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RayDog

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Everything posted by RayDog

  1. My guess is Beto is waiting because he knows when he announces he brought in 25 million or more it will trigger a new flood of Republican PAC money.
  2. There are also a couple club memberships and dues that are unnacounted for. I suspect the house will hold hearings to find out who sent all the money and if he failed to disclose taxable gifts or earnings on his taxes. I suspect that if he is removed for cause it will most likely be for tax evasion.
  3. That is still not a "decent amount." I will add that it is nice that after Cruz pulled his bullshit over Jstreet that opensecrets added a column for pac contributions from groups like that. In Beto's case that column is all zeros.
  4. Plants combined with animal herds can allow to more co2 to be sequestered in the soil. Natural sequestration produced by animal herds and plant growth could be more successful than anything else we can try.
  5. What do you mean by decent amount? Per opensecrets he has taken less than $55000 as of the last quarter and most of that was from other candidate's election pacs.
  6. Beto has promised to limit himself to two terms and he does not take PAC money. That is a big difference without even getting into policies.
  7. I will. That is about how long it will take for a Republican to get elected president.
  8. It is fascinating that Republicans botched this nomination about as badly as they possibly could and they are happy about it.
  9. I was just looking at the list of senators that voted for Kavanaugh and half of them will not be in the Senate in January 2023. Over half of those will be due to retirement but a big group will be voted out of office.
  10. I love living in a place where I can't walk home from a bar or restaurant without having a half dozen or more women walking up to me, smile, and say "I go with you" or something similar.
  11. No, but I didn't want to get into all of those details again.
  12. Women support Democrats by 25 to 30% over Republicans now. The Rebublicans will not win major races in most states as long as that holds, only the whitest of white rural states.
  13. 2016 was 59.4% of registered voters and 46.5% of voting age population from the Wikipedia page on the Texas election. For Republicans to win they really need the turnout 60% or less of the 2016 turnout. If it is 65% or more then the Democrats are showing up in big numbers.
  14. There is a young guy on youtube who is trying to be some sort of election expert and he decided to do a Twitter poll on Beto v. Cruz. With over 2000 votes it was 90% Beto. That might give us some idea how the election is trending among the more social media savvy educated voters. I think there is a large undercounted group of younger voters who will impact this election.
  15. It is the Duterte effect. Populist authoritarianism is in here in the Philippines. The Aussie, Brit, and ex- military expats here love him too.
  16. My first thought was someone put something stupid in one of his fake summons envelopes.
  17. Once the voting restoration act passes that will make Florida lean about 3% democratic is my guess.
  18. You are right. I apologize. Somehow I got the impression she had gone into another room. Since there were at least two witnesses by her account I would hope they are honest when questioned by the FBI.
  19. It sounds like lots of people remember the Ramirez allegation based on email exchanges. Assuming they were the only two in the room, people knew because Kavanaugh bragged about it. If I was Garrett/squi i would remember if one of my friends did something to a girl I took to a party in high school to make her run off and leave me and I am a couple years older than him.
  20. So far we know he had 2.8 million from actblue in July and 9.1 million in August, so he has about 18 million this quarter that we know of. Given the missing 3 weeks and various other sources he could easily be in the 23 to 25 million range for the quarter and 46 to 48 million to date. Based on minimal research both should be records for donations from small individual donations for a Senate race.
  21. Over 5.75 million now
  22. At this point I think any red state democratic senator who votes for Kavanaugh will be in trouble due to a loss of democratic votes. I want to see a democratic majority in the Senate but I could not vote for anyone who votes to confirm that piece of shit.
  23. Beto over 5.5 million now.
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