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Hurtlocker

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Everything posted by Hurtlocker

  1. Wow, that would shock the hell out of me, especially considering the Sooner's stance on OkSt. So would the B1G grab the Cyclones and Jayhawks, the ACC grab WVU, and the Pac grabs the rest?
  2. Agreed, imagine if the MAC and company dropped down into FCS, increasing the talent in that level over all, then played in the Spring? They could actually get TV revenue that blows MACtion out of the water.
  3. Yeah Alabama is a juggernaut right now and that, um, tide is raising all boats. Outside LSU's Burrow title, the rest haven't faired so well in the post season. Arkansas is kind of fucked either way at the moment. While they could stop getting piss-pounded by Alabama and LSU every year, its not like they're automatically going to beat anyone in the B12 besides Kansas every year either. To a certain extent that holds true for Nebraska, but their chance to win their division seems much higher in the West than running the Big 12.
  4. Yeah in the "adapt or die" world, some unexpected results will come from who can leverage it or not. Hard to put a finger on where that unexpected will be at the moment.
  5. Yeah this is going to be interesting. There is a battle per school between investment in a sport (and MBB to a lesser degree and its also much cheaper) that provides a giant PR opportunity for the school at large, which increases applications/attendance/etc far outside the investment, but kind of only if successful - e.g. the Flutie Factor. Spending it and not having success is a major drain on finances. I don't see any schools in the Big12/Big Ten/SEC even considering such a move and only a handful of possibilities between the ACC/Pac12 (Wake/BC/WSU/OrgSt - that's all I can think of). When getting into the AAC and lower though, their could be a mass exodus from FBS to FCS. What I'm really curious about is how it will affect the P5 over the next 5 years or so. Clearly bag men are now legal, so that's not really an advantage, it already occurred. But just how many players at each school and/or sport will be able to capitalize on it. Instead of consolidating power to a few, will it even the odds more if being the BMOC in a non-Blue Blood pays out the same or more with less competition than the blue bloods? Will that help the second and third tier schools gain better talent as 4*s looking to get more exposure choose open opportunities over piling onto crowded talent classes? The next big jump in institutional investment may not be TVs in lockers, it may be who can help you maximize athlete's NIL business acumen from day one of stepping on campus
  6. Fun fact, Cinci has more wins in the 2000s than Nebraska or Arkansas. That downward skid they've been on has been rough.
  7. Sorry man, I meant Nebraska, not Ohio.
  8. holy crap I didn't hear this. what a delightful way to end the night
  9. He may have been the last good coach they had too
  10. Which is saying something since they are 14-63 in conference since Bielema took over.
  11. Should make the Trice throwbacks the regular
  12. SEC model only works when you have a major sports network running inteference for you...they've even managed to downplay aggy's historical success rate as if they've always been a contender. It also requires you to win the big games when you get there. Doesn't matter if you played 8 scrubs or no scrubs at that point, win the game an everyone forgets the rest.
  13. I'd buy that
  14. As much as I think USC and Texas could go Indy with ND, I'm just not sure what the full on benefit is and ND isn't technically independent. They've had all sports but football in at least two conferences now and going to join their old Big East brethren in the expanded ACC cost them 5 football games. The ACC, mind you, that had had a lack of compliance over issues at UNC, Louisville, FSU, and Miami. So completely with you on if you're going to do something different go east over west and/or go indy (which is the only move that saves the LHN), but I still don't think the benefit exists to do that like it once did. 20 years ago NDs TV deal had them as the only school consistently on TV, now every school in the P5 is. Additionally, in that new environment, Texas makes the same or more for their broadcasts than all the big schools in any conference. You also had a much harder path to the championship game, now the top two teams in Big 12 basically get a shot. Championships matter far more than the regular season. If money isn't really improving, and the old glossier profile of being independent isn't as sparkly, and the opportunities to play for championships became more abundant, what is the reason to move? To just play a different set of train wrecks, only further away?
  15. And have to send all sports teams a bunch more miles to get to. Half the Big 12 is within 500 miles of Austin. The closest ACC team is just under 900 and the furthest is nearly 2,000. Also it doesn't matter any more. Get in the top 12 and you play all the brands, every year. @Valmy77 has it right, there is zero benefit to expand at the moment, unless some unreal change occurs where a major player, like USC, wants to dance with you.
  16. So, after looking at all of those releases, is black and white the new red and yellow?
  17. How failure and chaos have defined Nebraska athletics for nearly 30 years TLDR: Can't recruit like the 90s.
  18. Hahaha, debates about Ames over Starkville aside, the pitch to Piggy is basically, "do you think you can win more games, do ya punk?" From 2010-2020: ARKANSAS Conference record: 25-55 Overall record: 58-67 Bowl record: 3-2 Coaches: Bobby Petrino 2010-2011, John L. Smith 2012, Bret Bielema 2013-2017, Chad Morris 2018-2019, Barry Lunney Jr. (two-game interim) 2019 That's with an 8 game conference schedule. The only team with less conference wins in the SEC over that span was Vandy, who lost three more. Newcomers Missouri and Aggy won more and didn't even play the entire decade. They're so irrelevant now we're not even talking about them on their own topic. Close with that.
  19. They are not even in the same league as those two. They had a good run of football, until about 2 decades ago, but by every other measurement of a university they are the same or behind even the major schools within about 300 miles of them.
  20. Yeah two reasons why its more (outside inflation which will drive up the value on its own if we're looking out a decade). The first is big money games not in the Playoffs are included now. The Rose and Sugar pay out $80m a year to the top team from each of four conferences who are not in the playoffs. The Orange pays out a bit less because its one conference and the next tier down. Combined that's something like $230-250m a year to host good teams that don't have anything to play for, but that game, that will now be included in the 12 team. Now that its for something, that number with likely double. 6-8m people watch NY6 games, 15-18m watch semis. Then the more chance you have to keep the top teams alive, in football, drives eyeballs. Top teams blowing out teams do not rate well. Top teams grinding out wins against other top teams with something on the line do, by a massive amount. A #1/#16 team isn't worth much up front, even if that rare time a 16 wins and gets good ratings, because you can bank on more blowouts than upsets. Like insurance, they actuary out those numbers to value the options then lump it all together over the course of a contract. If they think the upset will happen 5-10% of the time and its an 8 year contract, it likely won't make much of an impact. But a 5/12 one weekend and a 4/5 the next, protects the big number, meaning, even if the 12 wins, there is buzz leading into week with either two with high ranked teams, who tend to have bigger brands, or a story of an underdog taking on big #2 for a chance to run the table. They could probably payout more if they let teams decide if they get to play in a bowl if they lose in the first round, but currently it looks like all the teams in the top 12 are win or go home for the year. Either way, those last four spots in a 16 are worth considerably less than ensuring 1-4 are alive the second weekend.
  21. The Big Ten likely had him fired for being bitchy
  22. Because he's a ray of sunshine in an otherwise dismal world.
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