RayDog

Not in this case. But of course you never spend a dime on any of the women you have ex with.

It is getting up to 35C in the Philippines now as we start the Philippine summer and it is spreading here.

There are 24 cases in the Philippines now all in the MetroManila area. There is talk of quarantining the whole city of 24 million. I am north of there, but I had a college girl visit me last weekend who lives south of Manila. I hope she didn't give me anything.

Peak oil demand was going to happen sometime this decade, but the Coronavirus means we may have already passed it.

There is no flirting. The US and Europe are going negative.

Of course

Some CCP officials are claiming the virus originated in the US instead of China as part of their disinformation campaign. They don't want to lose face by being responsible. At this point I fully support the use of terms like Chinese Coronavirus, Wu Flu, or Wuhan Virus, to combat their disinformation campaign.

He is a keto diet guy. He has a lot of great videos with a lot of good advice on diet and preventing ailments with good nutrition. But also some questionable or over the top advice. His downplaying the severity of the pandemic is obviously misguided. His recommendation for vitamin D is his best recommendation in the video. Linking Coronaviruses and glucose is purely speculative at this stage but it ties in with his schtick. I recommend his videos to anyone interested in the keto diet. He is one of the best in that field.

I did not watch it before since he took it down from his channel, now I know why he took it down.

You have to consider the epidemiology, not the number of confirmed cases. Back when Iran had a little over 100 cases but had spread it to 3 other countries, epidemiologists estimated there were 18,300 cases. A few days later it had spread to 12 countries from Iran indicating over 100,000 cases. In order to explain the spread now there must be over a million cases. An epidemiologist reported a couple days ago that half of Tehran's 12 million people will soon be infected. Countrywide Iran is likely reaching the saturation point for the first wave if infection. That is why there are reports of burials in mass graves. Italy has spread it to more than 20 countries more than a week ago indicating the number of infections now is likely around 1 million. They are probably 3 weeks away from reaching the saturation point for the first wave there. We did not get a believable body count from China or Iran, but hopefully we get the real numbers from Italy, so other countries can prepare.

The Philippines has been testing all pneumonia cases for over a month while contact tracing and testing everything. It bought them an extra 2 to 3 weeks. Unfortunately there is no way for them to prepare. The first American in the Philippines has it, but it is thought that he may have been infected in the US or Korea. He had his first symptoms on March 1, and is in a hospital. He is 86. They have not said where he is yet.

For days they have been reporting no new cases outside Hubei province. The only way that can happen is if they stopped testing or stopped reporting positive tests. Nothing the CCP says or allows to be published on the current status can be trusted.

China is lying, so there is no point in using their bad data to illustrate a "success" story.

Several days ago Peak Prosperity on YouTube reported on the various Chinese Coronavirus strains found so far and around 20 different ones have come to the US. That means there are more than 20 different sources of infection and more than 20 different clusters with at least 1 going back more than 6 weeks. We are certainly looking at more then 100,000 infected in the US based on that alone.

Is it bannable to hope the age demographics of politicians killed by the virus matches the general public? It would be interesting to lose 5 or 6 senators, 25 congressman and various other politicians to the Chinese Coronavirus.

Republicans should be happy at the pending drop in social security and Medicare expenses, although it may take a couple years to realize the later and long term effects of the Chinese coronavirus could wipe out the potential savings.

We do need to talk about millions given the overall mortality rate looks like it falls in the 0.1% to 1% range. Given 6.6% of the US population is 65 or older the death rate in that group will be 0.5% to 5%. Unfortunately China has lied consistently about reporting deaths in Wuhan or that would be the best way to estimate. Based on cremations NDT estimated there were nearly 13,000 deaths in Wuhan by February 12th, with about 1000 cremations a day more than normal. That was before the peak of deaths so the real total deaths in Wuhan may be in the 30,000 to 45,000 out of the 6 million in quarantine. The number actually infected in Wuhan is close to a million at a minimum but perhaps as high as 3 million. This gives a pretty wide range of possible results. Note that the new cases in Wuhan and Hubei are dropping because everyone who isn't isolated is already infected. If you really want to believe only 3000 dead out of 3 million infected as the best case that is still a 0.05% mortality rate in the first wave. Eventually we will all get it, so it is still 0.1% in the end. I think 1 to 2% total mortality rate over the next 2 years is very likely. It may be even higher in the US since there are more 65+ here than in China as a percentage.

Except the real number of infections is closer to 100,000 now. The real R0 when there is no containment is 4 to 7 with the real doubling rate at 2.5 to 4 days.

The average person does not understand how exponential functions work.

Economy over people.

It's called The Trump Depression.

The under 45 group is much more progressive than 45 and up. In 10 years though the under 55 group will be out voting everyone else by default. At that point the progressives will finally take over the Democratic party. By then, however, more conservative Democrats will forget about how bad Republicans are, with the help of corporate media, and vote Republicans into power. The corporate oligarchy will always control the narrative and con the public into voting for the best interests of the wealthy.

My date and I had our temperature checked at a bar last night in Angeles. It is one of the bigger bars but there were almost no customers.

I feel pretty certain there are already clusters in the major hubs.

The Philippines has a case of local transmission now. He is Muslim and had a stall at a popular mall and attended prayers regularly. So there is probably a big cluster in Manila.