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Old Freak Nasty
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Everything posted by Old Freak Nasty
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Trump cannot win PA by vote. He has a silver of a shot via SC. Trump could win GA. That's basically a 50/50 toss up. Trump could win AZ and NV but those are unlikely scenarios. He needs them all.
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Clayton County is south Atlanta. It's heavily Black. If they have mail votes, it's probably almost all Biden. Hope it's true.
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The networks must be waiting for Biden to actually get the lead to project the PA win because based on how they typicall announce other states they would have already done so.
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You can take an hour nap safely I believe. I think I'm going to do that.
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If he doesn't win Georgia it's still going to be under a point. I think that's a good sign GA is changing. A lot of that tightening is going to stay sticky after Trump. They are a whole lot closer to blue than Texas is.
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It's all in the family
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https://www.nytimes.com/2020/09/27/business/media/trump-election-fox-news.html
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Is this like 4th and 5 from the 8 yard line and VY with 192 rush yards?
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https://ballotpedia.org/Nebraska_Amendment_1,_Remove_Slavery_as_Punishment_for_Crime_from_Constitution_Amendment_(2020) Not fake and not impactful by law, but certainly racist. 32% of Nebraskan with racist tendencies seems low.
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Anyone else totally worn out? 3 hours of sleep last night, following this fucking election, yesterdays drinking, work (in name only, I'm not actually doing any). I'm thinking the only fix is to start drinking now?
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I think this is a good assessment. I'm in Fort Bend and I'm quite surprised that we weren't better for Biden. My neighborhood, and many around here, has a significant faction of diverse and wealthy O&Gers, who other than than would align mostly Dem and most certainly revile Trump's antics.
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That assumes Trumpistan comes out to vote en masse without their God on the ticket. 2018 gives us some clue that they won't.
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Have any Republican politicians publicly commented on vote count or the election yet? Curious to see if they are lining up behind Trump's assault on the mail in vote.
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Yes, because it will give him better margins to take to the courts.
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He didn't project much strength at first but he closed strong saying we will win Pennsylvania.
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That's good to see. Mishkin is not a Fox partisan hack. He's well reputed.
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How is Biden going to make up 300k votes in Atlanta? Realistically I don't see that.
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Yeah, what happened here??
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I wonder what Trump's going to do if NC isn't called tonight? I think if it is called for him that's when he's going to come out of his bunker saying stop the counts.
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I think there is a lot of truth to this (especially the educational erosion which in turn limits personal mobility within the country), but the electoral college system exacerbates the perception of this divide. Give this moron 4 more years and he will work like hell to bring perception closer to reality.
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Montana looks important now.
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Heavily skewed early vote in
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As far as the polls go, people are actively, intentionally lying to pollsters to distort results. I think the profession of polling is yet another Trump cancer victim. This is not a case of having to develop better models to address blind spots. They have zero value anymore.
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Are the current Wisconsin counts rurals and ED? Biden behind a bit.
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Accounting for the courts, Trump's got to be an odds-on favorite now. Did not think I'd be typing that tonight.
