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Longhornmaniac8

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Everything posted by Longhornmaniac8

  1. Longhornmaniac8
    You have the mental capacity of a pinecone. Jesus Christ.
  2. Longhornmaniac8
    If the Green Party candidate had dropped out earlier, I guarantee you Sinema wins. That party needs to have a "come-to-Jesus" moment after this election. They've robbed their ideological equals in two elections now.
  3. Longhornmaniac8
    I think Tester pulls it out in Montana. He's down by 6K votes right now, but he's in good shape with his strong districts (Missoula and Gallatin Counties [Bozeman]) still with lots of votes to count. More than he needs.
  4. Longhornmaniac8
    I'm calling Arizona for McSally. The last dump of precincts came in heavier Sinema counties (namely, Pima, which is Tucson). The vote there is almost fully counted, and she didn't make much inroad in terms of the total vote deficit, which now sits at around 22K votes. Sinema still have a Pinal County problem (65% reporting, currently +17 to McSally). She's going to have to run WAY ahead in the remaining 18% in Maricopa County (Phoenix), which she's currently winning, but by only 3K votes with over 900K votes cast. I simply don't see it happening. This should be a hold for the Rs. Montana is still too close to call.
  5. Longhornmaniac8
    Do you even bicameral legislature, bro?
  6. Longhornmaniac8
    https://enrpages.sos.state.tx.us/public/nov06_331_race23.htm All precincts are reporting.
  7. Longhornmaniac8
    Yeah, WTF?! Allegedly 100% reporting.
  8. Longhornmaniac8
    Nevada stems the Red Tide. The Democrats desperately need to come back in MT and AZ. That would make the map look ok.
  9. Longhornmaniac8
    Clark County (Las Vegas) just hit. Rosen nets 75K seats, pushing her into a ~57K lead. That seems like it's going to be tough to overcome given the lack of population centers remaining.
  10. Longhornmaniac8
    Nevada votes have finally started coming in. http://www.silverstateelection.com/
  11. Longhornmaniac8
    Because there's no fucking news to report. Jesus. It's not that hard.
  12. Longhornmaniac8
    Mueller hasn't said anything because he's not a partisan hack. He knows he's not supposed to drop stuff around the election to avoid been seen as favoring one side over the other.
  13. Longhornmaniac8
    https://enrpages.sos.state.tx.us/public/nov06_331_race31.htm?x=0&y=42.66666793823242&id=886 It's been 49 of 49 in Bell for awhile. Don't think the E-Day votes are there for Hegar, but I bet she closes that gap by just a touch.
  14. Longhornmaniac8
    Ask me after AZ and NV. I'm relieved the House has broken about exactly the way it's supposed to. The Senate has been a disappointment, thus far. I never expected to win it, so in that sense tonight has gone about exactly the way I thought it would in terms of big picture results. If the Senate goes +6 to the Rs, it's a pretty bad night on that side.
  15. Longhornmaniac8
    CNN's results seem to be running way ahead. They've already given it to King, up by 3% with 95% reporting.
  16. Longhornmaniac8
    Indeed. Wilco has about 50% of its precincts outstanding. If it splits as it has, Hegar looks like she may pick up about 3,500 seats. Looks like Carter likely will win a close one.
  17. Longhornmaniac8
    Big dump in TX-31. Carter jumps ahead to an 8,500 vote lead.
  18. Longhornmaniac8
    Another dump of results in TX31. Hegar clinging to a 3400 vote lead. 73% reporting.
  19. Longhornmaniac8
    CNN is saying he's up by 17.5K with 71% reporting. I've seen multiple people say he's losing. Where is that coming from?
  20. Longhornmaniac8
    The House looks like it's in good shape for Democrats, but the Senate is honestly closing in on worst case scenario. Heitkamp was a given, but Donnelly, and Nelson is a really, really poor showing. McCaskill looks likely to lose, too, which is +4 to the Rs so far. The Ds will need to sweep some very, very close races in AZ and NV to keep the Senate within striking distance in 2020. The board is more favorable in 2020 for Ds, but there aren't more than a small handful of vulnerable seats. If this thing swings to 55-45 or 56-44, that's a resounding defeat in the upper house. Let's not forget that the Senate is still the one responsible for voting on SC justices.
  21. Longhornmaniac8
    I think Beto is running out of steam. I don't think the 16% reporting in Harris County is indicative of the outstanding vote. Vote totals look WAY too high to just be 1/6 of total vote in that county.
  22. Longhornmaniac8
    I think all their votes are already in.
  23. Longhornmaniac8
    Crazy that with 58% reporting, Beto is leading by a total of 79 votes, with 4.4 million votes cast.
  24. Longhornmaniac8
    I think Broward's percentage is erroneous. The same thing happened two years ago, if I recall. I don't think there's that many votes left there. I hope I'm wrong.
  25. Longhornmaniac8
    If the reporting percentages are correct, still 66% of the votes to be counted in Broward and a large amount in Miami-Dade and Hillsborough (Tampa). It's not great, but it's not dire straits yet.

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