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RayDog

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Everything posted by RayDog

  1. Except there is no left when progressive policies poll at 60% or higher. Even Democrats who oppose healthcare for all are right wingers now. The country already provides healthcare, social security, disability, education, wage controls, fire, police, roads, border protection, a defensive military, and more. Wanting to make those things work better is a mainstream position. The actual number of people advocating for socialism or open borders is in the very low single digits. There is no reason to even bring them up.
  2. I posted part of an item by item analysis of the 2016 Republican platform and found that with few exceptions they are below 40% popularity in polling of the general public or lies. I think there were 5 or 6 items out of 125+ that did not fall in those categories.
  3. Funny, I see St. Andrew's cross in red.
  4. Montgomery went 79.7% for Romney, 73.5% for Trump. If Beto can get it under 70% Cruz that will be a big advantage for him. Someone mentioned Midland that went 80.0% for Romney and 75.1% for Trump, so that is another place where even 70% for Cruz would be a big Beto advantage. Similarly Lubbock went 69.6% for Romney and 66.3% for Trump. Small improvements in red counties could be huge this election.
  5. By "Beta" I thought he was referring to Cruz. There is only one Beta in the race.
  6. The biggest influence on future Florida elections for 2018 will be if 1.5 million felons get their right to vote back. It will make it a lot tougher for Republicans to win a statewide race.
  7. If it means the Democrats win the Senate then Senate. Otherwise, Governor
  8. It looks like my vote is being suppressed. Still no absentee ballot and possibly not enough time to mail it.
  9. I prefer to think of it in terms of Republicans have to win ND, TN, and TX to hold a 50-50 majority. I like the odds of the Democrats winning at least one of those races.
  10. You must have failed arithmetic. Almost 3.9 million Texans voted for Hillary and the expected turnout for this midterm is between 5.5 and 6 million. Another 70,000 voted for the green party, so that is another readily identifiable source of Beto voters. It is easiest to get a list of these voters and call, text or knock to GOTV. If 3 million vote, Beto wins.
  11. You and others have been saying it for months and have wrong for months. Beto does not win by wasting time trying to get Latinos to vote who never vote, and when the do, don't vote reliably Democratic. This is a midterm. Beto can win if he gets 3 million Hillary voters to come out. They are a much easier group to get out to vote. Adding some new young progressives to the mix only helps. He does a lot of speeches on campus for a reason as current students are more reliably Democratic when they vote than Latinos as a whole.
  12. Vote yes, only to have their ballot thrown in the trash.
  13. I am afraid it will take more of a French revolution approach to change Republican minds.
  14. Unless it was a hooker named Charity.
  15. TYT covered this in a YouTube video.
  16. I also wonder about how many never Trumpers and anti abortion single issue voters who will be happy with the Republican supreme court but don't care about the rest of their agenda and not bother to come out.
  17. I have been watching the posts on the Kavanaugh thread as a gauge of Republican excitement over his nomination. The thread is pretty dead with 3 weeks to go. By election day I think the Republicans will lose almost the entire enthusiasm bump that came out of the hearings.
  18. I have to keep reminding myself that the difference between my intellect and an average human is the greater than the difference between an average human and a German Shepherd.
  19. It makes me think our species is stupid.
  20. Wrong. While he is on the record for banning "assault" weapon sales he thinks existing owners should be grandfathered. This would be a good topic for an ad campaign to clarify his position and expose lyin' Ted. My personal take is it is ridiculous to label a rifle as an "assault" rifle because it has a pistol grip. Any semiautomatic rifle above 22lr is roughly the same level of lethality when it comes to mass shootings.
  21. I just got an email from his campaign confirming that it is a record quarter in a senate race.
  22. The Democrats should put legalization initiatives on every state ballot they can in 2020. It is not a winning issue for Republicans.
  23. No PACS are supposed to operated independently. They are staying out as a courtesy except firetedcruz that i know of.
  24. Best quarter ever for a senate candidate based on my limited research.
  25. With that money he needs sone professional ads ASAP.
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