
RayDog
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I saw something the other day that compared the presidential winning percentages by state from 2012 and 2016 and looked at the percentage change. The average swing was 4.3% to the Republicans because Hillary sucked as a candidate and Trump's message resonated with many people, much more than Romney. I found it interesting that Texas had the second largest Democratic swing of any state (not counting Utah) at 6.8%. If the Democrats had a much better candidate it could have been 10 points. From that perspective the 5 point difference in the latest UT poll is not surprising. Here are the top swings toward the democrats. California 7.3 Texas 6.8 Arizona 5.6 D.C 5 Massachusetts 4.5 Georgia 2.7 Virginia 1.5 Washington 1.33 Kansas 1 Maryland 0.6 Illinois 0.2 Note the swings of Arizona and Georgia which will definitely be swing states in 2020, with Virginia moving more solidly democratic.
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Growing rejection of religious traditions by religious adherents
RayDog replied to Lucid's topic in Cloak Room
Much of mainstream standard model physics is incompatible with standard model quantum field theory. Since quantum field theory describes the material substance of space itself, all of physics must be compatible with quantum field theory in order to be valid. -
Growing rejection of religious traditions by religious adherents
RayDog replied to Lucid's topic in Cloak Room
It doesn't. Not only that, a hypothetical god violates the principles of physics, because if it couldn't violate the principles of physics it wouldn't be a god. But if it does violate the principles of physics and more generally science and reason, it cannot exist. -
Growing rejection of religious traditions by religious adherents
RayDog replied to Lucid's topic in Cloak Room
In response, the Casimir effect exists and applies in all cases when bodies, including particles, are present and at close distances. I did not misappropriate it. The Casimir effect between two plates is the Casimir effect between electrons on the surface of the plates. (Note that the solidity of matter is due to the electron degeneracy pressure between those electrons as established by Freeman Dyson) The equation I used does account for 3 dimensions, but it does not account for all the Casimir forces, which is why I did not get 100x. (Note that I have been trying to work on or find a better equation to use in a follow-up paper.) My friend who successfully computed the binding energy for the deuteron also did so for tritium and and helium, so your argument that the Casimir effect does not apply for more than two bodies at once is nonsense. You calculated the Coulomb force using the wrong distance. The table uses the distance between the outer radii of the protons, not the distance between the center of the protons, which is how you compute the Coulomb force. As for the two proton problem, It is unstable because protons make quantum jumps an uncountable number of times each second, so they tend to jump away from each other so fast that we can never see them together in a metastable state under normal conditions. Degeneracy pressure and the force behind Pauli's Exclusion Principle are not speculative forces. Two protons, two neutrons, or a proton and neutron can never occupy the same point in space. As for quantum jumps, you can also consider that the neutrons in the nucleus actually do decay but the temporarily free electron is usually immediately recaptured by another proton converting it to a neutron, so there is continuous electron exchange going on. Contrary to mainstream physics there is no binding energy associated with this particle exchange. The binding energy come from the Casimir effect. It is amazing to consider that every particle in our body is being replaced trillions of times each second. -
I am looking forward to seeing the donation numbers for the second quarter coming out this week. Beto has already said the numbers are up, which is not surprising since his media attention went way up in April after the Quinnipiac poll came out showing only a 3 point gap (when it was realistically more like 6-7). Where does he go from $6.7 million from 141,000 donations.
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Growing rejection of religious traditions by religious adherents
RayDog replied to Lucid's topic in Cloak Room
The Casimir effect between two proton and/or neutron sized spheres is strong enough to account for the nuclear force. The Casimir effect is physically real as it has been experimentally proven. A physicist I know was able to accurately compute the binding energy of a deuteron using this approach, after I shared my research with him. https://www.researchgate.net/publication/283795494_The_Nuclear_Force_Computed_as_the_Casimir_Effect_Between_Spheres Note that I would like to streamline this paper a bit as I go into some speculative territory when trying to explain how there is a repulsive force that overcomes the Casimir effect at distance less than 0.7 fm. That can be more simply explained by the force responsible for the Pauli Exclusion Principle and neutron degeneracy pressure. -
As of today, how do you think you will vote in the midterm election 7/18? POLL
RayDog replied to BNB's topic in Cloak Room
Yes, case law. -
As of today, how do you think you will vote in the midterm election 7/18? POLL
RayDog replied to BNB's topic in Cloak Room
The last Muslim ban is a great example if this. -
Growing rejection of religious traditions by religious adherents
RayDog replied to Lucid's topic in Cloak Room
It is also rooted in mind brain duality which is nonsense. The mind is the brain and when the brain dies the mind dies. -
Growing rejection of religious traditions by religious adherents
RayDog replied to Lucid's topic in Cloak Room
That is a mischaracterization. My work is based on quantum field theory and I (and others) have shown that all physics can be accounted for with electromagnetic theory. So, I agree with the bulk of electromagnetic theory. Also, I challenge anyone to develop a system of reasoning that does not contain elements that are equivalent to the scientific method. -
Growing rejection of religious traditions by religious adherents
RayDog replied to Lucid's topic in Cloak Room
There are two branches of philosphy. One follows the rules of rational thought that incorporate the scientific method and where hypotheses are vetted based on being consistant with reproducible observations and experiments. This branch includes the sciences. In the second branch of philosophy hypotheses are vetted based on being consistent with fiction. This is the irrational branch of philosophy. -
Including Avenatti in the lawsuit was either a big mistake or their strategy for releasing the true information. I am guessing the later.
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Growing rejection of religious traditions by religious adherents
RayDog replied to Lucid's topic in Cloak Room
The scientific method is nothing more than a slightly detailed explanation of the process of rational thinking. You cannot have rational thinking without the scientific method, although you can add more detailed steps. Belief and faith are inherently irrational thinking as they skip the step of verifying a hypothesis by testing it against reproducible observations and/or experiments. -
Growing rejection of religious traditions by religious adherents
RayDog replied to Lucid's topic in Cloak Room
Human stupidity is almost universal. -
As of today, how do you think you will vote in the midterm election 7/18? POLL
RayDog replied to BNB's topic in Cloak Room
Same here -
Growing rejection of religious traditions by religious adherents
RayDog replied to Lucid's topic in Cloak Room
The answer is zero. -
Trump and the Republican congress have managed to fail at implementing much of the Republican platform or implemented it in such a way that is perceived as overwhelmingly negative by most of the population. There are over 100 goals outlined in the platform, so this is only a subset. Tax bill with simplified tax code and reduced corporate taxes – 34% support for finished bill “A Winning Trade Policy” – 74% of businessmen think Trump’s policies will be negative for the economy “Restoring Patient Control and Preserving Quality in Healthcare” (aka. Destroy ACA) – 16% approve of the Republican bill while 58% disapprove (Quinnipiac) Repeal Dodd-Frank – Failed to repeal but passed a rollback – 59% of voters approved of Dodd-Frank “Reducing the Federal Debt” – oops Appoint Republican judges – And mobilize democratic voters “Administrative Law” (aka weaken the executive branch) - hahahahahaha “Defending Marriage against an Activist Judiciary” – 67% approve of same sex marriage “Second Amendment: Our Right to Keep and Bear Arms” – 66% support stricter gun laws, 97% support universal background checks, 83% support a waiting period, 67% support a ban on assault weapons (Quinnipiac) “The Fifth Amendment: Protecting Human Life” – 63% approve of Roe v Wade “Abundant Harvests” (support agriculture) – Except when hurting it with a trade war Withdraw from climate change agreement – 64% people agree there is man caused climate change (Gallup) Dismantle EPA – 67% think the EPA should be strengthened (Environmental Defense Fund 2017) “Balancing the Budget” – hahahaha “Preserving Medicare and Medicaid” - if “preserving” means planning to cut funding “Saving Social Security” - if “saving” means planning to cut funding “Protecting Internet Freedom” – instead they repeal net neutrality which has 60% public support “Immigration and the rule of law” - The screwed up DACA (83% approve of citizenship for Dreamers, Gallup), child separation policy (66% disapprove), 75% of public support immigration, 57% oppose the border wall (Gallup) “Advancing Term Limits” – when pigs fly “Crony Capitalism and Corporate Welfare” – this must be the opposite administration Approve Puerto Rico as the 51st state – The governor recently asked and of course Trump said no. “Confronting the Dangers” (Muslim Travel Ban) – started with good approval ratings but has swung negative Rescind Iran Deal – 63% thought we should not withdraw (CNN). “Unequivocal Support for Israel” (recognize Jerusalem as the Capital) – he gave away one of our best bargaining chips for nothing while inciting new violence and hurting chances of US participation in future negotiations. “Confronting Internet Tyranny” - except if it’s our “friends” the Russians “Defending International Religious Freedom” - as long as you're Christian “Renewing the European Alliance” (plus support NATA, support UK) – If by "renew" you mean severely damage “US Leadership in the Asian Pacific” (Irreversible dismantlement of North Korea's nuclear program) – Botched this big time so far, but I wish them luck. “Family of the Americas” (aka support for Canada and Mexico relations) - oops “The Fifth Amendment: Intellectual Property Rights (from China) – so far a big failure Some Special Quotes "We oppose tax policies that deliberately divide Americans or promote class warfare.” "We are the party of the declaration of independence and the constitution" "We denounce bigotry, racism, anti-Semitism, ethnic prejudice, and religious intolerance. Therefore, we oppose discrimination based on race, sex, religion, creed, disability, or national origin...” "We pledge to protect the voting rights of every citizen..." "Agricultural production and exports are central to the Republican agenda for jobs, growth, expanded trade, and prosperity." "Congress should approve an enabling act with terms for Puerto Rico's future admission as the 51st state of the Union" "We will not accept any territorial change in Eastern Europe imposed by force in Ukraine, Georgia, or elsewhere...” "We express our solidarity with all the peoples of the Western Hemisphere."
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He will blame the Democrats that are hoping the next recession starts before the 2020 election.
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He even sang along "roll me up and smoke me when I die."
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I hope you realize that recessions are inevitable. We are, based on normal trends, past due for one. Trump's trade policies will certainly make the next recession come quicker and make it worse. People will lose jobs in a recession whether it starts in 2018, 2019, 2020, 2021, or beyond. We can't prevent that from happening. You should also recognize that it is advantageous to Democrats if the next recession starts prior to the 2020 election. Hoping for that does not change the consequences of the recession, only the timing. If you were really worried about people losing jobs in the next recession you should oppose Trump's trade policies.
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I published a couple papers to an on-line journal that I am particularly happy with. The titles are "Physical Constants as Properties of the van der Waals Torque of the Quantum Field" and "Fine Structure Constant as the Polarization of the Quantum Field by a Unit Charge." The one on physical constants is a response to the claims that some people make that the physical constants were fine-tuned, which I address in my book God Hates Science. I wanted to show that the physical constants arise directly from properties of the quantum field of standard model quantum field theory. Space always contains a quantum field and the uniformity of the quantum field produces a unique set of physical constants. There is no magic to it. In the process I figured out a physical interpretation of the fine structure constant that is an important discovery in its own right. Physical Constants as Properties of the van der Waals Torque of the Quantum Field Fine Structure Constant as the Polarization of the Quantum Field by a Unit Charge
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He won his race in 2016 by over 30%, and is facing the same opponent in 2018. I think he would still win, unless forced to resign.
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You are imagining a connection that does not always exist.
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Pornography is not trafficking. Prostitution is not trafficking. Neither should be conflated with trafficking the way you are doing it. That is not to say that persons who are being trafficked won't be forced to engage in either. But trafficked persons may be forced to pick crops or work in construction. There is not a one to one correlation with pornography or prostitution. In the article you just posted there was no mention of trafficking. Some people are using trafficking in too broad a way, in part to attack legal attack legal pornography and legal aged prostitution that may be and should be legal.
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I could see Kennedy/O'Rourke or O'Rourke/Kennedy in 2028. I hope the youth movement we are seeing among Democrats means they will have a candidate under 60 in 2020
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