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RayDog
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Everything posted by RayDog
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There is no way he wrote that tweet. The grammar is beyond his skill level.
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You're slow. Everyone already knows it is Garrett who was her friend. The one that Republicans stupidly claimed was the look-a-like she didn't know. And per Kavanaugh he was there.
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Beto is over 3.7 million from almost 85000 in his effort to get 5 million in the last week of October. It looks like he could make it.
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I think each president should get to appoint a fixed number of justices each 4 year term (1 or 2) and let the number of justices float.
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I just ran into a friend at breakfast who ran for Senate at one time, and he said that his 5 boys went to Georgetown Prep and that all the stories we are hearing are exactly the way it is there. His boys hosted house parties at his house many times, but he said his boys did not do anything wrong. He told me that one night he went downstairs and a girl was passed out drunk on the sofa. He told his boys that someone should take her home and the said they couldn't because it was Gore's daughter. So he an his wife put her in the back seat of their car and took her to the VP's home and dropped her off once they got past the Secret Service.
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Only conservatives who don't believe women accusers and instead support rapists, but Beto wasn't getting their votes anyway. I doubt he even wants them.
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I found a video on youtube (linked below) that claims Ted is lying about his account of his sister's death as she died of combined drug intoxication from prescription drugs that were legally (but erroneously) prescribed. She technically did not overdose. She also was not addicted to the drugs she was taking, nor was she known to be taking recreational drugs at that time. She did have a previous history of actual drug abuse, but Ted has apparently fabricated this story to pull out in just such situations. https://youtu.be/APiaJ1Sxmv4
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He knows where he has to reach his donors.
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In the 4 PPP polls the margin went from 8% to 6% to 4% to 3% and tracked Beto's progress very well. The debates will help close that gap.
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I think he was trying to get banned with the fewest posts.
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It is the only way to reach a significant percentage of likely Beto voters.
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I think Abbott will do about 8-10 points better than Cruz. I don't see too many more people splitting there ticket between those races.
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Eligible voters are about 50/50 by demographics in Texas. I have not seen new numbers on registered voters but about a million more potential Democrats registered in 2016 than Republicans. I suspect that registered voters are approaching 50/50 in 2018. Based on trends the percentage of actual Democratic voters is going up about 1% a year. We also know from polling that about 10% of Republicans have left the party in the past two years with many planning to vote Democratic so any poll that fails to adjust for that is no good. Putting that all together if I were a pollster I would try to get 0 - 3% more Republicans in my Texas poll.
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The Qpac poll had 35% Republican and 26% Democratic respondents in case you need to know where the 9% difference comes from. This is still a GOTV exercise. Likely voter polls do not account for new and unlikely voters. If you only let people vote who voted in 2016 and 2014, of course Cruz would win.
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Any update on how many people have RSVP'd for Willie's concert?
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Flake wants the vote delayed, so perhaps there is a chance.
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Stormy has announced a new book coming out October 2. I expect a few small details about her affair with Trump.
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That was 11 great minutes of ad time for Beto. Cruz bought counter ads in El Paso, San Antonio, Amarillo and Waco. Big spender.
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In my part of the world super typhoon Ompong is about to hit the east coast of Luzon island the Philippines with 160 mph winds and a 23 foot storm surge. It is going to be bad. Lucky for me I am closer to the other side of the island and the eye is supposed to go well north of me, so I will be in the dryer side of the storm. I hope.
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If you consider 2020 a long way off. Beto is 2 years ahead of schedule and may help some other dems win statewide office where they can prevent the worse gerrymandering. Even so the demographic shifts are happening faster than a person who does not bother to look at the real numbers would think.
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It is notable in that poll that 15% of Republicans plan to vote for Beto. That does not count the ones who no longer identify as Republican who could be 10% according to national polling. Since they polled 39% Republicans and 27% Democrats it is probably not very accurate.
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How will the secret service dress when they are protecting Trump in Rikers. At least Trump already thinks he looks good in orange.
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Wait until they see Beto's 3rd quarter numbers. I was guessing that he would bring in 14 million after getting 10 million last quarter but after his viral video and TV appearances he could top that by a big margin.
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Unless it is Ted Cruz and then he is a little bitch.
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It was interesting that Obama not only promoted an increase in the minimum wage, but tuition free public college and Medicare for all. He even mentioned Warren's idea of putting employees on corporate boards. The progressive agenda certainly appears to be going mainstream. I am looking forward to hearing more Obama speaches over the next couple months as a counterpoint to Trump.
