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Fozzz

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Everything posted by Fozzz

  1. Blair Henley is apparently in Baseball America's top 30 ranking of Astros prospects. He destroyed at Tri-City last year and will be interesting to watch in QC. Don't know why he didn't have more success in Austin.
  2. One of my favorite pitchers from last season, Brett Conine, was rankted in the ZiPS top 100 prospects. So there's that. Cristian Javier is starting tomorrow so there's that, too. I don't see Javier as a SP prospect but he has a chance to help in the pen this season.
  3. If a team wants to obtain five extra wins they can cheat, pray that one materializes within their farm system, trade for them, they can acquire them through free agency. The latter two categories are the only two options that will be legitimately available for most teams, and each is dictated by the market value of the players involved. Even if you are obtaining players through trade that are under team control and thus are being paid far less than the value they create on the field, the price you will have to pay through trade will be dictated by their surplus value which is again tied to that same $/WAR figure. 70 grade position prospects produce around 12-13 WAR on average so they are valued at around $110M. If you want to trade for one then you need to find $100M+ surplus value of your own to make the deal work. https://blogs.fangraphs.com/an-update-to-prospect-valuation/
  4. The Astros tanked and thus acquired a lot of premium draft picks and were fortunate/smart enough to hit on many of them. They were also smart at development and in trades. This has nothing to do with the market value of the wins the Astros were able to steal through cheating. The Astros, too, sign free agents to acquire additional wins and pay market value for the players they sign.
  5. We're not talking about the actual revenue brought in by the team during that time, we're talking about how much those extra wins the Astros obtained through cheating are worth on the market. If the Astros were forced to pay the market rate for those additional 3-5 wins they got for free through cheating, then they would have had to pay an additional $30-50M.
  6. I was actually underselling it a bit - at around $10M per win, this was worth around $30-50M. https://blogs.fangraphs.com/which-players-might-have-benefited-from-the-astros-sign-stealing/
  7. It's a start. Needs to throw more first pitch strikes but 14% SwStr% after facing 18 batters is very impressive.
  8. I think it's tough to say whether the punishment was severe enough. The Astros probably accrued around $20-40M in extra wins from their cheating and were stripped of around $30-50M worth of draft picks. Given that you have to discount the value of the punishment by the probability of getting caught, is the punishment the Astros received really that much of a deterrent? Maybe you think Luhnow is so good that losing him makes the punishment especially severe, but that may not be the case for other teams.
  9. I really hate that I like a show that tries to make the fucking DEA look like the good guys but this shit is entertaining.
  10. Which would suggest that line of attack would be even less effective today with the cold war that much further in the past.
  11. Republicans convinced a majority of voters that Obama was a socialist and somehow that did not stop him from winning reelection.
  12. Even Bloomberg's surrogates are midgets. https://twitter.com/benshapiro/status/1229853726149492736
  13. I don't think it's because they're too busy, I think it's because to attend a Bloomberg rally you'd have to be around a lot of Bloomberg supporters, and no one wants that.
  14. Nina would be good and Bernie owes her, too.
  15. I could see Baldwin as VP. Abrams is garbage and will never get a look for anything in his administration. Warren could have been his VP but, true to her spectacularly abysmal political instincts, she has decided to self-immolate instead.
  16. You should care because the media and the democratic party establishment wants you to care because they don't want Sanders to win and this is the best thing they can come up with to smear him. That's all there is to it. It has nothing to do with what's important to voters or even with what's actually true.
  17. There is no evidence that Bernie's supporters are any worse on the whole than the supporters of the other candidates. Until such evidence is presented, there is no reason why he, and only he, should be called out repeatedly by these fucking idiot pundits to apologize for the behavior of his supporters. Indeed, the only research on this topic that has been published indicated that the idea that Bernie's supporters are particularly problematic is a lie.
  18. Does anyone know why Quintanilla was not given a chance to start this season? Is he just not capable of maintaining his stuff/command for 80-100 pitches in a single outing?
  19. I wouldn't project Stevens to give up fewer hits this season than Cole based on what they did last season. What is more meaningful in evaluating how each pitcher will perform this season is that Cole got far more Ks while walking fewer batters than Stevens last year. The only other relievers on the staff with Cole's ability to miss bats struggle terribly to find the zone.
  20. The Astros were better in 2019 when they were not cheating than in 2017 when they were cheating. Does this mean that the 2017 Astros would have been even better had they not cheated? Does this mean the 2018 Astros would have won 110 games had they not cheated?
  21. Why even discuss that nonsense in this thread? Who gives a shit? The Astros didn't cheat in 2019.
  22. Why would Quintanilla not be your highest leverage reliever?
  23. Weird watching college ball where the ball is put in play almost every PA. Like a totally different game.
  24. To be quite frank, I did not follow the team much last season. But thank you, Pato.
  25. Going to the game this afternoon. Never heard of this Coy Cobb feller and his stats from last year are not very appetizing, particularly his work in the Cape. Anyone know anything about this guy and what he throws?
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