This is exactly correct. Also, everyone posting polls needs to realize its fucking July. Not saying Biden is who I prefer as president but let's see what the next 4 months bring when Trump starts talking again and more of what the Republican party wants to do if Trump wins starts getting more news coverage. Many independents may vote for a decrepit Biden in November if the Dems start running ads with kids in cages, being taken from their parents and just say, "if you want this evil shit again then vote for Trump". Start running ads that state if you are a woman and vote for Trump you will end up with a world just like the Handmaids Tale". Trump continuing to do stupid, crazy shit and the Dems running some scary ads in swing states could easily change the polling. Are the Dems smart enough to run this playbook? That I am not sure, and I have full confidence they will fuck it up.
The other choice is Biden should just offer anyone that votes for him in MI, PA, WI, AZ, NV and Georgia $10K cash if he wins. He does have immunity from any consequences from doing that, right? May as well flat-out bribe people for their votes and get the win.