RayDog

I looked at the counties in Texas with the most votes in 2018 and looked at the Democratic vote advantage and the Democratic voting percentage in the 2018 Senate and 2016 and 2012 Presidential races. The top 30 are below that account for 78.7% of the total vote and 88.5% of the Democratic vote. The top 10 accounted for 58.8% of the total vote and 71.2% of the Democratic vote. There were 8 million votes in 2012, 9 million in 2016 and 8.3 million in 2018. There is expected to be 10+ million in 2020. The 2 million plus 2020 voters that did not vote in 2018 will come almost entirely from these counties. In 2018 in the top 10 counties where at least 1.4 million of the new 2020 voters will come from, the percentage was 59.1% Democratic to 40.9% Republican. County Dem adv. 2018 2016 2012 HARRIS 201,298 57.98% 53.95% 49.39% DALLAS 240,269 66.14% 60.75% 57.11% TARRANT 4,308 49.93% 43.14% 41.43% BEXAR 109,346 59.49% 54.19% 51.56% TRAVIS 240,494 74.30% 65.77% 60.14% COLLIN -21,811 46.53% 38.91% 33.49% DENTON -24,095 45.52% 37.13% 33.35% FORT BEND 30,976 55.75% 51.39% 46.08% WILLIAMSON 5,993 50.84% 41.59% 37.90% EL PASO 100,539 74.40% 69.08% 65.51% MONTGOMERY -86,127 26.97% 22.40% 19.02% HIDALGO 57,911 68.81% 68.50% 70.40% GALVESTON -22,576 39.66% 35.52% 35.89% BRAZORIA -20,465 40.47% 35.65% 32.25% NUECES 1,436 50.38% 47.12% 47.63% LUBBOCK -26,712 35.02% 28.30% 28.81% BELL -9,020 44.37% 39.79% 41.19% HAYS 12,276 57.16% 46.04% 43.27% CAMERON 20,196 62.60% 64.51% 64.99% SMITH -30,578 29.95% 26.31% 26.95% MCLENNAN -17,403 38.00% 34.22% 34.47% JEFFERSON 397 50.01% 48.44% 50.40% BRAZOS -8,095 43.23% 34.40% 31.23% COMAL -27,249 27.37% 22.90% 22.22% ELLIS -21,916 31.53% 25.53% 25.63% GUADALUPE -13,859 36.79% 31.81% 31.80% PARKER -34,115 18.27% 14.69% 16.47% JOHNSON -27,160 23.67% 19.07% 21.49% WEBB 21,345 71.20% 74.35% 76.56% RANDALL -28,866 19.84% 15.41% 15.24%

I would still like t see Castro drop out and run for senate. A high profile Latino would have the easiest time picking up the 215000 votes Beto was short.

Oops I cut off a few. Rob Wittman VA-1 10.4% R+8 Denver Riggleman VA-5 6.6% R+6 Jaime Herrera Beutler WA-3 5.4% R+4 Cathy McMorris Rodgers WA-5 9.6% R+8 Bryan Steil WI-1 12.3% R+5 Glenn Grotham WI-6 11.0% R+8 66 in 2021

I did an article a couple months back on the 71 closest house races that are currently in Republican hands. With democrats sitting at a generic +9 in 2018 and now I looked at +12 as the upper limit, and deleted many of the most entrenched republicans. In some close races I listed the winning percentage from 2018 to show how close they were to 50%. I also showed older congressman who are getting close to retirement and could possibly retire, or should be retired. Democrats have a lot of pick-up opportunities. Name District 2018% Cook PVI Note Don Young AK 6.6% R+9 88 in 2021 French Hill AR-2 6.3% R+7 David Schweikert AZ-6 10.4% R+9 Doug LaMalfa CA-1 9.8% R+11 Tom McClintock CA-4 8.2% R+10 Paul Cook CA-8 20.0% R+9 78 in 2021 Devin Nunes CA-22 5.4% R+8 Ken Calvert CA-42 13.0% R+9 68 in 2021 Duncan Hunter CA-50 3.4% R+11 indicted, Hunter 51.7% Scott Tipton CO-3 7.9% R+6 Tipton 51.5% Ted Yoho FL-3 15.2% R+9 66 in 2021 Bill Posey FL-8 21.0% R+11 74 in 2021 Dennis Ross FL-15 6.0% R+6 Vern Buchanan FL-16 9.2% R+7 70 in 2021 Brian Mast FL-18 8.6% R+5 Mario Díaz-Balart FL-25 21.0% R+4 Rob Woodall GA-7 0.2% R+9 Woodall 50.07% Rick W. Allen GA-12 19.0% R+9 70 in 2021 Steve King IA-4 3.4% R+11 King 50.4%, 72 in 2021 Mike Bost IL-12 6.2% R+5 Bost 51.6% Rodney Davis IL-13 0.8% R+3 Davis 50.4% Jackie Walorski IN-2 9.6% R+11 Steve Watkins KS-2 0.8% R+10 Watkins 47.6% Andy Barr KY-6 3.2% R+9 Barr 51.0% Jack Bergman MI-1 12.6% R+9 74 in 2021 Justin Amash MI-3 11.2% R+6 Fred Upton MI-6 4.4% R+4 Upton 50.2%, 68 in 2021 Tim Walberg MI-7 7.6% R+7 70 in 2021 Jim Hagedorn MN-1 0.4% R+5 Hagedorn 50.2% Pete Stauber MN-8 5.5% R+4 Stauber 50.7% Ann Wagner MO-2 4.2% R+8 Wagner 51.2% Greg Gianforte MT 4.6% R+11 Gianforte 50.9% George Holding NC-2 5.5% R+7 Holding 51.3% Vacant NC-3 100.0% R+12 Ran unopposed Virginia Foxx NC-5 14.0% R+10 78 in 2021 Richard Hudson NC-8 10.6% R+8 Vacant (Mark Harris) NC-9 0.4% R+8 Not certified, Harris 49.3% Ted Budd NC-13 6.0% R+6 Budd 51.5% Don Bacon NE-2 1.2% R+4 Bacon 51.0% Chris Smith NJ-4 12.3% R+8 68 in 2021 Lee Zeldin NY-1 6.1% R+5 Peter King NY-2 6.6% R+3 77 in 2021 Elise Stefanik NY-21 13.9% R+4 Tom Reed NY-23 9.8% R+6 John Katko NY-24 6.2% D+3 Clinton district Chris Collins NY-27 0.8% R+11 indicted, Collins 49.3%, 71 in 2021 Steve Chabot OH-1 4.4% R+5 Chabot 51.3%, 68 in 2021 Mike Turner OH-10 13.7% R+4 67 in 2021 Troy Balderson OH-12 4.2% R+7 Balderson 51.4% David Joyce OH-14 10.4% R+5 Brian Fitzpatrick PA-1 2.5% R+1 Fitzpatrick 51.3%, Clinton district Scott Perry PA-10 2.8% R+6 Perry 51.3% Mike Kelly PA-16 4.3% R+8 Kelly 51.5%, 72 in 2021 Joe Wilson SC-2 11.1% R+12 73 in 2021 Ralph Norman SC-5 15.5% R+9 68 in 2021 Ron Wright TX-6 7.7% R+9 68 in 2021 Michael McCaul TX-10 4.3% R+9 McCaul 51.1% Randy Weber TX-14 19.9% R+12 68 in 2021 Bill Flores TX-17 15.5% R+12 67 in 2021 Chip Roy TX-21 2.8% R+10 Roy 50.2% Pete Olson TX-22 4.9% R+10 Olson 51.4% Will Hurd TX-23 0.5% R+1 Hurd 49.2%, Clinton district Kenny Marchant TX-24 3.2% R+9 Marchant 51.6%, 70 in 2021 Roger Williams TX-25 8.7% R+11 72 in 2021 John Carter TX-31 2.9% R+10 Carter 50.6%, 80 in 2021

Bernie was quietly churning out a massive number of policy videos in 2018 and previously in 2016. The problem is they are not news now.

I like his chances especially if there is an African American at the top of the ticket. SC was 28.48% AA in 2010 so it is probably near 30% now with another 3 to 5% of other non-whites. If Democrats can get over 50% of white women voters and 35% of white men, with AAs turning out in a similar percentage as whites, then he could win and SC could vote for a Democratic president. Lots of ifs I know but this far out the calculation is there.

Another rule is never take them back to America. American women are irritating in comparison to SE Asian women but foreign girls become more irritating the more they are Americanized. Over here they know they can get traded in in a heart beat so unless they are really into the constant whoring they will play nice.

Girls on the internet are most likely scammers or whores. You need to meet them in person, so don't waste your time with internet girls unless you are already near their city and want to set up face to face dates and have sex with them. That and most guys who start out meeting girls on the internet sell themselves short and go with girls that are older, fatter, and/or uglier than they could get meeting in person.

Since diabetes, heart disease and many others are linked to insulin resistance caused by the over consumption of sugars and carbs I would support a tax on food items that fall above 50 (just to throw out a number) on the glycemic index or insulin index. Then use those funds to help fund healthcare. We also need to look at calcium next as overconsumption of it while under consuming magnesium, that helps balance it out, is a huge healthcare problem.

AOC will be tough to beat in 28 if she stays in the spotlight.

Beto already made Texas purple by taking it to within 220000 votes of electing a Democrat in a midterm. There have been lots of nonvoting Democrats in Texas sitting on the sidelines. Beto brought some of them off the sidelines in 2018 and now a lot more will vote in 2020. Certainly there are more than a million registered but nonvoting Latinos that could be mobilized beyond what Beto has already done, but they would move Texas out of the purple category if they voted.

The thing is that the demographics are shifting so fast the Republicans won't have time to implement desperate strategies. Cornyn's strategists already expect 10 to 11 million people to vote in Texas. That is 2 to 3 million new voters with only around 200000 max from rural counties. There should be enough new voters in Harris county alone to almost make up Beto's deficit of 220000. Democrats are expecting a turnout over 11 million so there could be 3.5 million new voters from primarily urban and suburban counties.

Most filipinas that have not been with a foreigner have never given a blow job, so first things first.

I have thought about and rejected all the ideas in this patent many years ago. There are two big flaws I see with manipulating the local vacuum to cause propulsion. 1. The pulling yourself up by your own bootstraps problem, which this is just another variation of. Basically no matter how you manipulate the local quantum field there is a larger quantum field around you that you cannot manipulate. And you can only manipulate the internal field to a limited extent. The quantum field exists in the interior of physical protons as has been proven in scattering experiments. Even if you achieve the swinger limit, where electron-positron pair production occurs, their is a still greater limit for proton-antiproton production, and even then the quantum field continuum goes to increasingly greater energies, possibly with no limit. 2. The energy problem. Inertia is a physical reaction between matter and the quantum field, so to possibly change inertia you must alter the quantum field. The problem is that the effective mass energy of the quantum field is 10^94 grams per cubic centimeter, if you assume a cutoff at the Planck length. It could be much greater. The matter mass-energy of the entire visible universe is 10^56 grams. So even if you could put all that matter mass-energy in one place it would still not alter the total local energy significantly, if at all. I say "if at all" because I have shown that mass-energy is equal to displaced quantum field energy so the mass of matter does not change the total energy in local space. This patent shows a great deal of ignorance about mass-energy, inertia, and the quantum field in general, and relies on a lot of guessing about bad assumptions.

I will offer that if you want to check out the Philippines I would be happy to show you around Angeles and Subic and introduce you to lots of hot young women looking for a foreighner boyfriend. There are thousands in this city alone and over 100 new girls move here from the provinces every week.

At first glance this "invention" will not reduce the mass nor change the inertia so I think it is bs. An electric field is a polarized quantum field so that part of the basic statement is well established physics, and not an invention or discovery. I will look at it in greater detail.

When I lived in Bulgaria I met lots of people who lived in Greece either full or part time and they generally enjoyed it. I have heard them say that Greece would be perfect if it wasn't for the Greeks, for whatever that is worth. Slow service is the biggest complaint I would hear. I never went there but if I had a reason I would happily go there for 1 to 3 months to check it out. I have never investigated the best places to live in Greece.

What's the book about? The book is about a simplified particle theory where all particles can be accounted for as combinations of a single particle as described by 4 solutions to an extended Dirac equation.

Most chicks in the Philippines don't do anal, at least not at first. But if you prefer anal there are lots of ladyboys that will accommodate you.

I still monitor this site but don't post much lately. I am busy writing my next book and spending time with my girlfriend. She is 24 in case anyone wanted to speculate.

A felon can still be president if the people are stupid enough to elect him. Hint: They are that stupid.

I agree that her talents are better utilized in the senate. I think the same of Bernie. If i were to be the democratic nominee i would pick Warren over Harris, Klobachar, Gillibrand or Gabbard.

Warren has to be the top vp candidate for any man who gets the nomination.

Neglecting of course that Bernie primary voters put Trump over the top in Wisconsin, Michigan and Pennsylvania.

In my experience being an asshole is not location dependant. The typical Aussie I see has bad tats, wears a wifebeater, chain smokes, is an alcoholic prone to black out drinking and fighting, a misogynist, lies to girls about having a wife, supports Trump, and is a flat earther and lunar landing denier.