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hpslugga

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Posts posted by hpslugga

  1. 4 minutes ago, Gap03 said:

    The Senate piece is crazy important.  Looking at the current state of the Perdue/Ossoff race, Ossoff is currently at 50.03%.  It doesn't take much to push that to a special election, given Perdue has to stay above 50%.  E.g., if there were another 25,000 votes that came in split 60% to Ossoff / 40% to Perdue, that would push Perdue down to 49.98%, and we'd end up with both Georgia seats going to special election. I'm not sure the Ds would be able to win both, but with Trump off the ballot, I like their chances.

    You'd be talking about two voter bases in vastly different states of motivation:

    You've got the dejected R's who are still wallowing in self pity about how their twat, fair-haired Benito Tangerini just lost what they thought was a solid red state and you're asking them to take the trouble to vote in a pandemic again.

    Then you've got the super jacked D's who are stoked that Biden won their state and are being told "you can also tilt the balance of the Senate as well."

    Besides, does anyone seriously believe that if (when) Trump loses that he's actually going to take time out of his painfully busy playing-golf-at-Mar-a-Lago schedule to campaign for those republican candidates? 

    • Hook 'Em 2
  2. 52 minutes ago, Neonmoon said:

    yeah, most people think Biden wins PA easily by 100K or more. Game over. The rest of the states don't matter. 

    Well, I think Georgia matters, not for the electoral count (should Biden win PA), but for the generation of momentum that would carry into the runoffs in those two Senate races. They would absolutely relish the opportunity to campaign like fucking crazy to get that 50-50 split.

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    • Like 1
  3. 7 minutes ago, Nice Guy Eddie said:

    Watched a protester being interviewed on CNN. She was convinced that Obama was behind all of this to turn America communist.

    Wouldn’t Obama have done that while he was president? I wish one of these reporters would ask these people to define communism. And they can’t use the words communism, soviet or China within the definition.

    Oh for fuck’s sake, if they meant Chinese/Soviet “communism,” I would have asked “why the fuck did Obama even open the fucking White House doors to Trump on 1/20/2017?”

    People like that are to politics as Vince Russo was to booking professional wrestling: not only don’t they know, they don’t wanna know.

    • Like 1
  4. 3 minutes ago, SydneyCarton said:

    Google says 98% reporting done in GA. Is that precincts or votes? If votes, I’m not sure why there is such confidence in GA flipping blue. And have to think that’s a guaranteed recount. 
     

    PA seems doable if the 11% outstanding is in Philly and blue areas. 

    Again the mathematic projections suggest Biden will carry a 20k vote lead. Like Walker said of Wisconsin, a recount isn’t going to change an outcome like that. A recount could have changed Florida in 2000 because it was like less than 600 initially, but 20k? Trump is certainly entitled to a recount, but that hardly means he’d win. 

  5. 5 minutes ago, Thiefery said:

    That would be useless, they are parrots that repeat whatever Trump or his camp says.  No matter how outrageous his claims are, his base eats it up and continue to "own the libs".

    Well like I said, that’s how you’d know he’s dishonest. It’s not just that they’re parrots; they are dishonest, and that was my larger point. We shouldn’t shy away from labeling them as such because they fit the description to a T.

    Dishonesty is when you assert baseless speculation (i.e. that which is either evidently not true or not evidently true) as if it were a matter of fact. That’s their craft. That’s what they trade on. We shouldn’t waste time calling them stupid, we should be forthright in calling them out for their dishonesty.

    • Like 1
  6. 18 minutes ago, PenelopeWitherspoon said:

    The NYTIMES has an article about the protests.  This quote by a Trump supporter in AZ made me laugh.

    “The only way Biden can win Arizona is through fraud,” said Jim Williams, 67, a welder who attended the protest. “I won’t accept a Biden victory. I don’t want to live under Communist rule.”

    Talk about common clay of the new West.

    What I would have said to Mr. Williams is

    ”Here’s a piece of paper, here’s a desk, here’s a chair, here’s a pen:

    Please sit. Need a drink? A snack? Ok, good.

    Now please, write down the definition of communism. We will call that paragraph 1

    Now please, write down the policies proposed by Joseph Biden. We will call that paragraph 2.

    Now please, write down why those policies fit within the definition of communism. We will call that paragraph 3.

    If you incorrectly define communism in paragraph 1, I tear up your paper and you fail.

    If you incorrectly articulate Biden’s policy proposals in paragraph 2, I tear up your paper and you fail.

    If you incorrectly connect Biden’s policies to communism in paragraph 3, I tear up your paper and you fail.

    If I read your entire paper and don’t tear it up, I will call you an intellectual.

    Do we have a deal?”

    My guess is he wouldn’t take me up on that, and that’s how you’d know he’s dishonest.

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  7. 19 minutes ago, BurntOrange&White said:

    any math guys?

    Edit: yes that’s correct based on the current mathematic trajectory. Biden is going to win Georgia unless something really big happens there. 
     

    i haven’t seen the math for PA but it doesn’t look good if you’re one of those red hat wearing idiots. My guess is that Biden is going to win every state sans North Carolina.

  8. 1 hour ago, Nice Guy Eddie said:

    Ossoff only needs like a net 20K more votes than Perdue to force a run-off. Along with the other GA run-off, it could decide the Senate majority...

    That would be absolutely insane. As if 2020 couldn't get any more chaotic...it has to bring its fucking shit to 2021

  9. Just now, mdmost said:

    I'm worried Nevada will be the monkey wrench. What votes are left to be counted?

    Again, big city (Vegas).

    There really aren't any broad swaths that Trump can bank on. It's all mail-in shit originating from big cities, regardless to what state you're referring. Vegas isn't helping, Phoenix isn't helping, Detroit isn't helping, Philly and Pitt aren't helping, Milwaukee and Green Bay aren't helping. He's pretty much screwed as long as the votes are counted.

  10. 1 minute ago, DigglerontheHoof said:

    Not back to proud, by a long shot.  Had it been a blue wave/electoral landslide, my pride in being an American would be strengthening.  As it is, I'm still embarrassed.  45% of our country saw trump and his complete failures over the last 4 years and still thought he was the best choice.

    We are racist, stupid and ignorant.   Not a lot to be proud of, imo. 

    Add "tribalistic/sports minded."

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  11. 1 minute ago, Hagbard Celine said:

    never underestimate the stupidity of the american people.   americans have been programmed by a public education system deliberately designed to produce drones disguised as humans.  social media is the replacement for advanced (college) education for (apparently) 48% of the country.

    i thought the number was 37%.  yesterday proves it is almost half.

    And now you know (if you didn't already) why Rick Santorum called Obama a "snob" for wanting more kids to go to actual college: keep the rubes willfully ignorant because that inevitably leads to votes for the Captain Insanos of the world.

  12. 2 minutes ago, CooterBrown said:

    You're welcome to avoid hypocrisy and forgo your use of any socialist benefits like schools, emergency responders, roads, parks, FDIC insured bank accounts, military, social security, veteran hospitals and benefits, medicare/aid, public universities, libraries, etc.

     

    Really, about 90% of the posters here shouldn't use that word because their conception of its definition is as strong as their conception of the definition of the word mytacism.

    • Hook 'Em 2
  13. Just now, aggie08 said:

    For sure. He didn't really want the job. But he's a narcissist who probably likes winning, rubbing it in people's faces, and being the most talked about person on the planet more than he hates all the work that comes along with being President.

    Well if what you said is correct, you're still expecting an awful lot of attention span and long term memory achievements by the MAGAts

  14. Just now, aggie08 said:

    I obviously hope that you're right, but he didn't really need party support the first time around. It's not like he's going to disappear from our televisions if he does, in fact, lose. He'll get almost as much attention as the ex-President, and 4 years is a long time for his supporters to stroke his ego.

    And he might enjoy life outside the WH more than in it. Wasn't it pretty well understood by most that he wasn't expecting to actually win in 2016 and was just using it as a vehicle for book deals, shows, etc?

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