RayDog

The high income countries have already surpassed peak 15-64 year old population. The UN predicts in it's most believable prediction that the US working age population will only grow by 10 million over the next 20 years, an average of 40,000 a month. At the same time Republicans are trying to kill immigration thus threatening Americas only path toward steady economic growth. The upper middle income countries which includes China passed peak 15-64 year old population. China did so in 2017 and reached peak employment in 2018 and are now experiencing decreased demand for goods. The only way to increase demand is to increase wages but that will ultimately cause inflation rather than real growth. The upper middle income countries including India are still growing but India hit 2.1 TFR in 2017 and is now sub replacement per the most trustworthy study. We cannot trust the lower middle and lower income economies to fuel the world's economy. I think the world is reaching peak gdp in inflation adjusted terms as real demand slows with 15-64 year old population loss. For at least the next century we will be dealing with contracting economies throughout the world. Right now the only high income countries that are well positioned to maintain slow economic growth with immigration are the US, Canada, Australia, New Zealand, UK, Germany, and France. Some will screw it up.

Obesity does not come from eating pork.

Bullshit. There are a lot more new millennial and Z voters ready to vote for Bernie or Warren than Trump voters willing to flip. The Boomer plus vote is dying off at 7% every 4 years and being replaced by Millennials and Z's. Catering to the middle is an approach doomed to failure. So, of course, that is what Republicans and Russian trolls want Democrats to do.

Using basic quantum field theory should help us better understand all quantum processes. At the engineering level that should help us improve a lot of electronics and computers. People can do that without me as it only requires recognizing that space is filled with quantum particle pairs as existing quantum field theory says. I am working separately on trying to understand how protons and electrons are produced without antimatter since that could lead to an unlimited source of energy. I was invited to speak at an energy conference next year about that. As for acceptance, my following is growing, but it will take time. In particular more people at universities are reading my papers on researchgate and academia.edu. I plan to launch my YouTube channel soon to try to help with that.

I hope they go as extreme as they possibly can based on 2022 demographics. Because, if they do, they will be screwed by 2030. The boomer and older percentage of eligible voters in Texas will drop from 30% to 15% during the 2020s. It will hit rural counties that are not already heavily Latino even harder.

ballotpedia has a good page on it. Redistricting_in_Texas The key part is; "If the state legislature is unable to approve a state legislative redistricting plan, a backup commission must draw the lines. This backup commission, established in 1948, comprises the following members: Lieutenant governor Speaker of the Texas House of Representatives Attorney general State comptroller Commissioner of the General Land Office" In other words, the fix is in.

I am comforted by the fact that every two years 3% of the Boomer and older voters are replaced by millennial and younger voters. So Republicans lose about 1% a year in the difference. In ten years the current version of the Republican party will be a memory.

It's a cool 22 degrees in Angeles City in the early morning. I get to turn off the aircon for a change and some girls are wearing jackets. The high will be 29. It will be like this for the next 2 months or so.

I saw a tyt video that cited a California poll where Bernie was at 24% and Warren was at 22% and Biden and Pete were down around 13 and 12% and below the threshold to receive delegates. It occurred to me that if the right wing Democrats don't get any California delegates except super delegates, it will put the progressive candidates in a great position.

Predictions are up to 70% turnout of eligible voters. If so Republicans are fucked. That will be much worse than 2018.

Some girls use me for my money but at $30 a pop I don't mind. How much does your wife or girlfriend cost per pop?

Yes. The only field is the quantum field, the only force is the electromagnetic force, and all unstable particles/resonances can be accounted for as electrons and/or protons in onium orbital states.

By poor Filipina standards I am rich.

I think the massive amount of Democratic campaigning has a lot to do with the recent shift. Well that and farmers bring hurt by Trump's policies.

I would put Iowa on the top line with Trump more than 10 points under in Iowa in approval rating and Ernst not much better.

There was a report that 40% of the 241 Republicans that served in the House from 2017 to 2019 are gone or resigned. That should be over 50% by January 2021. So fewer than 120. Note that the 241 number includes replacements during the session.

The problem with that idea is if the legislature does not pass the new districts the job goes to a backup commission full of Republicans. So unless Democrats in a hypothetical Democrat controlled House agree to the Republican's maps the Senate will turn it over to the commission.

I found it interesting that there are a large number of counties where the over 65 year olds are a relatively small percentage of the eligible voters. While some of these are already blue the others could turn blue if enough younger voters actually vote, at least in counties where the young aren't totally brainwashed too. Brazos 11.2%, Travis 12.3%, Coryell 13.0%, Denton 13.1%, Gaines 13.5%, Garza 13.5%, Loving 13.6%, Hays 13.8%, Webb 13.9%, Harris 13.9%, Ector 14.1%, Dallas 14.3%, Midland 14.5%, Collin 14.6%, Bell 14.7%, Fort Bend 14.7%, Tarrant 15.0%, Walker 15.0%, Andrews 15.2%, Bee 15.4%, Moore 15.5%, Reeves 15.5%, Waller 15.6%, Brazoria 15.7%, Chambers 15.8%, Frio 15.9%, Reagan 15.9%, Bexar 16.0%, Lubbock 16.0%, Williamson 16.1%, Ochiltree 16.1%, Hidalgo 16.2%, Howard 16.4%, Dallam 16.5%, El Paso 16.5%, Kaufman 16.5%, Potter 16.8%, Martin 16.8%, Maverick 16.9%, Starr 16.9%, Rockwall 17.0%, Crane 17.0%, La Salle 17.0%, Kleberg 17.1%, Ellis 17.3%, Liberty 17.3%, Yoakum 17.4%, Winkler 17.5%, Montgomery 17.5%, Pecos 17.5%, Erath 17.6%, Karnes 17.9%, There are also some counties with a lot of older folks 65+ where Republican support is dying off. Llano 42.1%, Sabine 37.9%, Motley 36.7%, Gillespie 36.6%, Menard 36.5%, Mason 36.2%, Jeff Davis 36.1%, Terrell 36.0%, Kimble 35.6%, Edwards 35.1%, Real 34.7%, Throckmorton 34.5%, Mills 34.5%, Kerr 34.0%, Foard 33.7%, Coke 33.7%, Wood 33.6%, Aransas 33.6%, Stonewall 33.5%, Kent 33.2%, Trinity 32.7%, Hamilton 32.0%, Cottle 31.9%, Bandera 31.8%, Concho 31.8%, San Augustine 31.7%, Baylor 31.6%, Briscoe 31.6%, Coleman 31.2%, Fayette 31.1%, Hood 31.1%, Marion 31.1%, Comanche 31.1%, Bosque 31.0%, Leon 31.0%, Presidio 30.9%, Hall 30.7%, Fisher 30.4%, Lavaca 30.3%, Red River 30.3%, Rains 30.3%, Donley 30.2%, Borden 30.0% Data from the Texas Association of Counties

Idoit, the engine of prosperity is science and engineering not culture and arts. I like arts but if everyone was an artist nothing would get done.

I hope he takes half of Biden's voters and neither of them break 15% in a primary.

The Democrats could run someone who is all in on the green new deal and 0.5% will still vote green party.

Given his mental decline and politics I don't see much difference between Biden and George W. Bush

They are right wing enough that it would not change their place in the political spectrum much.

Trump is even more disliked in the Midwest.

The majority of people who want to vote against Trump will vote against Trump regardless of who the Democrats chose. The corporate media's support of Biden is part of their con job and without the Corporate media pimping him he would already be in 3rd place.