RayDog

I watched an English language Chinese host led video on YouTube. In part of the story she said people were dropping off bodies at mortuaries in Wuhan faster than they can process them, citing an unofficial news report. (Bring out your dead.) They are working 24 hours a day to cremate the dead. In a city of 11 million they must routinely deal with 500-600 a day. To be that swamped, they may have an excess of 500-1000 a day plus or minus as a guess. She also said that hospitals only get about 10% of the test kits they need and they think it is intentional to keep the official infected count low. The real numbers could easily be 10x the official numbers. Based on the early R-0 = 2.6 and doubling every 6.4 days there should be over half million infected in China already and a million by this weekend. Then 10x every 3 weeks or so until quarantines become effective. 16-17% acquire pneumonia that requires hospitalization and 3-4% need intensive care based on studies published in journals. The potential numbers are impossible to deal with. I am happy Duteurte stopped travel from China. The numbers of Chinese tourists has dropped here. But I have seen some walking the street with their suitcase looking for a new hotel, so I think some are stranded here. They have stopped reported the number if people they are tracking here. My #1 girlfriend has a new cough. I will try to find the link when I finish dinner.

Assuming Iowa is no longer an early primary/caucus state in 2024 and the Democratic party could pick 4 early states, who would they pick? I would assume it should be swing states where the money is well spent, while having more ethnic diversity that is representative of that region of the country. It also can't be too big a state due to the costs. In the Southeast I would propose North Carolina or Georgia instead on South Carolina. Georgia may be too big. In the Southwest Arizona instead of Nevada. In the Midwest, Michigan or Wisconsin instead of Iowa. I am not sure about the Northeast as Pennsylvania is too large and half of it is more Midwestern. Maybe let New Hampshire keep their primary. What are your thoughts?

I have been thinking about this since I may need to quarantine sometime in the near future. There are 284 people under observation here and over 200 are awaiting test results. There are 36 in Central Luzon where I am and they are bringing Filipino Hubei evacuees to New Clark City to stay in the athletes village there under quarantine. I am expecting to hear about cases of local transmission in perhaps a week, but I hope I am wrong.

Sanders delivers the biggest turnout. Turnout wins elections. Hillary taught us what type of turnout to expect from a centrist or right wing democrat.

Yet if Romney ran as an independent in Utah he would would win and deny Trump those electoral votes.

It is also unprecedented that the actual voter turnout was less than the enthusiasm level from the year before for as long as CNN has been doing the poll. I think at least 140 million turnout which is still at least 18 million voters who did not vote in 2016. That is a lot of millennials, zoomers, and minorities. Anything in the 140 to 150 million range would not surprise me.

Most voters are already decided. There is a reason why a 2019 CNN poll had 74% of voters extremely or very enthusiastic. That compares to 58% in 2015. People want to vote for or against Trump. It was 80% for Republicans and 78% for Democrats, a virtual tie. Democrats do not need to do anything special to have huge turnout except to not screw it up by upsetting parts of their base. Historically more people have voted then were very enthusiastic or better in the poll. If 74% vote that will be 156 million or at least 34 million who did not vote in 2016. They will mostly come from non-voting groups, the young and minorities. Those are the people Democrats need to make sure they don't piss them off.

If Bloomberg really wanted to use his money to help the country he would buy Fox News and change the programming.

Bernie will win the popular vote, he could win the SDEs, but he will lose the delegate race. What a fucked up state.

A ranked choice primary would be a lot better than a caucus.

For what he did to the US I would like to see him burned at the stake. A metal stake and chain and a fire too small to kill him by smoke inhalation. But cancer will do.

Over 560 dead now. I am still wondering about the Korean who was infected in Thailand. There is good odds he was having sex there. Bar girls can spread disease at an incredible rate.

The Philippines had their third case, but it was another Chinese person infected in China, so still no local transmission has been documented. There is a flu virus going through Angeles, which I had, but my fever broke and the coughing subsided about 12 hours ago. So I will be out with the Chinese tourists, and everyone else tonight playing coronavirus roulette.

And everything with mass that takes up space is made of a material substance without mass that behaves like it is point-like.

I am talking about all of them. Unfortunately parasitic infections are so common here that I gave up the habit of sticking my tongue up their ass, but I would hate to give up the other. Unfortunately the dwarf, she has a normal body type, has gotten chubby (39 kilos) since I saw her last year. She never lost the weight she gained when she had her son two years ago. I have a cough now, but I think it is bacterial based on the sinus congestion so I am taking antibiotics and staying home.

What about the oral--pussy route? That's what I need to know.

I am curious how many people the Chinese couple infected in the Philippines as they traveled from Cebu, Dumaguette, and Manila. Most Filipinos spend any money they have within 24 hours, so keeping people from working is not going to work for more than a couple days. Most families eat from the same spoon and drink from the same glass, so it will spread to an entire family quickly. That said, they have amazing immune systems. There was a rumor that a patient had the virus at a local hospital and people stopped going. I took my gf there on Saturday and it had a third of the normal number of people there and her doctor did not show up. The medical facilities can't handle it and they can't handle the bodies. They are big on open casket funerals here, and not big on cremation. Things will be very different here if thousands of people get sick.

To keep patients from leaving without paying. At least that is how it works in the Philippines. Hospitals effectively hold the patient for ransom. That, and to keep theives out.

I am not panicking yet. I had a 4 foot tall 19 year old dwarf over for lunch. A good friend of mine here has had a flu like virus for about 10 days, and he is coughing now. I suggested he might take some antibiotics to prevent a bacterial infection on top of it since strep is making the rounds too. I will pick up a course or two of amoxicillin and azithromycin OTC just in case. My sore throat could be gonorrhea too, so maybe I will take some now just to get ahead of it, whatever it is.

My girlfriend has the flu and one of my short-time girlfriends has it too, and now I have a scratchy throat so I have been thinking about this. Angeles has around 100 bars with 20 to 200 girls and Manila is similar. The place is full of Chinese and Korean tourists, but also Americans, Canadians, Australians, New Zealanders, Indians, Bangladeshies, Arabs from various countries, Japanese, Malaysians, Brits, and from everywhere else in Europe. The girls can be packed onto a stage 10 to 50 at a time and often live together in big dorms. Maybe half of them have sex with a tourist on any given night. So, if it hits here, and it may already be here, then it is going everywhere. That is not to mention that some guys go back and forth to Thailand and Pattaya has at least 4 times the number of sex workers. If it hits Pattaya it definitely will go everywhere.

A virus that wipes out 5% of boomers would do wonders for the 2020 election.

I had dinner last night next to a table with a dozen Chinese tourists. I almost left but a friend was already there. Normally about 5% of the people on the street here wear masks but now it is more like 30%.

I think the best shot for Texas Democrats to redistrict the House seats anytime this decade is if PR is granted statehood and Texas loses a seat.

49-50 was the worse for me when I broke up with my girlfriend of 12 years and lost both parents. Then I retired, sold everything, and started traveling. Life could not get better. I have a 24 year old girlfriend but had a threesome a few days ago with 18 year old best friends. Last fall I figured out how to unify relativity and quantum field theory and how to replace quark theory in the same month. My next book is coming out in a couple months and I just started my YouTube channel. Had a fight with the gf so looking for someone new to fuck tonight, and that won't be difficult here.

There is a confirmed case in the Philippines, a Chinese woman. It's been nice knowing you assholes. Seriously, there are lots of Chinese tourists here and there are discussions about banning them. A cruise ship was turned away from Subic. The Chinese have threatened retaliatory action if they are banned.