former home.
  6. I’ll go with a raccoon climbing the fence while a cow was walking by since it looks like two different animals stacked and in different focal fields.
  7. Lukashenko will make a play for it. He was heir apparent when Putin outmaneuvered him.
  8. Orderly transition after a dictator is extremely rare.
  9. Whoever ends up in powers has to purge everyone in Putin’s circle.
  10. Navalny’s sudden disappearance is what gives the most credence to the rumor.
  11. Great opportunity to purge everyone associated with Putin by showing the people everything they’ve been told about the special operation is a complete lie.
  12. Need to find the article about how 19th century wars lead to the coal overtaking wood and the rise of the steam engine came from war not the industrial revolution, WWI lead the change from coal to oil and internal combustion engines over steam engines, WWII gave us nuclear power, and the article then predicted Putin’s war on Ukraine would be the big change agent for renewable energy so that nations can be independent of fossil fuel exporters. It was written before EU banning, last week or so, the sales of ICE vehicles starting in 2035. EU combined is a bigger economy than the US, making it as an aggregate second to China, and China is already going big into renewables as they have to import a lot of the fossil fuel they use.
  13. Which gets back to the theory that the complete collapse of RUF will happen before anyone tells Putin it could happen as no one wants to take a 5 story fall out of a basement window.
  14. Week isn’t anywhere near long enough but I like the strategy of going into Crimea instead of up the Azov coastline to cut off Crimea supply lines reducing RU to only one way to resupply. That would also pretty much force pulling most troops out of Donbas to protect Crimea. Lose control of the Kerch Straight and taking Mariupol was all for not. If land resupply to Sevastopol is severed can Putin’s regime survive?
  15. It is estimated that would require 2 million occupying troops for about 20 years.
  16. He’s stated multiple times over the past weeks that he is in Canada. Trolls trying to shutdown his feed.
  17. It would have been even better if UKR said it was time to retake what was theirs.
  18. I believe the troops that surrendered were well documented by the Red Cross. What RU is saying about the prisoners, for domestic consumption, and what they will actually did are likely different.
  19. This up until RU screwed themselves by obviously screwing with UKR grain and making it clear RU intends to control food supply to North Africa and the Middle East to control those areas. Europe is still dealing with aftermath of mass emigration, due to famine, from those areas. RU and UKR combined is about 25% of world’s grain supply. The grain as a weapon play was when the anti-ship missiles and HIMARs flood gates opened to UKR. There was no longer a let RU bog down for 20 years a la in Afghanistan option after that.
  20. Accuracy is more like +/- 3 yards.
  21. It is about denying RU the last city east of the Siverskyi Donets in Luhansk Oblast that Russia doesn’t hold so RU can’t declare Luhansk a breakaway state. Holding RU forces there and destroying them with artillery from the high ground across the river is a long term plus.
  22. Story is shaping up as UAF retreated in their regular pattern but the foreign volunteer SOF, with urban combat experience, stayed and laid an ambush/trap.
  23. It isn’t aimed at the west, it is aimed at making the people of Donbas believe UKR is attacking them.
  24. Reports that RU is starting to shell RU held cities in the Donbas to blame UAF.
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