MEL KIPER JR.
ACCURACY
Kiper has received sustained criticism for the low accuracy of his predictions. According to COLD HARD FOOTBALL FACTS, Kiper's accuracy for the first round of the 2005–2008 NFL drafts was 32 of 127 total picks (25.2%), which included players that had already signed or were in the process of signing with a team before the draft.[12][13]
According to THE HUDDLE REPORT in 2014, based on Kiper's final mock drafts, he had accurately predicted 23% of the first round picks in the previous five years.[9] Kiper's initial drafts were even lower, correctly predicting 17 out of 256 from 2010–2018.[4] In 2021,
FANTASY PROS ranked Kiper's final mock draft 87th of 182 and
GRADING THE EXPERTS ranked his draft 32nd of 38.[14]
In 2023, Kiper correctly predicted only one of the 31 draftees in the first round despite updating his analysis on the morning of the NFL draft after gathering additional information.
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mel_Kiper_Jr.